Burnley vs Brighton prediction, odds & betting tips – 13/04/2024

13/04/24 - 15:00

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Burnley - Brighton

England Premier League - Turf Moor

It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of Brighton's trip to the North West to face Burnley. Two teams that have struggled for wins in recent weeks go head-to-head on Saturday and we're expecting the game to produce plenty of goalmouth action as both sides like to attack and often leave defending as an afterthought.

Burnley vs Brighton predictions: Seagulls to edge out Burnley

Key Stats

• Brighton have won two of their last three trips to Turf Moor and have only lost one of their last seven Premier League meetings with Burnley.
• Burnley have only failed to score in two of their last six matches and have looked good going forward of late but have still conceded two goals in three of their last six outings.
• Brighton's top goalscorer Joao Pedro should be back in the starting lineup this weekend, looking to add to his current total of eight league goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Away win on the cards

• HOME: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
• DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
• AWAY: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Brighton are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 48.8%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this one.

Burnley lost a crucial game at Goodison Park 1-0 last weekend and have only won one, drawn three and lost two of their last six league games. Brighton were beaten 3-0 in their own backyard by Arsenal last time out and have managed to win two, draw one and lose three of their last six outings.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. If you want to back BTTS in this game the odds stand at 4/7 (1.57) with a probability of 63.6%, while a bet on BTTS – No is priced at 31/20 (2.55) which has a probability of 39.2%.

Last five H2Hs: Burnley edge it

England Premier League 09/12/23

Brighton

1

Burnley

1

England Premier League 19/02/22

Brighton

0

Burnley

3

England Premier League 14/08/21

Burnley

1

Brighton

2

England Premier League 06/02/21

Burnley

1

Brighton

1

England Premier League 06/11/20

Brighton

0

Burnley

0

Burnley have won eight, drawn 14 and lost seven of their last 29 encounters with Brighton and the pair played out a 1-1 draw on the South Coast back in December.

Team news and form guide

Burnley: Without a win in last three

Aaron Ramsey, Nathan Redmond, Luca Koleosho, Jordan Beyer, Ameen Al-Dakhil and Han-Noah Massengo could all miss out this weekend for Vincent Kompany's men due to injury, while Dara O'Shea is suspended.

Predicted lineup: Murić (GK), Taylor, Delcroix, Esteve, Assignon, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Foster, Fofana & Odobert

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

1

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

0

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

1

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

1

Burnley

2

Brighton: Two wins from last five in all comps

The Seagulls could be without the services of Solomon March, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, Billy Gilmour and James Milner through injury, but Evan Ferguson and Adam Webster are expected to return to the squad.

Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Dunk, Estupiñán, Lamptey, van Hecke, Groß, Moder, Baleba, Welbeck, Pedro & Adingra

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Wolverhampton

0

Brighton

2

England Premier League 04/05/25

D

Newcastle

1

Brighton

1

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

West Ham

2

Brighton

3

England Premier League 19/04/25

L

Brentford

4

Brighton

2

England Premier League 12/04/25

D

Leicester

2

Brighton

2

Player to watch – Joao Pedro

Brighton took a gamble on Joao Pedro in the summer after a lot of clubs had looked at the Brazilian forward over the last couple of season, and the gamble seems to have paid off.

The 22-year-old forward has scored eight goals in the Premier League this season and is back in the side following a two-month injury layoff.

Brighton's Brazilian forward returned from injury last weekend

Pedro heads into this weekend's match in good form having scored eight goals in his last nine appearances across all competitions, so keep your eye on the Brazilian at Turf Moor.