EFL Championship ups and downs: When can Leicester confirm promotion?

The EFL Championship ups and downs market is where we analyse which three teams are likely to get promoted and relegated based on current odds. Leeds United, Leicester City and Ipswich Town currently occupy the top three places in the table, while Huddersfield Town, Sheffield Wednesday and Rotherham United make up the bottom three.

Nonetheless, in this article, we take a deeper look into the odds of each main promotion and relegation contender moving up or down from the Championship come the end of the season, and also delve into the archives of some of the best and worst promoted and relegated teams from years gone by.

Leicester City's Keirnan Dewsbury-Hall
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EFL Championship ups and downs: Promotion current outrights

Leicester – 1/10

Leicester are currently favourites to be promoted back to the Premier League, despite currently sitting in second place in the table. They are behind Leeds on goal difference, albeit they have played a game fewer.

The earliest the Foxes could gain automatic promotion is on 12th April away to Plymouth Argyle, should they win all their games until then and third-placed Ipswich lose all theirs, while fourth-placed Southampton would also need to pick up very few points. This would not quite be the earliest ever Championship promotion however, as Burnley did it with seven games remaining in early April last season.

Leicester's best Championship points tally was in 2013/14, when they won the title with 102 points, and they can still finish on as many as 109 should they win their remaining nine games of this season. The record Championship points tally belongs to Reading, who won 106 points on their way to the title in 2005/06, but that record can still be broken by the Foxes.

Leeds – 1/6

Leeds are currently second-favourites to gain promotion back to the English top flight, after being relegated with Leicester last season. They lead the Championship on goal difference with 82 points, but have played a game more than the second-placed Foxes.

Leeds can equal Reading's points record of 106, but they would have to win every game from now until the end of the season to do so. Nonetheless, it is certainly playing out to be an exciting battle to not only see who gets promoted, but who wins the title.

Ipswich – 10/11

Ipswich are third-favourites to be promoted to the Premier League for the first time in 22 years. They are currently just one point behind Leeds and Leicester in third, and are certainly not out of the title race.

Southampton, the third team to have been relegated from the top flight last campaign, are in fourth and eight points further behind, but have played two games fewer than Ipswich. Nonetheless, whether its via automatic or the play-offs, promotion would be an amazing achievement for the Tractor Boys.

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EFL Championship ups and downs: Relegation current outrights

Rotherham – 7/4

Unsurprisingly, Rotherham are favourites to get relegated to League One, as they currently sit rock-bottom of the Championship on just 20 points. With just eight games and 24 points left to play for, they are a massive 19 points away from safety, and look almost certain to go down.

Rotherham also hold the unwanted record of the lowest-ever points tally in the Championship with 23 in the 2016/17 season, as they were relegated on 1st April 2017 with seven games still left to play.

Huddersfield – 3/1

Huddersfield are second-favourites for relegation, despite currently being third-from-bottom in the table. They are one point ahead of Sheffield Wednesday, and are only behind 21st-placed Birmingham City on goal difference.

Crucially, Huddersfield host Birmingham in the second-last game of the season in late April, which is likely going to be a relegation six-pointer.

Sheffield Wednesday – 16/5

Wednesday are third-favourites to go down, despite sitting second-from-bottom. They are currently on 38 points, one away from safety, but crucially have a largely inferior goal difference to teams above them.

The Owls have still got to play QPR and Stoke City, teams within three points of them, so could yet survive with wins against them.


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Adam Clancy

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, of whom he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.