Bristol City vs Birmingham prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/01/2023

14/01/23 - 15:00

Finished

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Bristol City - Birmingham

England Championship - Ashton Gate

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Bristol City host Birmingham in round 27 of Championship games on January 14th.

Bristol City vs Birmingham: Our top betting predictions

Neither of these teams are in good form right now and both are perilously close to the Championship drop zone. Will either break their poor runs with a win here?Find out with our Bristol City vs Birmingham match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Brum to win it

We kick off our predictions for this game by backing Birmingham to win. We’ve already touched on the fact both sides are in shoddy form and that is most definitely true with both struggling for results. Bristol City are winless in their last five and, notably, have won just one of their last 10 games. Birmingham meanwhile have only won one in their last five. Their form across their last 10 games, however, is one of the key reasons we fancy them to edge out their hosts here with Brum having won three games in that time. The other big factor we’ve considered is the head to head record; Birmingham have won each of the last three clashes between the teams and have lost just one of the previous eight. Given the odds on offer, this bet looks like real value.

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Do not bank on goals

Our next prediction for this game sees us backing under 2.5 goals in the total goals market. Bristol City have a home average of just 2.2 goals per game putting them in the lowest quartile of the division for goals per game. Birmingham’s away form in regards to total goals is even lower; they have the lowest away average in the league at just 1.9. Those stats hardly scream of an end to end classic.

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Bristol City vs Birmingham

Head to Head

08/10/22

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Bristol City

3

0

05/03/22

England Championship CHA

Bristol City

Birmingham

1

2

02/11/21

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Bristol City

3

0

13/03/21

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Bristol City

0

3

05/12/20

England Championship CHA

Bristol City

Birmingham

0

1

Last Five - Bristol City

19/03/23

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Bristol City

2

0

L

15/03/23

England Championship CHA

Luton

Bristol City

1

0

L

11/03/23

England Championship CHA

Blackpool

Bristol City

0

2

W

07/03/23

England Championship CHA

Huddersfield

Bristol City

0

0

D

04/03/23

England Championship CHA

Cardiff

Bristol City

2

0

L

Last Five - Birmingham

18/03/23

England Championship CHA

QPR

Birmingham

0

1

W

14/03/23

England Championship CHA

Watford

Birmingham

3

0

L

11/03/23

England Championship CHA

Rotherham

Birmingham

0

2

W

04/03/23

England Championship CHA

Wigan

Birmingham

1

1

D

25/02/23

England Championship CHA

Luton

Birmingham

1

0

L

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.

Bristol City odds: 9/7 (2.29) – 44%

Draw odds: 9/4 (3.25) – 31%

Birmingham odds: 15/7 (3.14) – 32%

The bookies odds tell you quite a lot about this game with the main takeaway being that it’s a wide open clash that either side could win albeit the hosts are proved up as favourites; just not by an enormous margin. The other area the bookies are “stuck” is in the both teams to score market. Outcomes ‘yes’ and ‘no’ are widely available at the same price; you’ll perhaps be hard pressed to find genuine value on either of those options!

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Bristol City vs Birmingham

Bristol City

Tomas Kalas remains an injury absentee for Bristol City along with Ayman Benarous. The former is due back this month but it won’t be in time for Saturday. As for the lineup we’re likely to see, an unchanged XI from their credible draw with Swansea last time out is likely.

Predicted lineup – O’Leary, Atkinson, Vyner, Naismith, Scott, Pring, James, Tanner, Semenyo, Weimann, Conway

Birmingham

Birmingham have lost three straight games coming into this match so it’s only natural that a few changes might be made. Troy Deeney is one who might start although newly signed loaneeReda Khadra could also be an option. As for those missing the biggest names continue to be Dion Sanderson and Scott Hogan.

Predicted lineup – Ruddy, Colin, Roberts, Trusty, Bacuna, Graham, James, Bielik, Mejbri, Chong, Deeney

Starting Lineups

14/01/23 - 15:00

Finished

4

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Bristol City - Birmingham

England Championship - Ashton Gate

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

It’s not often our player to watch is one that doesn’t feature in our predicted lineups but it is today and that man is Reda Khadra. Khadra, 21, operates up front and is highly rated at Brighton from whom Birmingham have loaned him. His loan spell in the first half of the season – to Sheffield United – was a tad underwhelming but more minutes await with the Blues with a debut likely from the bench here.

Check out the latest standings

Championship 22/23

#	Team	P	W	D	L	+/-	Points
1	Burnley	37	24	11	2	45	83
2	Sheff Utd	37	21	7	9	25	70
3	Middlesbrough	38	20	7	11	27	67
4	Luton	38	17	13	8	11	64
5	Blackburn	37	19	4	14	1	61
6	Millwall	38	17	9	12	8	60
7	Norwich	38	16	9	13	11	57
8	Coventry	38	15	12	11	10	57
9	West Brom	37	15	10	12	8	55
10	Watford	38	14	13	11	5	55
11	Sunderland	38	14	11	13	7	53
12	Preston	38	14	11	13	-9	53
13	Stoke	38	13	9	16	3	48
14	Bristol City	38	12	12	14	-1	48
15	Hull	38	12	11	15	-10	47
16	Swansea	38	12	10	16	-6	46
17	Birmingham	38	12	9	17	-8	45
18	Reading	38	13	6	19	-18	45
19	QPR	38	11	9	18	-21	42
20	Rotherham	37	9	13	15	-10	40
21	Cardiff	37	10	9	18	-13	39
22	Huddersfield	38	9	9	20	-21	36
23	Blackpool	38	8	11	19	-18	35
24	Wigan	38	7	13	18	-26	31

A quickfire FAQ on Bristol City vs Birmingham

• Where is the match being played? – Ashton Gate
• Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Bristol City
• What time does the match kick off?  3 PM GMT