Burnley vs Arsenal prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/02/2024

Burnley
17/02/24 - 15:00

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Arsenal

Burnley - Arsenal

England Premier League - Turf Moor

Burnley vs Arsenal prediction
Arsenal's Oleksandr Zinchenko (second right) celebrates scoring his side's third goal of the game against Burnley – Photo by Icon sport

We're bringing you our Premier League predictions for Arsenal's trip to Burnley. The Gunners are back in the title race following that win against Liverpool, while little has changed for Burnley, who were heavily featured in our relegation tricast betting piece back in November.

Burnley vs Arsenal predictions: Gunner's title chase building momentum

Burnley vs Arsenal predictions
Our pick

⚽ Total Goals prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Burnley 1-3 Arsenal

⚽ Anytime Goalscorer prediction

Bukayo Saka

Burnley are in the midst of a winless run and face another tough game this weekend at home to in-form Arsenal who have won each of their last four league games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal the big favourite to win

  • HOME: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
  • DRAW: 24/5 (5.80) – 17.2%
  • AWAY: 1/3 (1.33) – 75%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Burnley have lost four of their last six outings in all competitions, while the Gunners arrive at Turf Moor on the back of four straight Premier League wins.

Last five H2Hs: Arsenal have only lost one of their last seven against Burnley

England Premier League 11/11/23

Arsenal

Arsenal

3
Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 23/01/22

Arsenal

Arsenal

0
Burnley

Burnley

0

England Premier League 18/09/21

Burnley

Burnley

0
Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 06/03/21

Burnley

Burnley

1
Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 13/12/20

Arsenal

Arsenal

0
Burnley

Burnley

1

Arsenal have won three of their last seven games against Burnley, losing just once during that period.

Team news and form guide

Burnley: Burnley without a win in six

Nathan Redmond, Luca Koleosho, Jordan Beyer, Charlie Taylor and Lyle Foster could all miss the game against Arsenal due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Delcroi, O'Shea, Esteve, Assignon, Brownhill, Berge, Ramsey, Amdouni, Fofana & Odobert

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

L

Tottenham

Tottenham

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 04/05/24

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 27/04/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 20/04/24

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

4

Arsenal: Gunners looking to make it five wins on the run

Jurrien Timber, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Emile Smith Rowe, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Fabio Ferreira Vieira, Gabriel Jesus and Thomas Partey are the main injury concerns for Mikel Arteta's side ahead of Saturday's trip to Turf Moor.

Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), Gabriel, White, Kiwior, Saliba, Ødegaard, Rice, Havertz, Trossard, Saka & Martinelli 

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Everton

Everton

1

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

England Premier League 12/05/24

W

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 04/05/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

3

Others 03/05/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 01/05/24

W

Man City

Man City

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

Our free expert picks: Arsenal to dominate at Turf Moor

Arsenal are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 75%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection. For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market.

You can back BTTS on Saturday at 1/1 (2.00) which has a probability of 50%, while a bet on BTTS – No is priced at 20/23 (1.87) with a probability of 53.5%.

Hot tip – Over 2.5 Goals

  • November's reverse league meetings between these two clubs produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Five of Arsenal's and four of Burnley's last six outings in league and cup have produced over 2.5 goals.

Other tips

Burnley 1-3 Arsenal

  • Arsenal have scored three or more goals in three of their last four league games.
  • Burnley have only failed to score in one of their last six matches in all competitions.

Bukayo Saka to Score

  • Saka top scores for the Gunners this season with 10 league goals.
  • Saka has scored the first goal in six league games for Arsenal this season, three times as many as any of his teammates.
Saka player to watch
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka during the Premier League match against Burnley – Photo by Icon sport

Player to watch – Bukayo Saka

Saka scored twice in Arsenal;'s 6-0 demolition of West Ham last time out, and we're backing the England man to shine again on Saturday.

Saka pace and movement to cause problems

Burnley have a leaky defense that is bound to be troubled by the pace and movement of Saka who claimed an assist in Arsenal's first goal against Burnley back in November.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things