Chelsea vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 30/03/2024

Chelsea
30/03/24 - 15:00

Finished

2

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2

Burnley

Chelsea - Burnley

England Premier League - Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Burnley prediction
Chelseas Armando Broja and Burnleys Ameen Al-Dakhil (right) battle for the ball – Photo by Icon sport – Photo by Icon Sport

It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of Saturday's clash between Chelsea and Burnley.

The hosts head into this game as the big favourite to win despite their average performance so far this season. Burnley are in a relegation fight and defensively all over the place at times so you should check out our Chelsea First Goalscorer predictions to see who is likely to score for the Blues this weekend.

Chelsea vs Burnley predictions: Burnley to struggle on the road

Chelsea vs Burnley Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Both Teams to Score

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Chelsea 3-1 Burnley

⬆️ Total Goals prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in five of Chelsea's and three of Burnley's last six outings in all competitions, and we're backing both teams to score in this game.
  • Chelsea have scored three or more goals in three of their last four fixtures, while Burnley have conceded three or more goals in three of their last six matches.
  • Five of the last seven encounters between Chelsea and Burnley have produced over 2.5 goals, while each of Chelsea's last four fixtures and five of Burnley's last six outings have also witnessed at least three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Chelsea the big favourite

  • HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
  • DRAW: 21/4 (6.25) – 16%
  • AWAY: 19/2 (10.50) – 9.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Chelsea are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 76.9%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this one.

Chelsea are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions, winning their last league game at home to Newcastle 3-2, while Burnley have lost four of their last six fixtures but did win 2-1 at home to Brentford last time out.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Nicolas Jackson is the favourite to score in this game at 11/10 (2.10) which has a probability of 47.6%, or you could go with his teammate Cole Palmer at 5/4 (2.25) with a probability of 44.4%.

Last five H2Hs: Burnley lead but Chelsea have been better lately

England Premier League 07/10/23

Burnley

Burnley

1
Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 05/03/22

Burnley

Burnley

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 06/11/21

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 31/01/21

Chelsea

Chelsea

2
Burnley

Burnley

0

England Premier League 31/10/20

Burnley

Burnley

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

3

Burnley have won 34, drawn 17 and lost 31 of their previous 82 encounters with Chelsea, but the London club are unbeaten in their last 10 against Burnley, winning eight and drawing two.

Team news and form guide

Chelsea: Unbeaten in four

The hosts could be without the likes of Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Reece James, Christopher Nkunku and Lesley Ugochukwu on Saturday due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Petrović (GK), Cucurella, Chalobah, Disasi, Gusto, Gallagher, Palmer, Fernández, Caicedo, Sterling & Jackson

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 15/05/24

W

Brighton

Brighton

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

5

England Premier League 02/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Burnley: Lost four of last six

Aaron Ramsey, Nathan Redmond, Luca Koleosho, David Fofana, Jordan Beyer and Ameen Al-Dakhil are the main injury concerns for the visitors this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Murić (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Assignon, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Fofana & Odobert

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

L

Tottenham

Tottenham

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 04/05/24

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 27/04/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 20/04/24

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

4

Player to watch – Cole Palmer

Chelsea might not be enjoying their best-ever domestic season but Cole Palmer has been in great form for the Londoners.

cole palmer player to watch
Cole Palmer has been Chelsea's best player in 2023/24 – Photo by Icon Sport

The former Man City man has netted 11 league goals and eight assists in his first Premier League campaign with Chelsea, making him the club's most dangerous player in front of goal as well as in and around the penalty area and from set-pieces.

Chelsea's stand-out player this season

We've backed Chelsea to win this weekend and we fully expect Palmer to play a big role by either scoring or setting up a goal or two, perhaps both!


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things