Wrexham will aim to extend their encouraging run of form when they welcome Derby County to the Racecourse Ground on Saturday afternoon for matchday seven of the Championship.
The Red Dragons are coming off a strong week, which included a midweek victory over Reading in the EFL Cup to advance to the next round. By contrast, the Rams continue to struggle in the early stages of their campaign, with points proving difficult to come by in the second tier.
Read our Wrexham vs Derby predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Championship tips.
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Wrexham vs Derby County prediction: The Red Dragons to continue impressive run?
Key stats
- Wrexham have won four of their last five matches in all competitions (L1).
- Derby have scored under 1.5 goals in four of their six league games this season.
- The Rams have lost three of their six Championship fixtures.
- Wrexham have both scored and conceded in seven of their nine outings this term.
Correct score prediction: Wrexham 2-1 Derby
The momentum is firmly with Wrexham going into this encounter. Phil Parkinson’s men have picked up four victories in their last five matches, averaging two goals per game across the last four. The hosts’ defensive record has not been flawless, though, and given that Derby have averaged a goal per match across their last five, the visitors could find the net. However, the expectation is that they will be outscored by the hosts.
Pre-match analysis: Hosts have the edge
- HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.2%
- AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes; subject to change.
These odds highlight Wrexham’s advantage, with home support and recent form strongly in their favour. The 46.5% win probability reflects that the Red Dragons are rightly considered favourites, while Derby’s 27.8% chance underlines their underdog status at the Racecourse Ground.
Our hot tip of the second half being the highest-scoring period is priced at 2.15, translating into a 46.5% chance. This offers fair value considering Wrexham’s growing habit of late drama.
Most recent H2H: History on visitors’ side
The two sides have only faced each other once before, in the FA Cup back in 2007, when Derby emerged 3-1 winners at Rams Park.
Wrexham preview: Phil Parkinson managing absences
Wrexham enter this fixture off the back of a 2-0 success against Reading in the EFL Cup, their second consecutive win after defeating Norwich in the league the previous weekend. The Red Dragons currently sit 16th in the Championship table, having collected seven points from two wins, one draw, and three losses. They will be determined to build on that tally on Saturday.
Meanwhile, manager Phil Parkinson is dealing with a number of unavailable players. Andy Cannon, Jay Rodriguez, Danny Ward (concussion), and Liberato Cacace (hamstring) are all sidelined.
Predicted XI: Okonkwo (GK), Cleworth, Hyam, Doyle, Kabore, Dobson, Sheaf, Longman, Windass, O'Brien & Moore
- 23/09/25: Wrexham 2-0 Reading (W)
- 20/09/25: Norwich 2-3 Wrexham (W)
- 13/09/25: Wrexham 1-3 QPR (L)
- 30/08/25: Millwall 0-2 Wrexham (W)
- 26/08/25: Preston 2-3 Wrexham (W)
Derby County preview: John Eustace faces defensive concerns
Derby have endured a poor start to the campaign, having collected just five points from six matches, with one victory, two draws, and three defeats leaving them inside the relegation zone. The Rams arrive on the back of a narrow 1-0 home defeat to Preston, which halted the momentum from their win at West Bromwich Albion the previous weekend.
John Eustace must also contend with injuries, particularly in defence. Corey Blackett-Taylor and Curtis Nelson are unavailable, while Owen Beck is also ruled out with a hamstring issue.
Predicted XI: Zetterstrom (GK), Sanderson, Clarke, Forsyth, Johnston, Travis, Adams, Elder, Clark, Brereton-Diaz & Morris
- 20/09/25: Derby 0-1 Preston (L)
- 13/09/25: West Brom 0-1 Derby (W)
- 30/08/25: Ipswich 2-2 Derby (D)
- 26/08/25: Burnley 2-1 Derby (L)
- 22/08/25: Derby 1-1 Bristol City (D)
Player to watch: Kieffer Moore
Kieffer Moore remains the main attacking threat for Wrexham, with four league goals already this season. The forward comes into the fixture well rested, having not featured in midweek. After drawing a blank in his last appearance, Moore will be eager to rediscover his finishing touch.