Burnley will host West Brom in the upcoming Championship round on Tuesday, 11 March.
Will the hosts continue their exceptional form as they fight for direct promotion to the Premier League or will the guests be able to resist them? Read our Burnley vs West Brom prediction and preview to find that out.
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Burnley vs West Brom predictions: Another stalemate?
Key stats
- Burnley are undefeated at home in the league this season, but they did draw in eight of their 18 home matches.
- Half of West Brom's away matches in the league (9 of 18) have ended in draws.
- Three of the last five duels between these teams have gone under 1.5 total goals.
Correct score prediction: Burnley 0-0 West Brom
Three of the previous five duels between these two teams have ended 0-0, so we wouldn't be surprised to see the same outcome on Tuesday. After all, Burnley have conceded in just one of their last 14 matches in the league, so their defence will likely be at the highest level once more.
On the other hand, Burnley have also failed to score in six of those games, so 0-0 is a fairly common occurrence for Burnley this season.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Burnley the more likely winners
- HOME: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.00%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.80%
- AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.00%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Burnley vs West Brom odds that the hosts are the expected winners, which is certainly expected just by looking at the standings where Burnley are 19 points ahead of West Brom.
That being said, West Brom have also done well lately and they will have a strong motive too since they're fighting to secure a spot in the playoffs, so we expect an exciting duel.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips if you're interested in our latest predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Plenty of draws lately
As we mentioned earlier, four of the last five duels between WBA and Burnley have ended without a winner, so this has been a close matchup in recent years. Meanwhile, West Brom have the advantage when it comes to their overall H2H record: 55-33-46.
England Championship 07/11/24
West Brom
Burnley
England Championship 05/11/24
West Brom
Burnley
England Championship 20/01/23
Burnley
West Brom
England Championship 02/09/22
West Brom
Burnley
England Premier League 20/02/21
Burnley
West Brom
Burnley preview: Still in the race for the title
After 36 rounds in the Championship this season, Burnley are the team that lost the fewest games so far with two losses, the last of which came all the way back at the start of November. Despite that, they are currently third in the standings, two points behind both Leeds and Sheffield United, so they will have to continue with good performances if they want to secure direct promotion to the Premier League.
Meanwhile, Aaron Ramsey, Bashir Humphreys, Louis Beyer, and Mike Tresor will miss the upcoming match with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Roberts, Egan-Riley, Esteve, Pires, Brownhill, Cullen, Edwards, Hannibal, Anthony & Foster
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Millwall
1
Burnley
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
QPR
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sheff Utd
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Watford
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2
West Brom preview: Fighting for the playoffs
With 55 points from 36 games in the league so far, West Brom sit in the sixth place in the standings, the last one that leads to promotion playoffs. With a few teams within a striking distance of them, WBA are far from being a certain participant of the playoffs, but they've been in solid form lately and their fans have reasons to feel optimistic about their chances.
When it comes to team news, West Brom remain without their key forward Josh Maja, along with Semi Ajayi and Jed Wallace. On top of these injuries, WBA also can't count on Darnell Furlong, who is suspended for this game.
Predicted lineup: Wildsmith (GK), Holgate, Bartley, Heggem, Styles, Mowatt, Molumby, Fellows, Swift, Johnston & Armstrong
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Luton
3
West Brom
5
England Championship 26/04/25
D
Cardiff
0
West Brom
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Derby
3
West Brom
1
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Coventry
2
West Brom
0
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Watford
1
West Brom
2
Player to watch: Josh Brownhill
Burnley's campaign to get back to the Premier League has relied mostly on their fantastic defence, but to win you also have to score goals and that's where Brownhill would usually step in.
The experienced midfielder is Burnley's top scorer in the Championship this season with 12 goals, to which he also added four assists. So, while we can see this match ending without any goals, Brownhill has the quality to reverse those expectations.