Man Utd vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/04/2024

Man Utd
27/04/24 - 15:00

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Burnley

Man Utd - Burnley

England Premier League - Old Trafford

Man Utd vs Burnley prediction
Burnley played host to the Red Devils in September and lost 1-0 – Photo by Icon Sport

Here are our Premier League predictions for Saturday's clash between Manchester United and Burnley at Old Trafford. Every game seems to be hard work for Erik ten Hag's side of late so the visit of Burnley this weekend probably won't be a walk in the park either. Both teams head into this game on the back of high-scoring wins against Sheffield United and we're expecting the goals to continue to flow on Saturday.

Man Utd vs Burnley predictions: Possible goal-fest on the cards

Man Utd vs Burnley Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Over 3.5 Goals

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Man Utd 2-2 Burnley

⚽ Anytime Goalscorer prediction

Bruno Fernandes

Key Stats

  • Each of Man Utd's last five matches in league and cup have produced over 3.5 goals, while two of Burnley's last three away games also featured at least four goals.
  • Four of the hosts' last six fixtures in all competitions have ended in stalemates after 90 minutes and Burnley have drawn three of their last five matches, which is why we're backing a 2-2 draw at Old Trafford.
  • Bruno Fernandes moved onto double figures for the season as he scored twice in midweek against the Blades, continuing his fine run of form in front of goal, and top scores for Man Utd with 10 league goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The odds favour a home win

  • HOME: 11/21 (1.52) – 65.6%
  • DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
  • AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Man Utd are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 65.6%, but we are expecting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the two clubs.

United secured a 4-2 victory against bottom-of-the-table Sheff Utd in midweek, while Burnley's last game, also against the Blades, ended in a 4-1 victory last weekend.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. The odds on BTTS in this game stand at 4/7 (1.57) with a probability of 63.6%, but you can go the other way and back BTTS – No at 13/8 (2.63) which has a probability of 38.1%.

Last five H2Hs: Red Devils dominate

England Premier League 23/09/23

Burnley

Burnley

0
Man Utd

Man Utd

1

England EFL Cup 21/12/22

Man Utd

Man Utd

2
Burnley

Burnley

0

England Premier League 08/02/22

Burnley

Burnley

1
Man Utd

Man Utd

1

England Premier League 30/12/21

Man Utd

Man Utd

3
Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 18/04/21

Man Utd

Man Utd

3
Burnley

Burnley

1

Man Utd have won 42, drawn 18 and lost 30 of their last 90 meetings with Burnley, running out 1-0 winners at Turf Moor in September.

Team news and form guide

Man Utd: Scoring and conceding plenty of goals

Mason Mount, Raphael Varane, Tyrell Malacia, Anthony Martial, Luke Shaw, Lisandro Martinez and Victor Lindelof could all miss the Burnley game through injury.

Predicted lineup: Onana (GK), Maguire, Dalot, Wan-Bissaka, Eriksen, Casemiro, Fernandes, Mainoo, Antony, Garnacho & Højlund

England FA Cup 25/05/24

W

Man City

Man City

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

2

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Brighton

Brighton

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

2

England Premier League 15/05/24

W

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

Others 14/05/24

D

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

England Championship 13/05/24

D

Man City

Man City

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Burnley: Only lost one of last six

The visitors look set to be without the services of Aaron Ramsey, Jordan Beyer, Nathan Redmond, Ameen Al-Dakhil and Luca Koleosho for the trip to Old Trafford.

Predicted lineup: Murić (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Assignon, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Foster & Odobert

UK Friendlies 09/07/24

L

Warrington Rylands

Warrington Rylands

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

L

Tottenham

Tottenham

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 04/05/24

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 27/04/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

1

Player to watch – Jacob Bruun Larsen

Burnley's Danish attacker has been in good form of late and we're expecting another top performance from the former Hoffenheim and Dortmund man this weekend.

Jacob Bruun Larsen player to watch
Jacob Bruun Larsen of Burnley celebrates his goal to make it 1-0 Burnley – Photo by Icon Sport

Despite only starting 12 league games for Burnley this season, Jacob Bruun Larsen has been an important player for Vincent Kompany of late, scoring three times in his last six appearances and each of those goals have come in games where Burnley have picked up points and given themselves a chance of staying up this season.

Burnley's Danish forward has been in good form of late

Man Utd have a lot of goals in them but their defence has been poor of late and we're backing Burnley and Brunn Larsen to take full advantage this weekend.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things