Chelsea first goalscorer odds: 11-goal Palmer to strike again against Burnley?

After an embarrassing blank against Liverpool in the Carabao Cup final, Chelsea have found their scoring touch once more. The Blues have scored 12 goals in their last four matches. 

Mauricio Pochettino’s side welcome Burnley on Saturday. The Clarets have the second worst defensive record in the league, so the likes of Cole Palmer, Nicolas Jackson and Raheem Sterling will be queuing up to open the scoring.

Chelsea first goalscorer odds: our picks

Further Chelsea encouragement can be found in their record against Burnley. In the 15 games the two have played since Burnley’s promotion in 2014, Chelsea have won ten, drawn four and only lost once.

Cole Palmer is the main man at Stamford Bridge and is favourite in our Chelsea first goalscorer odds
Cole Palmer is the main man at Stamford Bridge – Photo by Icon Sport

Cole Palmer – 4/1

To call Chelsea’s approach to transfers in the last two seasons ‘scattergun’ would be putting it kindly. But even broken clocks are right twice a day. The Blues’ opportunistic signing of Cole Palmer is definitely a hit.

Palmer is Chelsea’s top scorer on 11 Premier League goals, the first of which came away to Burnley in September. Remarkably, five of Palmer’s league goals have opened the scoring. He also has eight assists.

The Englishman has been Chelsea’s best player this season, and though he may not be the most vocal, has quickly become a leader at Stamford Bridge, taking responsibility in all phases of play and setting an example for his teammates.

With a first England call-up under his belt, things couldn’t have gone much better for Palmer individually this season. We expect Palmer to continue leading the Blues, and is our pick to open the scoring.

Nicolas Jackson has found a purple patch – Photo by Icon Sport

Nicolas Jackson – 4/1

After a remarkably profligate opening stanza to his Chelsea career, Blues fans will be hoping that Nicolas Jackson has turned a corner. The Senegalese striker has three goals and an assist in his last four appearances.

Getting chances has never been an issue for Jackson. Of players to have made five or more starts, only Erling Haaland and Darwin Nunez can better Jackson’s non-penalty expected goals per 90 rate of 0.62.

The problem for Jackson was finishing. That is still borne out when looking at the biggest under-performers of expected goals in the league. Only Dominic Calvert-Lewin has underperformed his expected goals by a greater margin than Jackson’s -3.6.

But with his recent composed finishes: a fine header against Brentford and well-placed efforts into the bottom corner against Leeds and Newcastle, Jackson’s odds to open the scoring have shortened dramatically to match Palmer’s.

Raheem Sterling has had a dry spell in front of goal – Photo by Icon Sport

Raheem Sterling – 6/1

Third favourite with the bookies is Raheem Sterling. Perhaps unsurprising given the England international’s five career goals against Burnley in 12 starts.

Although the 29-year-old has never been the most cold-blooded finisher, his intelligent runs, determination and speed will always get him chances. There is a reason why only Mo Salah is the only active Premier League player with more goals than Sterling.

With just one goal in his last 13 Premier League appearances, the opening goal against this familiar foe would do Sterling the world of good.

Mykhailo Mudryk is just starting to show his quality – Photo by Icon Sport

Mykhailo Mudryk – 8/1

After an underwhelming first year at Stamford Bridge, Mykhailo Mudryk is starting to show why Chelsea shelled out £89m for the Ukrainian speedster.

Mudryk actually has the third best goals per 90 minutes in the Chelsea squad, with 0.4. Last time out in the Premier League, Mudryk scored a superb solo goal against Newcastle. The 23-year-old pinched the ball off Conor Gallagher, shuffled past Fabian Schar and then danced around Martin Dubravka to roll the ball into an empty net.

Fresh off scoring the winning goal that sent his nation to Euro 2024, Mudryk’s stock would continue to rise with an opening goal against the Clarets

Enzo Fernandez is a threat from range – Photo by Icon Sport

Enzo Fernandez – 12/1

Speaking of strong international performances, Enzo Fernandez scored for his beloved Argentina over the break, in what is fast becoming the most prolific year of his young career.

It was Fernandez’ fifth goal of 2024 in all competitions, which matches his tally for 2023 already. 

There is clear untapped goalscoring potential in Fernandez. The Argentinian has impeccable technique, only Cole Palmer can rival him at Chelsea.

He showed as much with his superb strike against Mexico at the World Cup and his free-kick at Villa Park. If Pochettino can get Fernandez into more shooting positions, there could be even more to come from the 23-year-old.

For more Premier League first goalscorer tips, check out our Newcastle first goalscorer picks.


William Evans is a football and politics fanatic. A first-class graduate of UEA's Broadcast and Digital Journalism MA course, he also achieved a first class degree in politics and media studies during his time at UEA.