Almeria vs Sevilla prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/03/2024

Almeria
11/03/24 - 20:00

Finished

2

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2

Sevilla

Almeria - Sevilla

Spain Primera Liga - Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

almeria vs sevilla
Sevilla won the reverse fixture 5-1 – Photo by Icon Sport

The Monday night game this week in La Liga sees Almeria and Sevilla clash at the Power Horse Stadium. Our Almeria vs Sevilla prediction considers whether the hosts have any chance of finally winning for the first time this season.

Almeria vs Sevilla prediction: Resurgent visitors to win with En Nesyri on target

Almeria vs Sevilla predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Sevilla to Win

⚽ Correct score prediction

Almeria 0-2 Sevilla

⚽ PLAYER to score anytime

Youssef En-Nesyri to score anytime

Key Stats

  • Our Almeria vs Sevilla betting tips considers the home team’s record breaking 27 game winless start to the season and miserable average of just 0.33 points per game.
  • It’s just one defeat in six league games for Sevilla with three victories during that period and we’re also backing them in our La Liga handicap betting tips for this matchday.
  • Since conceding five at Girona in January, Sevilla have only conceded five goals in total in their subsequent six matches.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla slight favourites in Andalusian derby

  • HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 27/20 (2.35) – 42.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the favourites according to the Almeria vs Sevilla odds with an implied probability of 42.6% that they win this one, although all three results are very much possible according to the bookies.

Almeria come into the game after a 1-0 loss at fellow strugglers Celta Vigo which all but ended the slim chances they had of beating the drop. Sevilla meanwhile produced a strong showing to beat Real Sociedad 3-2 in their last game and they suddenly have a significant advantage on the relegation places.

For more picks from Monday’s games, today’s betting tips will steer you through the best bets from around Europe and beyond.

Last five H2Hs: Sevilla tend to dominate

Spain Primera Liga 26/09/23

Sevilla

Sevilla

5
Almeria

Almeria

1

Spain Primera Liga 12/03/23

Sevilla

Sevilla

2
Almeria

Almeria

1

Spain Primera Liga 27/08/22

Almeria

Almeria

2
Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain Copa del Rey 02/02/21

Almeria

Almeria

0
Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain Primera Liga 17/05/15

Sevilla

Sevilla

2
Almeria

Almeria

1

Our Almeria vs Sevilla prediction is backed up by recent history. Sevilla have won six of the last seven meetings overall and they were convincing 5-1 victors when the clubs met earlier this term.

Almeria Preview: Langa suspended for winless hosts

Full back Bruno Langa is banned for this game while Almeria have injury doubts over Ibrahima Kone and Leo Baptistao.

Predicted Lineup: Maximiano (GK), Centelles, Radovanovic, Edgar, Pubill, Baba, Robertone, Arribas, Viera, Romero, Lozano

Spain Primera Liga 14/04/24

D

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

Almeria

Almeria

2

Spain Primera Liga 30/03/24

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

3

Almeria

Almeria

0

Spain Primera Liga 17/03/24

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Almeria

Almeria

1

Spain Primera Liga 11/03/24

D

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Almeria

Almeria

2

Spain Primera Liga 01/03/24

L

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Almeria

Almeria

0

Sevilla Preview: Injury issues starting to ease

Injuries have been a factor in Sevilla’s struggles this term, but the situation is improving. Mariano, Lucien Agoume, Jesus Navas and Juanlu are nearing fitness and will be monitored over the weekend with a view to them playing some part.

Predicted Lineup: Nyland (GK), Salas, Ramos, Bade, Pedrosa, Soumare, Sow, Oliver, Ocampos, Romero, En-Nesyri

Spain Primera Liga 14/04/24

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain Primera Liga 30/03/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain Primera Liga 17/03/24

L

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain Primera Liga 11/03/24

D

Almeria

Almeria

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain Primera Liga 02/03/24

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

3

Player to watch – Youssef En-Nesyri

Key to Sevilla’s resurgence has been the good form of striker Youssef En-Nesyri. He has registered nine goals in 22 appearances in La Liga this season.

almeria vs sevilla prediction
En Nesyri has been in good form in front of goal – Photo by Icon Sport

En-Nesyri and Romero the main source of Sevilla goals

Sevilla have settled on a front two in a 3-5-2 system over the past couple of months and they’re very reliant on En-Nesyri and striker partner Isaac Romero for goals. Since Romero’s debut in January, nine of the 11 goals Sevilla have scored in all competitions have come from either En-Nesyri or Romero which equates to 82%.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.