Brighton vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips 09/12/2023

Brighton
09/12/23 - 15:00

Finished

1

-

1

Burnley

Brighton - Burnley

England Premier League - American Express Community Stadium

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Here are our Premier League predictions ahead of Burnley's trip to the south coast to face Brighton on Saturday. The Seagulls go in search of a win that could send them back into the European places this weekend, while their guests Burnley will be hoping that a win of their own is enough to lift them out of the relegation zone.

Brighton vs Burnley prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Brighton to Win

  • Brighton have won two of their last five league meetings with Burnley, only losing once during that period.
  • The Seagulls have won four of their last six matches in all competitions.

Another reason that we have backed Brighton to win as our main prediction is that Burnley have lost five of their last six outings in league and cup.

Latest odds

Head to Head

19/02/22

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Burnley

Burnley

0

3

14/08/21

England Premier League EPL

Burnley

Burnley

Brighton

Brighton

1

2

06/02/21

England Premier League EPL

Burnley

Burnley

Brighton

Brighton

1

1

06/11/20

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Burnley

Burnley

0

0

26/07/20

England Premier League EPL

Burnley

Burnley

Brighton

Brighton

1

2

Last Five - Brighton

18/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

Brighton

Brighton

0

5

W

10/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Tottenham

Tottenham

Brighton

Brighton

2

1

L

03/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Brighton

Brighton

1

4

W

30/01/24

England Premier League EPL

Luton

Luton

Brighton

Brighton

4

0

L

27/01/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

Brighton

Brighton

2

5

W

Last Five - Burnley

17/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Arsenal

Arsenal

Burnley

Burnley

5

0

L

10/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Liverpool

Liverpool

Burnley

Burnley

3

1

L

03/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Fulham

Fulham

Burnley

Burnley

2

2

D

31/01/24

England Premier League EPL

Man City

Man City

Burnley

Burnley

3

1

L

12/01/24

England Premier League EPL

Luton

Luton

Burnley

Burnley

1

1

D

Win probability

  • HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%%
  • DRAW: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%
  • AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

Brighton are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 64.5%, and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this call. For more football betting tips on Saturday's clash, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. If you want to bet on Over 2.5 Goals to be scored in this game the odds stand at 3/5 (1.60) with a probability of 62.5%, but if you decide to go the other way and back Under 2.5 Goals, that is priced at 6/4 (2.50) and has a probability of 40%.

Brighton vs Burnley prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 3-1

  • Burnley have conceded at least three goals in three of their last six matches.
  • Both teams have scored in four of Brighton's last six outings in all competitions.

Both Teams to Score

  • Four of the last six encounters between Brighton and Burnley have ended with both teams scoring.
  • Brighton have seen four of their last six matches end with both teams getting on the scoreboard.

brighton vs burnley

Brighton vs Burnley team news

Brighton

The Seagulls might have slipped behind at home to Brentford in midweek but the two teams went in level at the interval thanks to a thirty-first-minute equaliser from Pascal Gross. The German midfielder turned from scorer to provider early in the second forty-five as teenager Jack Hinshelwood scored his first-ever senior goal for Brighton, and it turned out to be the winner. Pervis Estupinan, Tariq Lamptey, Anssumane Fati, Julio Espinola, Danny Welbeck, Adam Webster and Solomon March make up the list of injured players for Brighton ahead of this weekend's match, but Mahmoud Dahoud and Lewis Dunk are both now available following suspensions.

Predicted Lineup: Steele (GK), Dunk, van Hecke, Groß, Gilmour, Mitoma, Hinshelwood, Buonanotte, Baleba, Pedro & Adingra

Burnley

Burnley had been hoping to build upon their emphatic win over Sheff Utd last time out when they made the trip to Molineux to face Wolves. However, a solitary first-half goal from Hwang Hee-Chan proved enough to condemn Vincent Kompany's men to yet another Premier League defeat. Luca Koleosho picked up an injury in that loss and could now miss the trip to Brighton along with Jack Cork and Lyle Foster but Jordan Beyer is back in the squad following his one-match suspension.

Predicted Lineup: Trafford (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Beyer, Vitinho, Brownhill, Berge, Rodríguez, Bruun Larsen, Amdouni & Guðmunds­son

Brighton

Brighton
4-2-3-1
1
Bart Verbruggen
nl
6
James Milner
gb
5
Lewis Dunk
gb
29
Jan Paul Van Hecke
nl
20
Carlos Baleba
cm
13
Pascal Gross
de
8
Mahmoud Dahoud
de
24
Simon Adingra
ci
14
Adam Lallana
gb
9
Joao Pedro
br
28
Evan Ferguson
ie
Substitutes
41
Jack Hinshelwood
gb
11
Billy Gilmour
gb
22
Kaoru Mitoma
jp
40
Facundo Valentin Buonanotte
ar
55
Mark O'Mahony
ie
47
Benicio Boaitey
gb
3
Igor
br
15
Jakub Moder
pl
23
Jason Steele
gb

Burnley

Burnley
4-4-2
1
James Trafford
gb
22
Vitinho
br
2
Dara O'Shea
ie
5
Louis Beyer
de
3
Charlie Taylor
gb
47
Wilson Odobert
fr
16
Sander Berge
no
8
Josh Brownhill
gb
7
Johann Gudmundsson
is
9
Jay Rodriguez
gb
25
Zeki Amdouni
ch
Substitutes
49
Arijanet Muric
xk
19
Anass Zaroury
ma
42
Han-Noah Massengo
fr
18
Hjalmar Ekdal
se
21
Aaron Ramsey
gb
15
Nathan Redmond
gb
14
Connor Roberts
gb
34
Jacob Bruun Larsen
dk
31
Mike Tresor
be

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: João Pedro

Brighton's Brazilian forward João Pedro has been in good form of late and we're backing the former Watford man to impress against a leaky Burnley defense this weekend.

Pedro is just one goal behind Brighton's current top goalscorer Evan Ferguson with five Premier League goals this season and the 22-year-old has scored four goals in his last four appearances in league and cup for the Seagulls.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.