Burnley vs West Brom prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 20/01/2023

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Burnley welcome West Brom to Turf Moor on Friday January 20th for a Championship encounter.

Burnley vs West Brom: Our top betting predictions

Burnley and West Brom are both teams in great form right now with this team likely to be a great advert for Championship football. Who will win it? Find out with our Burnley vs West Brom match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Burnley will win

We kick off our predictions for this game by backing Burnley to win. Vincent Kompany's men are storming to promotion at the  moment and have won seven league games on the spin heading into this match. West Brom aren't in bad form either though, which cannot be ignored. They've won four league games on the spin and are one of the form teams in the division. There are two things we see being critical in this game though that put it firmly in Burnley's favour. Firstly, West Brom played on Tuesday evening in a FA Cup replay, which will have been a mental distraction and physical drain and, secondly, Burnley are at home. They've won 10 and drawn four of their 14 home games so far this season. West Brom meanwhile have failed to win two thirds of their away games.

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Going north of 2.5 goals

Our next prediction for this match sees us backing the action to go over 2.5 goals. Burnley have seen three of their last five games go over that 2.5 threshold with a game average of 2.8 goals across that period of time. West Brom meanwhile have gone goal crazy across their last three games serving up a combined total of 15 goals. That's a game average of 5.0! With odds on offer of 23/20 (2.15) as well, there is some strong value left on the table!

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Burnley vs West Brom

Head to Head

02/09/22

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Burnley

Burnley

1

1

20/02/21

England Premier League EPL

Burnley

Burnley

West Brom

West Brom

0

0

19/10/20

England Premier League EPL

West Brom

West Brom

Burnley

Burnley

0

0

31/03/18

England Premier League EPL

West Brom

West Brom

Burnley

Burnley

1

2

19/08/17

England Premier League EPL

Burnley

Burnley

West Brom

West Brom

0

1

Last Five - Burnley

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Burnley

Burnley

2

1

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Tottenham

Tottenham

Burnley

Burnley

2

1

L

04/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Burnley

Burnley

4

1

L

27/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Man Utd

Man Utd

Burnley

Burnley

1

1

D

20/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

Burnley

Burnley

1

4

W

Last Five - West Brom

17/05/24

England Championship CHA

Southampton

Southampton

West Brom

West Brom

3

1

L

12/05/24

England Championship CHA

Southampton

Southampton

West Brom

West Brom

0

0

D

04/05/24

England Championship CHA

Preston

Preston

West Brom

West Brom

0

3

W

27/04/24

England Championship CHA

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

West Brom

West Brom

3

0

L

22/04/24

Others Others

Liverpool

Liverpool

West Brom

West Brom

0

0

D

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.

Burnley odds: 9/8 (2.13) – 47%

Draw odds: 9/4 (3.25) – 31%

West Brom odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 29%

Burnley are rightly made favourites for this game by the bookmakers but not being odds on is perhaps a little on the surprising side and just goes to reaffirm what a good run of form West Brom have been on of late. That being said, a double chance bet on Burnley or draw comes in at 2/7 (1.29) suggesting the Baggies might have their work cut out to take all three points back home. The total goals market isn't as balanced as the match result options either; the bookies are expecting a low scoring game with under 2.5 goals priced up as odds on.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Burnley vs West Brom

Burnley

Burnley have a couple of players on the sidelines for this game with Taylor Harwood-Bellis and Vitinho, both of whom have played big roles in their season so far, suffering from injuries. Despite that, they'll be confident of getting a win here owing to their excellent form. As for formation, expect them to lineup in a 4-3-3.

Predicted lineup – Muric, Roberts, Beyer, Taylor, Maatsen, Cullen, Cork, Brownhill, Benson, Rodriguez, Zaroury

West Brom

West Brom made a few changes to their lineup at Chesterfield on Tuesday evening and, despite the strong result, they're likely to revert back to a XI that is more in keeping with their previous league game. One player that definitely won't be involved is Kyle Bartley; he's currently out injured and not due back until later this month.

Predicted lineup – Palmer, Townsend, Pieters, O'Shea, Furlong, Yokuslu, Molumby, Wallace, Swift, Phillips, Dike

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

Both of these teams are in great form and, as such, we could have picked out a few players to rave about. We are singling out Burnley forward Manuel Benson, who Kompany brought in from Antwerp in the summer. The 25-year-old has 10 league goal involvements so far this season and has also netted two goals in his last two games.

Check out the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Leicester

Leicester

46 31 4 11 48 97
2 Ipswich

Ipswich

46 28 12 6 35 96
3 Leeds

Leeds

46 27 9 10 38 90
4 Southampton

Southampton

46 26 9 11 24 87
5 West Brom

West Brom

46 21 12 13 23 75
6 Norwich

Norwich

46 21 10 15 15 73
7 Hull

Hull

46 19 13 14 8 70
8 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

46 20 9 17 9 69
9 Coventry

Coventry

46 17 13 16 11 64
10 Preston

Preston

46 18 9 19 -11 63
11 Bristol City

Bristol City

46 17 11 18 2 62
12 Cardiff

Cardiff

46 19 5 22 -17 62
13 Millwall

Millwall

46 16 11 19 -10 59
14 Swansea

Swansea

46 15 12 19 -6 57
15 Watford

Watford

46 13 17 16 0 56
16 Sunderland

Sunderland

46 16 8 22 -2 56
17 Stoke

Stoke

46 15 11 20 -11 56
18 QPR

QPR

46 15 11 20 -11 56
19 Blackburn

Blackburn

46 14 11 21 -14 53
20 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

46 15 8 23 -24 53
21 Plymouth

Plymouth

46 13 12 21 -11 51
22 Birmingham

Birmingham

46 13 11 22 -15 50
23 Huddersfield

Huddersfield

46 9 18 19 -29 45
24 Rotherham

Rotherham

46 5 12 29 -52 27

A quickfire FAQ on Burnley vs West Brom

Burnley vs West Brom prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Turf Moor
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Burnley
  • What time does the match kick off?  8 PM GMT

Ash is an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!