Man Utd vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/04/2024

27/04/24 - 15:00

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Man Utd - Burnley

England Premier League - Old Trafford

Here are our Premier League predictions for Saturday's clash between Manchester United and Burnley at Old Trafford. Every game seems to be hard work for Erik ten Hag's side of late so the visit of Burnley this weekend probably won't be a walk in the park either. Both teams head into this game on the back of high-scoring wins against Sheffield United and we're expecting the goals to continue to flow on Saturday.

Man Utd vs Burnley predictions: Possible goal-fest on the cards

Key Stats

• Each of Man Utd's last five matches in league and cup have produced over 3.5 goals, while two of Burnley's last three away games also featured at least four goals.
• Four of the hosts' last six fixtures in all competitions have ended in stalemates after 90 minutes and Burnley have drawn three of their last five matches, which is why we're backing a 2-2 draw at Old Trafford.
• Bruno Fernandes moved onto double figures for the season as he scored twice in midweek against the Blades, continuing his fine run of form in front of goal, and top scores for Man Utd with 10 league goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The odds favour a home win

• HOME: 11/21 (1.52) – 65.6%
• DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
• AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Man Utd are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 65.6%, but we are expecting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the two clubs.

United secured a 4-2 victory against bottom-of-the-table Sheff Utd in midweek, while Burnley's last game, also against the Blades, ended in a 4-1 victory last weekend.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. The odds on BTTS in this game stand at 4/7 (1.57) with a probability of 63.6%, but you can go the other way and back BTTS – No at 13/8 (2.63) which has a probability of 38.1%.

Last five H2Hs: Red Devils dominate

England Premier League 23/09/23

Burnley

0

Man Utd

1

England EFL Cup 21/12/22

Man Utd

2

Burnley

0

England Premier League 08/02/22

Burnley

1

Man Utd

1

England Premier League 30/12/21

Man Utd

3

Burnley

1

England Premier League 18/04/21

Man Utd

3

Burnley

1

Man Utd have won 42, drawn 18 and lost 30 of their last 90 meetings with Burnley, running out 1-0 winners at Turf Moor in September.

Team news and form guide

Man Utd: Scoring and conceding plenty of goals

Mason Mount, Raphael Varane, Tyrell Malacia, Anthony Martial, Luke Shaw, Lisandro Martinez and Victor Lindelof could all miss the Burnley game through injury.

Predicted lineup: Onana (GK), Maguire, Dalot, Wan-Bissaka, Eriksen, Casemiro, Fernandes, Mainoo, Antony, Garnacho & Højlund

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

West Ham

2

Man Utd

0

UEFA Europa League 08/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

1

Man Utd

4

England Premier League 04/05/25

L

Brentford

4

Man Utd

3

UEFA Europa League 01/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

0

Man Utd

3

England Premier League 27/04/25

D

Bournemouth

1

Man Utd

1

Burnley: Only lost one of last six

The visitors look set to be without the services of Aaron Ramsey, Jordan Beyer, Nathan Redmond, Ameen Al-Dakhil and Luca Koleosho for the trip to Old Trafford.

Predicted lineup: Murić (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Assignon, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Foster & Odobert

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

1

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

0

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

1

Burnley

2

Player to watch – Jacob Bruun Larsen

Burnley's Danish attacker has been in good form of late and we're expecting another top performance from the former Hoffenheim and Dortmund man this weekend.

Despite only starting 12 league games for Burnley this season, Jacob Bruun Larsen has been an important player for Vincent Kompany of late, scoring three times in his last six appearances and each of those goals have come in games where Burnley have picked up points and given themselves a chance of staying up this season.

Burnley's Danish forward has been in good form of late

Man Utd have a lot of goals in them but their defence has been poor of late and we're backing Burnley and Brunn Larsen to take full advantage this weekend.