Chelsea vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 30/03/2024

30/03/24 - 15:00

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Chelsea - Burnley

England Premier League - Stamford Bridge

It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of Saturday's clash between Chelsea and Burnley.

The hosts head into this game as the big favourite to win despite their average performance so far this season. Burnley are in a relegation fight and defensively all over the place at times so you should check out our Chelsea First Goalscorer predictions to see who is likely to score for the Blues this weekend.

Chelsea vs Burnley predictions: Burnley to struggle on the road

Key Stats

• Both teams have scored in five of Chelsea's and three of Burnley's last six outings in all competitions, and we're backing both teams to score in this game.
• Chelsea have scored three or more goals in three of their last four fixtures, while Burnley have conceded three or more goals in three of their last six matches.
• Five of the last seven encounters between Chelsea and Burnley have produced over 2.5 goals, while each of Chelsea's last four fixtures and five of Burnley's last six outings have also witnessed at least three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea the big favourite

• HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
• DRAW: 21/4 (6.25) – 16%
• AWAY: 19/2 (10.50) – 9.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Chelsea are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 76.9%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this one.

Chelsea are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions, winning their last league game at home to Newcastle 3-2, while Burnley have lost four of their last six fixtures but did win 2-1 at home to Brentford last time out.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Nicolas Jackson is the favourite to score in this game at 11/10 (2.10) which has a probability of 47.6%, or you could go with his teammate Cole Palmer at 5/4 (2.25) with a probability of 44.4%.

Last five H2Hs: Burnley lead but Chelsea have been better lately

England Premier League 07/10/23

Burnley

1

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 05/03/22

Burnley

0

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 06/11/21

Chelsea

1

Burnley

1

England Premier League 31/01/21

Chelsea

2

Burnley

0

England Premier League 31/10/20

Burnley

0

Chelsea

3

Burnley have won 34, drawn 17 and lost 31 of their previous 82 encounters with Chelsea, but the London club are unbeaten in their last 10 against Burnley, winning eight and drawing two.

Team news and form guide

Chelsea: Unbeaten in four

The hosts could be without the likes of Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Reece James, Christopher Nkunku and Lesley Ugochukwu on Saturday due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Petrović (GK), Cucurella, Chalobah, Disasi, Gusto, Gallagher, Palmer, Fernández, Caicedo, Sterling & Jackson

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

Newcastle

2

Chelsea

0

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

W

Djurgarden

0

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 04/05/25

W

Liverpool

1

Chelsea

3

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

W

Djurgarden

1

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

Everton

0

Chelsea

1

Burnley: Lost four of last six

Aaron Ramsey, Nathan Redmond, Luca Koleosho, David Fofana, Jordan Beyer and Ameen Al-Dakhil are the main injury concerns for the visitors this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Murić (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Assignon, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Fofana & Odobert

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

1

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

0

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

1

Burnley

2

Player to watch – Cole Palmer

Chelsea might not be enjoying their best-ever domestic season but Cole Palmer has been in great form for the Londoners.

The former Man City man has netted 11 league goals and eight assists in his first Premier League campaign with Chelsea, making him the club's most dangerous player in front of goal as well as in and around the penalty area and from set-pieces.

Chelsea's stand-out player this season

We've backed Chelsea to win this weekend and we fully expect Palmer to play a big role by either scoring or setting up a goal or two, perhaps both!