Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/01/2024

Real Madrid
21/01/24 - 15:15

Finished

3

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2

Almeria

Real Madrid - Almeria

Spain La Liga - Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid and Almeria clash at the Santiago Bernabeu on Sunday in La Liga. Our Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction looks at whether the winless visitors are capable of causing an almighty upset.

Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Almeria +2.0 Asian Handicap

  • Almeria were dominant against leaders Girona last weekend and should have won a game that ended 0-0.
  • Despite being rock bottom, they’ve competed well against the top sides, losing only 2-1 away to Atletico Madrid and 3-2 at Barcelona.

Our Real Madrid vs Almeria betting tips point to the visitors making a game of this, particularly with Los Blancos looking tired by the end of Extra Time on Thursday as they lost 4-2 against Atletico Madrid.

Latest odds

Head to Head

19/08/23

Spain La Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

3

29/04/23

Spain La Liga Liga

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Almeria

Almeria

4

2

14/08/22

Spain La Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

2

29/04/15

Spain La Liga Liga

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Almeria

Almeria

3

0

12/12/14

Spain La Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

4

Last Five - Real Madrid

11/05/25

Spain La Liga Liga

Barcelona

Barcelona

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

3

L

04/05/25

Spain La Liga Liga

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

3

W

26/04/25

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Barcelona

Barcelona

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

2

L

23/04/25

Spain La Liga Liga

Getafe

Getafe

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

1

W

20/04/25

Spain La Liga Liga

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

1

W

Last Five - Almeria

09/05/25

Spain Segunda SEG

Cadiz

Cadiz

Almeria

Almeria

2

1

L

04/05/25

Spain Segunda SEG

Eldense

Eldense

Almeria

Almeria

0

5

W

29/04/25

Spain Segunda SEG

Racing Ferrol

Racing Ferrol

Almeria

Almeria

1

2

W

18/04/25

Spain Segunda SEG

CD Castellon

CD Castellon

Almeria

Almeria

4

1

L

13/04/25

Spain Segunda SEG

FC Cartagena

FC Cartagena

Almeria

Almeria

1

2

W

Win probability

  • HOME: 2/13 (1.15) – 86.7%
  • DRAW: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%
  • AWAY: 18/1 (19.00) – 5.3%

The Real Madrid vs Almeria odds are unsurprisingly heavily stacked in the home team’s favour.

You can back Real Madrid and Both Teams to Score at 6/4 (2.50), an implied probability of 40%.

As for our La Liga’s first goalscorer predictions, Vinicius Junior is available at 4/1 (5.00) to score first, a probability of 20%.

Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction – Other tips

Real Madrid 2-1 Almeria

  • Our Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction considers the recent improvement in the visitors. While they are still heading for relegation, Almeria haven’t lost any of their last 7 by more than a single goal.
  • Carlo Ancelotti could rotate in some positions here which may also contribute to a slightly closer game.

Both Teams to Score

  • 70% of Almeria’s away league games have seen both teams score.
  • Real Madrid have looked more vulnerable defensively since the injury to David Alaba, letting in 8 goals in their last 3 games.

Real Madrid vs Almeria predictions

Real Madrid vs Almeria team news

Real Madrid

The Real Madrid vs Almeria lineups could see some light rotation from the hosts who went to Extra Time on Thursday in the cup. Thibaut Courtois, David Alaba and Eder Militao are injured while Lucas Vazquez is a doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Kepa (GK), Fran Garcia, Nacho, Rudiger, Carvajal, Kroos, Tchouameni, Valverde, Bellingham, Vinicius, Brahim

Almeria

Leo Baptistao is suspended for the visitors. They also have a doubt over defender Cesar Montes while Ibrahima Kone and Arnau Puigmal are injured.

Predicted Lineup: Maximiano (GK), Akieme, Chumi, Montes, Pubill, Edgar, Embarba, Lopy, Robertone, Arribas, Ramazani

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid
4-3-3
2
Dani Carvajal
es
14
Aurelien Tchouameni
fr
11
Rodrygo
br
8
Federico Valverde
uy
5
Jude Bellingham
gb
23
Ferland Mendy
fr
25
Kepa Arrizabalaga
es
22
Antonio Rudiger
de
7
Vinicius Junior
br
8
Toni Kroos
de
6
Nacho
es
Substitutes
20
Francisco Garcia
es
6
Eduardo Camavinga
fr
21
Brahim Diaz
ma
14
Mato Joselu
es
13
Andriy Lunin
ua
26
Diego Pineiro
es
10
Luka Modric
hr
17
Lucas Vazquez
es
15
Arda Guler
tr
19
Dani Ceballos
es

Almeria

Almeria
5-4-1
19
Sergio Arribas
es
18
Marc Pubill
es
29
Marezi
rs
6
Dion Lopy
sn
2
Kaiky Melo
br
7
Largie Ramazani
be
15
Sergio Akieme
es
25
Luis Maximiano
pt
21
Chumi
es
5
Lucas Robertone
ar
3
Edgar Gonzalez
es
Substitutes
1
Diego Marino
es
26
Marcos Pena
es
10
Adri Embarba
es
11
Gonzalo Melero
es
13
Fernando Martinez
es
14
Lazaro Vinicius Marques
br
17
Pozo
es
33
Martin Svidersky
sk
9
Luis Javier Suarez
co
20
Alex Centelles
es
27
Paco Sanz
es

Player to watch – Vinicius Junior

Vinicius Junior produced one of the performances of the season in the Supercopa Final last weekend as he tore into Barcelona, scoring a First Half hat-trick.

He’s less likely to be rotated than Rodrygo and could be the main danger man here for Los Blancos as he bids to add to his injury-ravaged season tally of 4 league goals.

Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.