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Armenia welcome Cyprus to the Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium on Thursday knowing that defeat or a draw would end their hopes of reaching the UEFA Nations League promotion places before the final round of fixtures.
The visitors are in a much stronger position heading into the penultimate matchday, sitting second in Group C2 with seven points from four games and knowing that a draw in Yerevan would guarantee them at least a place in the promotion play-offs.
Montenegro currently top the group on 10 points, leaving Cyprus three points behind the leaders and Armenia six adrift, meaning the hosts must claim all three points to keep their promotion hopes alive.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
Armenia vs Cyprus preview key stats
- Cyprus are unbeaten in their last three Nations League matches.
- Armenia have won just one of their last 11 matches across all competitions, drawing three and losing seven.
- Cyprus have scored two or more goals in each of their last seven H2H meetings with Armenia.
Armenia vs Cyprus preview: Visitors can strengthen promotion hopes in Yerevan
Armenia vs Cyprus — Tale of the Tape
| Armenia | vs | Cyprus |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd | Position | 2nd |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Goals For | 5 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| W1 D0 L1 (H) | Home / Away Rank | W0 D1 L1 (A) |
Armenia's hopes of rescuing their campaign have faded after they failed to build on their opening 2-0 victory over Latvia, picking up just one point from their next three Nations League fixtures.
Yeghishe Melikyan's side were unable to make home advantage count against Montenegro in September, eventually suffering a 3-2 defeat after conceding a late winner despite drawing level through Eduard Spertsyan in the second half.
Their lack of goals has since become another concern, with Armenia now having gone 180 minutes without scoring following a 2-0 defeat in Cyprus and a goalless draw against Montenegro in their most recent outing.
Melikyan must also find a way to cope without captain Eduard Spertsyan, who has been ruled out of both November fixtures through injury, leaving the remaining midfield options with greater responsibility to provide creativity.
Cyprus, meanwhile, have put themselves in a strong position to reach the promotion play-offs after recovering from a difficult start to collect consecutive victories over Armenia and Latvia.
Apostolos Mantzios's side opened their campaign with a 2-1 defeat away to Montenegro before being held to a goalless draw by Latvia, but their response has given them plenty to play for heading into the final two matchdays.
The Cypriots followed their first-leg victory over Armenia with a 2-1 success against Latvia, recording consecutive wins for the first time since their run between June and September 2024.
The visitors will be without Andronikos Kakoullis, who scored in the reverse fixture, while Kostas Pileas is also unavailable after being sent off during that October victory.
Armenia vs. Cyprus preview form guide & betting tips
| Armenia | vs | Cyprus |
|---|---|---|
WWDLW |
Form | LWWDW |
| 5 | Goals For | 7 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 3 |
LLD |
UEFA Nations League | DWW |
Whispers predicts: Armenia 2-2 Cyprus
Cyprus or draw (double chance) at 1.65 (13/20) looks a worthwhile selection, given the visitors' recent results and their record in this fixture.
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.80 (4/5) is another option worth considering, as Armenia have little choice but to take the initiative on home soil, while Over 2.5 goals also appeals at at 2.05.
A 2-2 draw at 15.00 (14/1) is our correct-score prediction, as Armenia could respond to the pressure of their situation with a more positive display, but Cyprus should have enough about them to leave Yerevan with a valuable point.
> Cyprus or draw at1.65 (13/20)| Likelihood: Probable
> Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 (21/20)| Likelihood: Possible
> BTTS – Yes at 1.80 (4/5)| Likelihood: Possible
> Correct scores: Armenia 2-2 Cyprus at 15.00 (14/1)| Likelihood: Outsider