San Marino vs Belarus prediction, preview & betting tips 12/11/26

Belarus could secure a top-two finish in the Nations League C Group 1 if they can leave San Marino with maximum points on Thursday, November 12.

For the hosts, there is nothing left to play for, as their position as the bottom dwellers of the group is already confirmed, regardless of what results they produce over the next two fixtures.

San Marino essentially have nothing to lose, with the Nations League about to reformat into three tiers instead of four, starting with the next edition.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

San Marino vs Belarus key stats

• San Marino have not won any of their last 10 matches that they have hosted.
• The home side are conceding an average of 3.75 goals per game in the Nations League.
• Belarus have lost just one of their last 10 matches in all competitions.

San Marino vs Belarus preview: More misery for the hosts

San Marino vs Belarus — Tale of the Tape

San Marino	vs	Belarus
4th	Position	2nd
0	Points	7
1	Goals For	5
16	Goals Against	2
0	Clean Sheets	3
4th (H)	Home / Away Rank	1st (A)

The home side have been quite poor in this edition of the Nations League, failing to win any of their fixtures, including none of their last 19 in all competitions.

Roberto Cevoli has given San Marino fans something to shout about in the past, when they recorded their first-ever competitive win in the 2024 Nations League against Liechtenstein.

The home faithful will hope to see something similar on Thursday, despite knowing that even if they win the final two matches, it would not have any bearing on their position in the group or the competition.

Michele Cevoli and Alberto Riccardi are the main players for the hosts who will not be available for this match, as they are both dealing with injuries.

The visitors head to San Marino two points behind Albania, but level on points with Finland, which means that if the results go their way on Thursday, they could play a winner-takes-all match when they host the Albanians next week.

Still, Viktor Goncharenko will know that a second-place finish is enough to contest for promotion to Nations League B, but the White Wings have a realistic chance of winning the group and securing automatic entry into the higher division.

It is certainly admirable how Belarus have handled not being able to play their home games on familiar turf, as they navigate the ongoing adversity, and winning seven points from a potential 12 is not a return to be scoffed at.

Belarus are unbeaten in their recent three outings, having now won consecutive games in the Nations League, but they will hope to put an end to a horrid four-game winless run in away games in this competition.

The visitors enjoy a one-sided record against the hosts, winning all three head-to-heads, scoring 11 goals without reply.

San Marino vs Belarus form guide & betting tips

San Marino vs. Belarus — Last 5 Form Guide

San Marino	vs	Belarus
LLLLL	Form	DLDWW
2	Goals For	7
18	Goals Against	4
LLL	UEFA Nations League	DWW

Whispers predicts: San Marino 0-4 Belarus

The fact that San Marino have never beaten Belarus is enough to back the visitors to win at 3/25 (1.12) odds.

However, there is not much value in backing the visitors for a straight win, which is why it is worth exploring the goals market, and with Belarus scoring four unanswered goals in the reverse fixture, opting for Totals – Over 3.5 goals at 10/7 (2.43) is a decent pick.

The hosts have managed to score just once across their four Nations League matches this term, and they have yet to breach the visitors' defence, which makes BTTS – No at 19/50 (1.38) or Belarus win and BTTS – No at 23/50 (1.46) another option.

Belarus have seen the halftime result replicate itself at fulltime in 14 of their last 16 matches, allowing us to edge towards backing the visitors to win at halftime and fulltime at 9/20 (1.45) odds.

To make it interesting, giving the home side a two-goal advantage will elevate the value of the bet, and Belarus have shown that they can score more than twice against this opponent, so a -2 handicap at 17/13 (2.31) is an appealing pick.

📈 San Marino vs. Belarus — Whispers' Tips

> Both teams to score – No at 19/50 (1.45) | Likelihood: High

> Over 3.5 goals at 10/7 (2.43) | Likelihood: High

> Belarus to win with a -2 handicap at 17/13 (2.31) | Likelihood: High

> Halftime/ Fulltime – Belarus/ Belarus at 9/20 (1.45) | Likelihood: Medium