Luton vs Brentford prediction, odds & betting tips – 20/04/2024

20/04/24 - 15:00

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Luton - Brentford

England Premier League - Kenilworth Road

We're bringing you our Premier League predictions for Saturday's big game at the bottom of the table between Luton and Brentford. The Hatters will move out of the relegation zone with a win at home against Brentford this weekend as the two sides above them, Nottingham Forest and Everton, play one another on Sunday. The Bees aren't out of trouble themselves just yet but a win on Saturday would take Thomas Frank's side another step closer to safety.

Luton vs Brentford predictions: Will Luton secure a big three points?

Key Stats

• At least three goals have been scored in five of the last six competitive and non-competitive meetings between Luton and Brentford, while over 2.5 goals have been produced in four of the hosts' and three of the visitors' last six outings.
• Luton play their best football at home where they secured a 2-1 victory against Bournemouth last time out, while Brentford have lost two of their last three away games via a scoreline of 2-1.
• Calton Morris top scores for Luton this season with nine Premier League goals, two of which have arrived in the club's last three home games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Brentford backed by the bookmakers

• HOME: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
• DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
• AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Brentford are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 45.5%, but we're expecting a very competitive 90 minutes between the pair.

Luton lost 5-1 at Manchester City in their last league game and have picked up one win, one draw and four defeats from their last six outings, while Brentford beat Sheff Utd 2-0 to make it one win, three draws and two defeats from their last six.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back over 2.5 goals to be scored in this game at 4/7 (1.57) which has a probability of 63.6%, while a bet on under 2.5 goals is priced at 29/20 (2.45) with a probability of 40.8%.

Last five H2Hs: Brentford in front

England Premier League 02/12/23

Brentford

3

Luton

1

England Championship 20/01/21

Brentford

1

Luton

0

England Championship 31/10/20

Luton

0

Brentford

3

England Championship 25/02/20

Luton

2

Brentford

1

England Championship 30/11/19

Brentford

7

Luton

0

The Bees secured a 3-1 victory against Luton in December to make it 13 wins, four draws and 10 defeats against the Hatters.

Team news and form guide

Luton: Strongest at home

Gabriel Osho, Thomas Lockyer, Marvelous Nakamba, Jacob Brown, Dan Potts, Amari'i Bell, Elijah Adebayo, Chiedozie Ogbene and Mads Andersen could all miss out on Saturday due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Kaminski (GK), Burke, Hashioka, Townsend, Berry, Barkley, Clark, Onyedinma, Chong, Doughty & Morris

England Championship 03/05/25

L

West Brom

5

Luton

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

Coventry

0

Luton

1

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Bristol City

1

Luton

3

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Derby

0

Luton

1

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Blackburn

1

Luton

0

Brentford: Unbeaten in last four

The visitors will be without the services of Joshua Dasilva, Aaron Hickey, Rico Henry and Ben Mee for the trip to Luton but Kristoffer Ajer and Christian Norgaard should be available following injury.

Predicted lineup: Flekken (GK), Jørgensen, Reguilón, Roerslev, Collins, Wissa, Jensen, Janelt, Mbeumo, Damsgaard & Maupay

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Ipswich

0

Brentford

1

England Premier League 04/05/25

W

Man Utd

3

Brentford

4

England Premier League 01/05/25

W

Nottm Forest

0

Brentford

2

England Premier League 19/04/25

W

Brighton

2

Brentford

4

England Premier League 12/04/25

D

Arsenal

1

Brentford

1

Player to watch – Carlton Morris

Luton Carlton Morris joint-top scores for the Hatters this season with nine goals and could play a huge role for the club this weekend.

Morris scored the winner against Bournemouth in Luton's last home game and we're backing the 28-year-old to find the back of the net once again on Saturday.

The Hatters' striker is leading by example

The Luton striker leads by example up front, giving his all for the cause and creating plenty of problems for opposition defences with his strength and ability to hold up the ball and bring his teammates into play.