Everton vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 06/04/2024

06/04/24 - 15:00

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Everton - Burnley

England Premier League - Goodison Park

Here are our Premier League predictions for a big game at the bottom of the table between Everton and Burnley. The Toffees will be viewing this game as a ‘must-win' but Sean Dyche's side have only managed to win three games at Goodison Park this season. Visiting Burnley will be in a mindset of ‘must not lose' on Saturday as a draw wouldn't be a bad result but Vincent Kompany's side will be looking to win the game knowing that Everton are in the midst of a 13-game winless run.

Everton vs Burnley predictions: Toffee's last win came against Burnley

Key Stats

• Both teams have scored in four of the last six meetings between Everton and Burnley in league and cup, while five of Everton's and four of Burnley's last six fixtures have also produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
• Everton might not have won in 13 league games but they have won three of their last four encounters with Burnley, scoring at least two goals in each of those four matches but the Toffees haven't kept any clean sheets in their last six attempts.
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin saw his long goal drought come to an end in midweek as he converted the penalty that earned Everton a 1-1 draw at St James' Park

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers backing a home win

• HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%
• DRAW: 13/4 (4.25) – 23.5%
• AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Everton are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 60%, but the Toffees haven't won any of their last 13 Premier League games.

Whilst Everton's 1-1 draw at Newcastle in midweek was a very good result, the Toffees have still not won a league game in their last 13 attempts. Burnley are unbeaten in their last four league games, picking up three draws and one win.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. If you want to back under 2.5 goals to be scored in this game the odds stand at 57/50 (2.14) with a probability of 46.7%, while a bet on over 2.5 goals is priced at 13/16 (1.81) which has a probability of 55.2%.

Last five H2Hs: Everton lead

England Premier League 16/12/23

Burnley

0

Everton

2

England EFL Cup 01/11/23

Everton

3

Burnley

0

England Premier League 06/04/22

Burnley

3

Everton

2

England Premier League 13/09/21

Everton

3

Burnley

1

England Premier League 13/03/21

Everton

1

Burnley

2

Everton have won 39, drawn 25 and lost 28 of their previous 92 encounters with Burnley and the Toffees won the reverse league fixture in December 2-0, their last win in the Premier League.

Team news and form guide

Everton: Looking to end winless run

Lewis Dobbin and Dele Alli will miss out this weekend due to injury but Arnaut Danjuma could make his return to the squad following a foot injury.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Young, Godfrey, Tarkowski, Mykolenko, Branthwaite, Gueye, Doucouré, Onana, McNeil & Calvert-Lewin

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Fulham

1

Everton

3

England Premier League 03/05/25

D

Ipswich

2

Everton

2

England Premier League 26/04/25

L

Chelsea

1

Everton

0

England Premier League 19/04/25

L

Man City

2

Everton

0

England Premier League 12/04/25

W

Nottm Forest

0

Everton

1

Burnley: Unbeaten in last four

Aaron Ramsey, Nathan Redmond and Luca Koleosho look set to miss the trip to Goodison Park this weekend due to injury but Lorenz Assignon makes his return following a brief suspension.

Predicted lineup: Murić (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Foster, Fofana & Odobert

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

1

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

0

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

1

Burnley

2

Player to watch – Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Everton's No.9 ended his long goal drought in the 1-1 draw with Newcastle on Tuesday night and all Evertonians will be hoping that Dominic Calvert-Lewin will start putting the ball into the back of the net on a regular basis from now until the end of the season.

Calvert-Lewin hasn't had the best of services from a Sean Dyche Everton side that doesn't create a lot of goalscoring opportunities but even when he has got in on goal, the striker has fluffed his lines or been very unlucky.

DCL's goal drought has come to an end but will he push on now?

We're backing the Goodison crowd to produce the kind of atmosphere that will spur the likes of Calvert-Lewin to produce the kind of display the home side need to win this game.