Leeds vs Brighton Prediction, Odds and Free Betting Tips 11/03/2023

Leeds
11/03/23 - 15:00

Finished

2

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2

Brighton

Leeds - Brighton

England Premier League - Elland Road

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Free Betting Tips for Leeds vs Brighton

Premier League predictions for Leeds' big game at home to European hopefuls Brighton. Leeds really need to secure 3pts at home this weekend or they risk dropping back into the bottom three. Brighton head into this weekend's clash full of confidence after they thrashed relegation-threatened West Ham 4-0 last time out.

Under 2.5 Goals

Our first Leeds vs Brighton prediction delves into the total goals scored during the 90-minutes. We're expecting a low-scoring afternoon when Leeds take on Brighton as each of the last seven meetings between the two clubs have produced under 2.5 goals. Each of Leeds' last five matches in all competitions have witnessed fewer than three goals scored and the same can be said for four of Brighton's last five fixtures.

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Both Teams to Score – No

Our second Leeds vs Brighton prediction is for at most one team scoring on Saturday. Just one of the last seven meetings between these two clubs have ended with both teams finding the back of the net. Both teams have scored in just one of Leeds' and two of Brighton's last six outings in league and cup, adding further weight to our prediction.

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Leeds vs Brighton Odds

Head to Head

27/08/22

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Leeds

Leeds

1

0

15/05/22

England Premier League EPL

Leeds

Leeds

Brighton

Brighton

1

1

27/11/21

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Leeds

Leeds

0

0

01/05/21

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Leeds

Leeds

2

0

16/01/21

England Premier League EPL

Leeds

Leeds

Brighton

Brighton

0

1

Last Five - Leeds

03/05/25

England Championship CHA

Plymouth

Plymouth

Leeds

Leeds

1

2

W

28/04/25

England Championship CHA

Bristol City

Bristol City

Leeds

Leeds

0

4

W

21/04/25

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Leeds

Leeds

0

6

W

18/04/25

England Championship CHA

Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

Leeds

Leeds

0

1

W

12/04/25

England Championship CHA

Preston

Preston

Leeds

Leeds

1

2

W

Last Five - Brighton

10/05/25

England Premier League EPL

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Brighton

Brighton

0

2

W

04/05/25

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Brighton

Brighton

1

1

D

26/04/25

England Premier League EPL

West Ham

West Ham

Brighton

Brighton

2

3

W

19/04/25

England Premier League EPL

Brentford

Brentford

Brighton

Brighton

4

2

L

12/04/25

England Premier League EPL

Leicester

Leicester

Brighton

Brighton

2

2

D

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Leeds vs Brighton.

Leeds odds: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

Draw odds: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

Brighton odds: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

Brighton are the bookmakers' pick to win this weekend with a probability of 48.8% but we're expecting a very tight and tense 90-minutes at Elland Road. If you want more football betting tips for this match then why not try the First Goalscorer market. Evan Ferguson is priced at 6/1 (7.00) to score first in this game and that has a probability of 14.3%, while Danny Welbeck has odds of 15/2 (8.50) and a probability of 11.8% and Patrick Bamford is priced at 8/1 (9.00) as things stand and that is a probability of 11.1%.

Leeds vs Brighton Lineups

Leeds

Leeds slipped to a narrow defeat away at Chelsea last time out which leaves the club sitting one place above the drop zone heading into this weekend's round of fixtures. Fofana scored the only goal of the game for the Londoners in the 53rd-minute but in truth, Leeds did very little to deserve anything out of the game.

Rodrigo, Forshaw, Sinisterra, Cooper, Bamford and Dallas are all doubts for the Brighton game due to injury.

Predicted Lineup – Meslier (GK), Ayling, Koch, Firpo, Wöber, Adams, Harrison, McKennie, Aaronson, Summerville & Rutter 

Brighton

The Seagulls put in a fantastic performance at home to West Ham last weekend, scoring four times without replay. A penalty from World Cup winner Mac Allister got the ball rolling for Brighton in the 18th-minute and Veltman added a second from a 52nd-minute corner. With 21-minutes left on the clock, Mitoma made it 3-0 and Welbeck ended the game in style with the Seagull's fourth and final goal in the 89th-minute.

