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Real Madrid - Almeria
Spain La Liga - Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid and Almeria clash at the Santiago Bernabeu on Sunday in La Liga. Our Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction looks at whether the winless visitors are capable of causing an almighty upset.
Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Almeria +2.0 Asian Handicap
- Almeria were dominant against leaders Girona last weekend and should have won a game that ended 0-0.
- Despite being rock bottom, they’ve competed well against the top sides, losing only 2-1 away to Atletico Madrid and 3-2 at Barcelona.
Our Real Madrid vs Almeria betting tips point to the visitors making a game of this, particularly with Los Blancos looking tired by the end of Extra Time on Thursday as they lost 4-2 against Atletico Madrid.
Latest odds
19/08/23
Spain La Liga
Liga
Almeria Real Madrid 1 3 29/04/23
Spain La Liga
Liga
Real Madrid Almeria 4 2 14/08/22
Spain La Liga
Liga
Almeria Real Madrid 1 2 29/04/15
Spain La Liga
Liga
Real Madrid Almeria 3 0 12/12/14
Spain La Liga
Liga
Almeria Real Madrid 1 4 11/05/25
Spain La Liga
Liga
Barcelona Real Madrid 4 3
L 04/05/25
Spain La Liga
Liga
Celta Vigo Real Madrid 2 3
W 26/04/25
Spain Copa del Rey
Spain
Barcelona Real Madrid 3 2
L 23/04/25
Spain La Liga
Liga
Getafe Real Madrid 0 1
W 20/04/25
Spain La Liga
Liga
Athletic Bilbao Real Madrid 0 1
W 09/05/25
Spain Segunda
SEG
Cadiz Almeria 2 1
L 04/05/25
Spain Segunda
SEG
Eldense Almeria 0 5
W 29/04/25
Spain Segunda
SEG
Racing Ferrol Almeria 1 2
W 18/04/25
Spain Segunda
SEG
CD Castellon Almeria 4 1
L 13/04/25
Spain Segunda
SEG
FC Cartagena Almeria 1 2
W Head to Head
Last Five - Real Madrid
Last Five - Almeria
Win probability
- HOME: 2/13 (1.15) – 86.7%
- DRAW: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%
- AWAY: 18/1 (19.00) – 5.3%
The Real Madrid vs Almeria odds are unsurprisingly heavily stacked in the home team’s favour.
You can back Real Madrid and Both Teams to Score at 6/4 (2.50), an implied probability of 40%.
As for our La Liga’s first goalscorer predictions, Vinicius Junior is available at 4/1 (5.00) to score first, a probability of 20%.
Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction – Other tips
Real Madrid 2-1 Almeria
- Our Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction considers the recent improvement in the visitors. While they are still heading for relegation, Almeria haven’t lost any of their last 7 by more than a single goal.
- Carlo Ancelotti could rotate in some positions here which may also contribute to a slightly closer game.
Both Teams to Score
- 70% of Almeria’s away league games have seen both teams score.
- Real Madrid have looked more vulnerable defensively since the injury to David Alaba, letting in 8 goals in their last 3 games.

Real Madrid vs Almeria team news
Real Madrid
The Real Madrid vs Almeria lineups could see some light rotation from the hosts who went to Extra Time on Thursday in the cup. Thibaut Courtois, David Alaba and Eder Militao are injured while Lucas Vazquez is a doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Kepa (GK), Fran Garcia, Nacho, Rudiger, Carvajal, Kroos, Tchouameni, Valverde, Bellingham, Vinicius, Brahim
Almeria
Leo Baptistao is suspended for the visitors. They also have a doubt over defender Cesar Montes while Ibrahima Kone and Arnau Puigmal are injured.
Predicted Lineup: Maximiano (GK), Akieme, Chumi, Montes, Pubill, Edgar, Embarba, Lopy, Robertone, Arribas, Ramazani
Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.
Real Madrid
Almeria
Player to watch – Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Junior produced one of the performances of the season in the Supercopa Final last weekend as he tore into Barcelona, scoring a First Half hat-trick.
He’s less likely to be rotated than Rodrygo and could be the main danger man here for Los Blancos as he bids to add to his injury-ravaged season tally of 4 league goals.
Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.