Portimonense vs Braga prediction, odds & betting tips – 01/04/2024

01/04/24 - 20:15

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Portimonense - Braga

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Here are our Portuguese league predictions ahead of Braga's trip to Portimonense on Monday night. Visitors Braga are pushing for Champions League qualification this season while their hosts Portimonense are battling for their Primeira Liga status.

Portimonense vs Braga predictions: Can Portimonense cause an upset?

Key Stats

• Over 2.5 goals have been scored in six of the last seven competitive and non-competitive meetings between Portimonense and Braga, while three of the host's and five of the visitor's last six outings have also produced at least three goals.
• Braga have scored three or more goals in three of their last five matches, while Portimonense have failed to score in five of their last six outings.
• Simon Bazna will be hoping to add to his 19 league goals for Braga this season as the Congo DR striker chases the Golden Boot Award in Portugal this season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Braga backed by the bookmakers

• HOME: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
• DRAW: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%
• AWAY: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Braga are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 67.7%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this one.

Portimonense have lost four of their last six league games, going down 1-0 at Estoril last time out, while Braga have won five of their last six fixtures, beating Gil Vicente 2-1 in their last game.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. You can back BTTS in this game at 4/5 (1.80) which has a probability of 55.6%, while a bet on BTTS – No is priced at 23/20 (2.15) with a probability of 46.5%.

Last five H2Hs: Braga dominate

Portugal Cup 25/11/23

Portimonense

1

Braga

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/11/23

Braga

6

Portimonense

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/04/23

Braga

4

Portimonense

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 13/11/22

Portimonense

1

Braga

2

Europe Friendlies 23/07/22

Portimonense

2

Braga

0

Of their last 22 encounters, Braga have beaten Portimonense 17 times, drawing on four occasions and losing just once.

Team news and form guide

Portimonense: Lost four of last six

Portimonense have a clean bill of health for Monday's match but will be without Carlinhos who picked up another yellow card last time out and is now suspended for the Braga game.

Predicted lineup: Nakamura (GK), Seck, Pedrão, Formiga, Relvas, Alemão, Dener, Carlinhos, Ventura, Carrillo & Varela

Portugal Segunda Liga 11/05/25

L

FC Porto B

3

Portimonense

0

Portugal Segunda Liga 03/05/25

L

Academico Viseu

2

Portimonense

1

Portugal Segunda Liga 27/04/25

D

Tondela

2

Portimonense

2

Portugal Segunda Liga 18/04/25

W

Pacos Ferreira

0

Portimonense

2

Portugal Segunda Liga 12/04/25

L

Chaves

2

Portimonense

0

Braga: Won five of last six

The visitors could be without the likes of Sikou Niakaté, Ricardo Horta and Adrian Marin due to injury, but should still have more than enough in their side to comfortably win on Monday night.

Predicted lineup: Matheus (GK), Oliveira, Borja, Gómez, Saatçı, Moutinho, Zalazar, Bruma, Banza, Ruiz & Fernandes

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

L

Casa Pia

2

Braga

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25

D

Santa Clara

1

Braga

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 25/04/25

D

Famalicao

1

Braga

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

W

Estoril

0

Braga

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 13/04/25

W

AVS

1

Braga

4

Player to watch – Simon Banza

Only Viktor Gyokeres has scored more goals in Portugal's top flight so far this season but Simon Banza will still believe that he can outscore the Swede.

Braga's Congo DR international has netted 19 times in the league this season, putting him three goals behind Sporting's Gyokeres. The 27-year-old heads into the Portimonense game in great form with seven goals in his last seven appearances for the club across all competitions.

Banging in the goals for Braga

We're backing Banza to find the back of the net against a struggling Portimonense side that have been leaking goals of late. Braga still have plenty to play for this season and if they can finish strongly, a Champions League place is up for grabs.