Leeds vs Brighton Prediction, Odds and Free Betting Tips 11/03/2023

Leeds
11/03/23 - 15:00

Finished

2

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2

Brighton

Leeds - Brighton

England Premier League - Elland Road

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Free Betting Tips for Leeds vs Brighton

Premier League predictions for Leeds' big game at home to European hopefuls Brighton. Leeds really need to secure 3pts at home this weekend or they risk dropping back into the bottom three. Brighton head into this weekend's clash full of confidence after they thrashed relegation-threatened West Ham 4-0 last time out.

Under 2.5 Goals

Our first Leeds vs Brighton prediction delves into the total goals scored during the 90-minutes. We're expecting a low-scoring afternoon when Leeds take on Brighton as each of the last seven meetings between the two clubs have produced under 2.5 goals. Each of Leeds' last five matches in all competitions have witnessed fewer than three goals scored and the same can be said for four of Brighton's last five fixtures.

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Both Teams to Score – No

Our second Leeds vs Brighton prediction is for at most one team scoring on Saturday. Just one of the last seven meetings between these two clubs have ended with both teams finding the back of the net. Both teams have scored in just one of Leeds' and two of Brighton's last six outings in league and cup, adding further weight to our prediction.

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Leeds vs Brighton Odds

Head to Head

27/08/22

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Leeds

Leeds

1

0

15/05/22

England Premier League EPL

Leeds

Leeds

Brighton

Brighton

1

1

27/11/21

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Leeds

Leeds

0

0

01/05/21

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Leeds

Leeds

2

0

16/01/21

England Premier League EPL

Leeds

Leeds

Brighton

Brighton

0

1

Last Five - Leeds

26/05/24

England Championship CHA

Southampton

Southampton

Leeds

Leeds

1

0

L

16/05/24

England Championship CHA

Norwich

Norwich

Leeds

Leeds

0

4

W

12/05/24

England Championship CHA

Norwich

Norwich

Leeds

Leeds

0

0

D

04/05/24

England Championship CHA

Southampton

Southampton

Leeds

Leeds

2

1

L

26/04/24

England Championship CHA

QPR

QPR

Leeds

Leeds

4

0

L

Last Five - Brighton

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Man Utd

Man Utd

Brighton

Brighton

2

0

L

15/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Chelsea

Chelsea

Brighton

Brighton

2

1

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Brighton

Brighton

1

1

D

05/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Brighton

Brighton

0

1

W

28/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Brighton

Brighton

3

0

L

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Leeds vs Brighton.

Leeds odds: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

Draw odds: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

Brighton odds: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

Brighton are the bookmakers' pick to win this weekend with a probability of 48.8% but we're expecting a very tight and tense 90-minutes at Elland Road. If you want more football betting tips for this match then why not try the First Goalscorer market. Evan Ferguson is priced at 6/1 (7.00) to score first in this game and that has a probability of 14.3%, while Danny Welbeck has odds of 15/2 (8.50) and a probability of 11.8% and Patrick Bamford is priced at 8/1 (9.00) as things stand and that is a probability of 11.1%.

Leeds vs Brighton Lineups

Leeds

Leeds slipped to a narrow defeat away at Chelsea last time out which leaves the club sitting one place above the drop zone heading into this weekend's round of fixtures. Fofana scored the only goal of the game for the Londoners in the 53rd-minute but in truth, Leeds did very little to deserve anything out of the game.

Rodrigo, Forshaw, Sinisterra, Cooper, Bamford and Dallas are all doubts for the Brighton game due to injury.

Predicted Lineup – Meslier (GK), Ayling, Koch, Firpo, Wöber, Adams, Harrison, McKennie, Aaronson, Summerville & Rutter 

Brighton

The Seagulls put in a fantastic performance at home to West Ham last weekend, scoring four times without replay. A penalty from World Cup winner Mac Allister got the ball rolling for Brighton in the 18th-minute and Veltman added a second from a 52nd-minute corner. With 21-minutes left on the clock, Mitoma made it 3-0 and Welbeck ended the game in style with the Seagull's fourth and final goal in the 89th-minute.

