Luton vs Everton prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/05/2024

03/05/24 - 20:00

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Luton - Everton

England Premier League - Kenilworth Road

It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of Friday night's clash between Luton Town and Everton. The Toffees secured their Premier League status last time out with a win against Brentford while Luton still have it all to do if they are going to stay up but they have beaten Everton twice already this season.

Luton vs Everton predictions: Luton to claim big three points

Key Stats

• Luton and Everton have met twice already this season and each time the games ended with both teams scoring. Both teams have also scored in five of the Hatter's last six outings and clean sheets have come at a premium for the hosts so far this season.
• Both of the Hatter's wins against Everton this season had a scoreline of 2-1 and the host's last home win was also by two goals to one. Everton have only failed to score in one of their last six fixtures but did concede six goals in their last away game against Chelsea, so a 2-1 win for Luton certainly isn't out of the question.
• Carlton Morris leads the way for Luton this season with 10 league goals and the 28-year-old striker has scored in two of Luton's last four home games as well as away at Wolves last time out.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Nothing to separate the pair

• HOME: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1%
• DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
• AWAY: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The bookmakers can't pick an expected winner of this game with both Luton and Everton having a win probability of 38.1%, but the hosts have more motivation for the points which might make all the difference.

Luton suffered a 2-1 defeat at Wolves in their last league game and sit one point off safety with three games left to play, while Everton beat Brentford 1-0 at home which means the final season at Goodison Park will be played in the Premier League.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back under 2.5 goals to be scored in this game at 6/5 (2.20) which has a probability of 45.5%, while a bet on over 2.5 goals is priced at 8/11 (1.73) with a probability of 57.9%.

Last five H2Hs: Everton in front

England FA Cup 27/01/24

Everton

1

Luton

2

England Premier League 30/09/23

Everton

1

Luton

2

The Toffees have won 17, drawn five and lost 14 of their last 36 games against Luton but the Hatters have won both of their games against the Toffees this season, winning 2-1 at Goodison Park in both the league and the FA Cup.

Team news and form guide

Luton: Have all the motivation

The hosts have plenty of players missing for their end-of-season run-in including Thomas Lockyer, Issa Kabore, Marvelous Nakamba, Jacob Brown, Amari'i Bell, Dan Potts, Chiedozie Ogbene and Mads Andersen.

Predicted lineup: Kaminski (GK), Burke, Osho, Hashioka, Mengi, Barkley, Clark, Chong, Sambi Lokonga, Doughty & Morris

England Championship 03/05/25

L

West Brom

5

Luton

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

Coventry

0

Luton

1

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Bristol City

1

Luton

3

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Derby

0

Luton

1

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Blackburn

1

Luton

0

Everton: Lost three of last four on the road

Nathan Patterson, Beto, Seamus Coleman, Vitalii Mykolenko and Lewis Dobbin will miss the trip to Kenilworth Road due to injury but Sean Dyche will be hoping to welcome back Dominic Calvert-Lewin who felt unwell ahead of the Brentford game.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Young, Godfrey, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Gueye, Doucouré, Harrison, Garner, McNeil & Calvert-Lewin

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Fulham

1

Everton

3

England Premier League 03/05/25

D

Ipswich

2

Everton

2

England Premier League 26/04/25

L

Chelsea

1

Everton

0

England Premier League 19/04/25

L

Man City

2

Everton

0

England Premier League 12/04/25

W

Nottm Forest

0

Everton

1

Player to watch – Ross Barkley

Ross Barkley has impressed for Luton this season but if the worst were to happen and the Hatters got relegated, the former England international will be available on a free transfer this summer and plenty of teams, including his former employers Everton, will be keeping a close eye on the talented midfielder.

It's Barkley's ability on the ball, driving forward from midfield and his eye for a pass that has served Luton so well this season. The ex-Chelsea man has chipped in with four assists and five goals in the Premier League this season and could be vital for the Hatters heading into the final three games of the season.

Barkley's ability on the ball to win the midfield battle

We're backing Barkley to control the midfield in this game which should help guide Luton to a vital three points against an Everton side that are safe from relegation and might just turn up with their flip-flops on.