Zimbabwe vs Kenya prediction
Zimbabwe hoping to clinch a spot at AFCON against Kenya - Photo by Imago
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Under 2.5 total goals

Four of the previous five meetings between these two teams have gone under 2.5 total goals

Zimbabwe will play host to Kenya at a neutral venue in South Africa as the two teams prepare to meet in the upcoming round of the AFCON 2025 qualifiers. The game is scheduled for Friday, 15 November.

Can Zimbabwe avoid a loss to secure their place in the final tournament or will Kenya spoil their party? Read our Zimbabwe vs Kenya prediction to learn more about this game.

Zimbabwe vs Kenya prediction: A low-scoring affair with high stakes

Key Stats

  • Zimbabwe have gone under 2.5 total goals in seven of their last nine matches.
  • Kenya have gone under 2.5 total goals in eight of their last 11 games in all competitions.
  • Zimbabwe are undefeated in four games in AFCON 2025 qualifiers.

Correct score prediction: Zimbabwe 1-1 Kenya

While Kenya have traditionally done very well against Zimbabwe, they have been struggling to find their form recently and Zimbabwe have a chance to secure a spot at AFCON 2025 with a draw, which is what we expect to happen on Friday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers without a clear favourite 

  • HOME: 33/20 (2.65) – 37.70%
  • DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.50%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Looking at these Zimbabwe vs Kenya odds, it's clear that the hosts are the expected winners in this duel by the slimmest of margins, which makes sense given that they've done better in these qualifiers so far.

However, Zimbabwe will be hosting this game in South Africa, so they won't have a true home-court advantage. Furthermore, Kenya have their number in H2H meetings, so it's clear why the bookies don't have a clear favourite in this game.

Meanwhile, if you liked our tips for this match, remember to take a look at our latest betting tips for today too.

Most recent H2Hs: Kenya dominating the matchup

In the last five meetings between these two teams, we saw three wins for Kenya and a couple of draws. Overall, Kenya have recorded six wins over Zimbabwe, six games have ended in draws, and we only saw one win for Zimbabwe so far.

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 06/09/24

Kenya

Kenya

0
Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

0

COSAFA Cup 02/07/24

Kenya

Kenya

2
Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

0

International Match 26/03/24

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

1
Kenya

Kenya

3

Zimbabwe preview: Hoping to clinch a spot at AFCON 2025

After being prevented by a FIFA ban from trying to qualify for AFCON 2023, Zimbabwe have a good chance to clinch their place at AFCON 2025 this Friday since all they have to do is avoid a loss against Kenya. However, a loss would put them in a tough spot since they still have to play Cameroon as well and Kenya would be just one point behind Zimbabwe ahead of the final round of the qualifiers.

Meanwhile, Tino Kadewere will miss this game through injury, while Munashe Garananga is questionable.

Predicted lineup: Arubi (GK), Murwira, Garananga, Takwara, Zemura, Nakamba, Munetsi, Dzvukamanja, Musona, Billiat & Mapfumo

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

D

Nigeria

Nigeria

1

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

1

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 20/03/25

D

Benin

Benin

2

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

2

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 19/11/24

L

Cameroon

Cameroon

2

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

1

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 15/11/24

D

Kenya

Kenya

1

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

1

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 14/10/24

W

Namibia

Namibia

1

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

3

Kenya preview: Can they stay in the race for the final tournament?

Just like Zimbabwe, Kenya were also prevented from competing in the AFCON 2023 qualifiers due to a FIFA ban, but as things stand, they'll have a tough time qualifying for AFCON 2025 too. Ahead of the final two games, Kenya are four points behind Zimbabwe, their next opponent, and a failure to win this game would mean they fail to qualify.

Predicted lineup: Odhiambo (GK), Anyembe, Okumu, Omurwa, Ouma, Akumu, Abuya, Odada, Onyango, Olunga & Avire

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 23/03/25

L

Gabon

Gabon

2

Kenya

Kenya

1

Africa - World Cup Qualifying 20/03/25

D

Gambia

Gambia

3

Kenya

Kenya

3

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 19/11/24

D

Namibia

Namibia

0

Kenya

Kenya

0

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 15/11/24

D

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

1

Kenya

Kenya

1

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 14/10/24

L

Cameroon

Cameroon

1

Kenya

Kenya

0

Player to watch: Walter Musona

With a couple of goals in these qualifiers, Musona is Zimbabwe's top scorer and with Tino Kadewere likely out for this game, Musona will have to shoulder even more offensive responsibility against Kenya.

Walter Musona
Musona hoping for his third goal in the qualifiers – Photo by Imago

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.