Champions League exact goals market prediction: Goals galore in Rotterdam and Istanbul?

It’s matchday five in the group stage of the 2023/24 UEFA Champions League this week and fans of clubs right across Europe will be bracing themselves for some crunch games where qualification is on the line. So we’re going to take a look at the Champions League exact goals market, and see which matches may serve up the most goalmouth action this week.

Champions League exact goals
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Champions League exact goals market prediction – Games in focus

Feyenoord vs Atletico Madrid – A goal fest at De Kuip?

If you’re looking for goals, De Kuip appears as good a place as any to start. Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid have largely shunned their defensive reputation this season, producing some high-scoring games already in this group.

They hit Celtic for six in their last outing while they were 3-2 winners over Feyenoord when the clubs met in the reverse fixture. No side has netted more times in this season’s group stage than Atleti whose 12-goal return is only equalled by defending champions Manchester City.

Feyenoord have been one of the livelier attacking outfits too though and they are blessed with the talents of one of Europe’s most in-form strikers with Santiago Gimenez banging in 18 goals in 16 club appearances this term.

The hosts are 3rd in the group and will look to play on the front foot here as they aim to stay in the race for qualification. That should help serve up an open game and we’re backing exactly four goals in this one.

Sevilla vs PSV Eindhoven
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Sevilla vs PSV Eindhoven – A close affair likely

There’s another showdown between Spanish and Dutch clubs at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan on Wednesday but this could be an altogether tighter affair.

Sevilla have been quite cagey since appointing former Uruguay boss Diego Alonso in October. He’s already a man under pressure with the Andalusians yet to win a league or Champions League game under his guidance in seven attempts. Four of those seven games have produced exactly two goals and that’s what we’re backing here too. 

PSV are sitting 2nd in the group with a three point advantage on Sevilla, so there’s not really any onus on the Dutch side to come here and throw caution to the wind. The visitors are likely to be content to keep things tight with a draw likely to leave them masters of their own destiny come the final matchday.

Fernandes v Copenhagen
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Galatasaray vs Man United – Crunch-time in Group A

This is a massive football match for fans of both Galatasaray and Manchester United who may only just have caught their breath from the five-goal thriller that saw the Turkish side emerge victorious at Old Trafford back on matchday two.

United have since been involved in an even higher scoring match in this group, going down 4-3 at Copenhagen prior to the international break to leave them in real danger of missing out on a place in the knockout stage.

The goals have continued to flow in Galatasaray matches too with 3-1 and 2-1 defeats against Bayern Munich since a memorable night in Manchester, ensuring just a point separates 2nd and 4th in this group heading into the final two fixtures.

It’s all to play for here and with neither side currently in a qualification slot, both coaches will be targeting the win. Everything appears to point to another open game and we’re backing exactly four goals in the Champions League exact goals market for this one.

UEFA Champions League goals market - Arsenal vs Lens
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Arsenal vs Lens – The Gunners to cruise home

Arsenal are one of the clearest favourites this week and they only need a point at home to Lens to seal qualification. There is little prospect of them playing for a draw though with Mikel Arteta’s men keen to make amends for a shock defeat at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis on matchday two.

The Gunners have won every other game in the group with between two and four goals scored in total in all of their fixtures on their long-awaited return to the UCL stage. Half of those games produced exactly three goals and that looks like a very plausible outcome again here.

Lens are 6th in Ligue 1 and haven’t won any of their matches in this group aside from the reverse fixture against the Premier League side. That suggests a repeat result is highly unlikely on Wednesday and with Arsenal knowing a win will also seal top spot in the group, we can expect the North Londoners to take control of this game and win it with relative ease.


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Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.