Moder, Lamptey, Colwill and Lallana are the main injury concerns for the visitors ahead of their trip to Yorkshire this weekend.

Predicted Lineup – Steele (GK), Webster, Dunk, Estupiñán, Lamptey, Groß, March, Mac Allister, Mitoma, Caicedo & Ferguson

Starting Lineups

Leeds

Leeds
4-2-3-1
1
Illan Meslier
fr
2
Luke Ayling
gb
5
Robin Koch
de
39
Maximilian Wober
at
3
Junior Firpo
es
12
Tyler Adams
us
8
Marc Roca
es
10
Crysencio Summerville
nl
7
Brenden Aaronson
us
11
Jack Harrison
gb
9
Patrick Bamford
gb
Substitutes
21
Pascal Struijk
nl
25
Rasmus Kristensen
dk
23
Luis Sinisterra
co
29
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
it
42
Sam Greenwood
gb
22
Joel Robles
es
19
Rodrigo Moreno
es
24
Georginio Rutter
fr
28
Weston McKennie
us

Brighton

Brighton
4-2-3-1
23
Jason Steele
gb
34
Joel Veltman
nl
4
Adam Webster
gb
5
Lewis Dunk
gb
30
Pervis Estupinan
ec
13
Pascal Gross
de
25
Moises Caicedo
ec
7
Solly March
gb
10
Alexis Mac Allister
ar
22
Kaoru Mitoma
jp
28
Evan Ferguson
ie
Substitutes
18
Danny Welbeck
gb
6
Levi Colwill
gb
26
Yasin Abbas Ayari
se
19
Jeremy Sarmiento
ec
20
Julio Enciso
py
29
Jan Paul Van Hecke
nl
1
Robert Sanchez
es
21
Deniz Undav
de
40
Facundo Valentin Buonanotte
ar

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Pascal Groß

Brighton's 31-year-old midfielder has chipped in with 6-goals and 4-assists in the Premier League alone this season. Those stats make him the club's joint-top scorer in the league, if you don't include the now departed Trossard who has 7-goals, and puts him joint-top of the assists chart with March.

Just those stats alone show you why we have picked out Groß as our player to watch in this game. The German's work for Brighton so often goes unnoticed and in what we expect to be a very tight and tense 90-minutes away at struggling Leeds, we're backing Groß to put in another good performance which could help produce yet another Seagulls victory.

Premier League Standings

Premier League
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Man City

Man City

38 28 7 3 62 91
2 Arsenal

Arsenal

38 28 5 5 62 89
3 Liverpool

Liverpool

38 24 10 4 45 82
4 Aston Villa

Aston Villa

38 20 8 10 15 68
5 Tottenham

Tottenham

38 20 6 12 13 66
6 Chelsea

Chelsea

38 18 9 11 14 63
7 Newcastle

Newcastle

38 18 6 14 23 60
8 Man Utd

Man Utd

38 18 6 14 -1 60
9 West Ham

West Ham

38 14 10 14 -14 52
10 Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

38 13 10 15 -1 49
11 Brighton

Brighton

38 12 12 14 -7 48
12 Bournemouth

Bournemouth

38 13 9 16 -13 48
13 Fulham

Fulham

38 13 8 17 -6 47
14 Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

38 13 7 18 -15 46
15 Everton

Everton

38 13 9 16 -11 40
16 Brentford

Brentford

38 10 9 19 -9 39
17 Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

38 9 9 20 -18 32
18 Luton

Luton

38 6 8 24 -33 26
19 Burnley

Burnley

38 5 9 24 -37 24
20 Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

38 3 7 28 -69 16

Leeds vs Brighton – Your questions

leeds vs brighton

  • Who are the favourite to win? – Brighton are the favourite with the bookmakers.
  • What was the score when these two teams last met? – Brighton 1-0 Leeds.
  • What time is kick-off? – 15:00 GMT, 16:00 CET.

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things