Moder, Lamptey, Colwill and Lallana are the main injury concerns for the visitors ahead of their trip to Yorkshire this weekend.

Predicted Lineup – Steele (GK), Webster, Dunk, Estupiñán, Lamptey, Groß, March, Mac Allister, Mitoma, Caicedo & Ferguson

Starting Lineups

Leeds

Leeds
4-2-3-1
1
Illan Meslier
fr
2
Luke Ayling
gb
5
Robin Koch
de
39
Maximilian Wober
at
3
Junior Firpo
do
12
Tyler Adams
us
8
Marc Roca
es
10
Crysencio Summerville
nl
7
Brenden Aaronson
us
11
Jack Harrison
gb
9
Patrick Bamford
gb
Substitutes
21
Pascal Struijk
nl
25
Rasmus Kristensen
dk
23
Luis Sinisterra
co
29
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
it
42
Sam Greenwood
gb
22
Joel Robles
es
19
Rodrigo Moreno
es
24
Georginio Rutter
fr
28
Weston McKennie
us

Brighton

Brighton
4-2-3-1
23
Jason Steele
gb
34
Joel Veltman
nl
4
Adam Webster
gb
5
Lewis Dunk
gb
30
Pervis Estupinan
ec
13
Pascal Gross
de
25
Moises Caicedo
ec
7
Solly March
gb
10
Alexis Mac Allister
ar
22
Kaoru Mitoma
jp
28
Evan Ferguson
ie
Substitutes
18
Danny Welbeck
gb
6
Levi Colwill
gb
26
Yasin Ayari
se
19
Jeremy Sarmiento
ec
20
Julio Enciso
py
29
Jan Paul Van Hecke
nl
1
Robert Sanchez
es
21
Deniz Undav
de
40
Buonanotte Facundo
ar

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Pascal Groß

Brighton's 31-year-old midfielder has chipped in with 6-goals and 4-assists in the Premier League alone this season. Those stats make him the club's joint-top scorer in the league, if you don't include the now departed Trossard who has 7-goals, and puts him joint-top of the assists chart with March.

Just those stats alone show you why we have picked out Groß as our player to watch in this game. The German's work for Brighton so often goes unnoticed and in what we expect to be a very tight and tense 90-minutes away at struggling Leeds, we're backing Groß to put in another good performance which could help produce yet another Seagulls victory.

Premier League Standings

Premier League
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Liverpool

Liverpool

36 25 8 3 46 83
2 Arsenal

Arsenal

36 18 14 4 33 68
3 Newcastle

Newcastle

36 20 6 10 23 66
4 Man City

Man City

36 19 8 9 24 65
5 Chelsea

Chelsea

36 18 9 9 19 63
6 Aston Villa

Aston Villa

36 18 9 9 7 63
7 Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

36 18 8 10 12 62
8 Brentford

Brentford

36 16 7 13 10 55
9 Brighton

Brighton

36 14 13 9 3 55
10 Bournemouth

Bournemouth

36 14 11 11 12 53
11 Fulham

Fulham

36 14 9 13 1 51
12 Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

36 12 13 11 -2 49
13 Everton

Everton

36 9 15 12 -5 42
14 Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

36 12 5 19 -13 41
15 West Ham

West Ham

36 10 10 16 -17 40
16 Man Utd

Man Utd

36 10 9 17 -11 39
17 Tottenham

Tottenham

36 11 5 20 4 38
18 Ipswich

Ipswich

36 4 10 22 -42 22
19 Leicester

Leicester

36 5 7 24 -47 22
20 Southampton

Southampton

36 2 6 28 -57 12

Leeds vs Brighton – Your questions

leeds vs brighton

  • Who are the favourite to win? – Brighton are the favourite with the bookmakers.
  • What was the score when these two teams last met? – Brighton 1-0 Leeds.
  • What time is kick-off? – 15:00 GMT, 16:00 CET.
epl predictions