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Burnley - Arsenal
England Premier League - Turf Moor
We're bringing you our Premier League predictions for Arsenal's trip to Burnley. The Gunners are back in the title race following that win against Liverpool, while little has changed for Burnley, who were heavily featured in our relegation tricast betting piece back in November.
Contents
Burnley vs Arsenal predictions: Gunner's title chase building momentum
| ⚽ Total Goals prediction |
Over 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽ Correct Score prediction |
Burnley 1-3 Arsenal |
| ⚽ Anytime Goalscorer prediction |
Bukayo Saka |
Burnley are in the midst of a winless run and face another tough game this weekend at home to in-form Arsenal who have won each of their last four league games.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal the big favourite to win
- HOME: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
- DRAW: 24/5 (5.80) – 17.2%
- AWAY: 1/3 (1.33) – 75%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Burnley have lost four of their last six outings in all competitions, while the Gunners arrive at Turf Moor on the back of four straight Premier League wins.
Last five H2Hs: Arsenal have only lost one of their last seven against Burnley
England Premier League 11/11/23
Arsenal
Burnley
England Premier League 23/01/22
Arsenal
Burnley
England Premier League 18/09/21
Burnley
Arsenal
England Premier League 06/03/21
Burnley
Arsenal
England Premier League 13/12/20
Arsenal
Burnley
Arsenal have won three of their last seven games against Burnley, losing just once during that period.
Team news and form guide
Burnley: Burnley without a win in six
Nathan Redmond, Luca Koleosho, Jordan Beyer, Charlie Taylor and Lyle Foster could all miss the game against Arsenal due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Delcroi, O'Shea, Esteve, Assignon, Brownhill, Berge, Ramsey, Amdouni, Fofana & Odobert
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Millwall
1
Burnley
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
QPR
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sheff Utd
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Watford
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2
Arsenal: Gunners looking to make it five wins on the run
Jurrien Timber, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Emile Smith Rowe, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Fabio Ferreira Vieira, Gabriel Jesus and Thomas Partey are the main injury concerns for Mikel Arteta's side ahead of Saturday's trip to Turf Moor.
Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), Gabriel, White, Kiwior, Saliba, Ødegaard, Rice, Havertz, Trossard, Saka & Martinelli
England Premier League 11/05/25
D
Liverpool
2
Arsenal
2
UEFA Champions League 07/05/25
L
PSG
2
Arsenal
1
England Premier League 03/05/25
L
Bournemouth
2
Arsenal
1
UEFA Champions League 29/04/25
L
PSG
1
Arsenal
0
England Premier League 23/04/25
D
Crystal Palace
2
Arsenal
2
Our free expert picks: Arsenal to dominate at Turf Moor
Arsenal are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 75%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection. For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market.
You can back BTTS on Saturday at 1/1 (2.00) which has a probability of 50%, while a bet on BTTS – No is priced at 20/23 (1.87) with a probability of 53.5%.
Hot tip – Over 2.5 Goals
- November's reverse league meetings between these two clubs produced over 2.5 goals.
- Five of Arsenal's and four of Burnley's last six outings in league and cup have produced over 2.5 goals.
Other tips
Burnley 1-3 Arsenal
- Arsenal have scored three or more goals in three of their last four league games.
- Burnley have only failed to score in one of their last six matches in all competitions.
Bukayo Saka to Score
- Saka top scores for the Gunners this season with 10 league goals.
- Saka has scored the first goal in six league games for Arsenal this season, three times as many as any of his teammates.
Player to watch – Bukayo Saka
Saka scored twice in Arsenal;'s 6-0 demolition of West Ham last time out, and we're backing the England man to shine again on Saturday.
Saka pace and movement to cause problems
Burnley have a leaky defense that is bound to be troubled by the pace and movement of Saka who claimed an assist in Arsenal's first goal against Burnley back in November.
