Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Benfica Lisbon prediction, odds & betting tips – 01/11/2025
Benfica's Nicolas Otamendi celebrates his goal against Tondela – Photo by Imago/Ball Raw Images
🔥 Our Hot tip

Away win or draw and no GG

Benfica have maintained an unbeaten record in their four away league matches this season, keeping clean sheets in three of those fixtures.

The Eagles will travel to Vitoria de Guimaraes this weekend with the aim of securing maximum points as they seek to maintain momentum in the top flight.

Jose Mourinho is also targeting consecutive league victories for the first time in his second tenure at the club, following a commanding 5-0 triumph over Arouca last weekend. Benfica have accumulated 21 points from their opening nine fixtures in the top flight (W6, D3), placing them third in the standings, four points behind leaders Porto and three behind second-placed Sporting Lisbon.

Benfica enter this clash after a dominant 3-0 win over Tondela in the Taca da Liga on Wednesday, while the hosts have fresher legs, having last played in the league last weekend when they suffered a 2-0 defeat at Famalicao. Vitoria currently occupy 11th place with 11 points from nine matches (W3, D2, L4).

Read our Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Benfica predictions and preview below, and remember to check our other Primeira Liga tips.

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Benfica prediction: Visitors chase more consistent league run

  • Both teams have not scored in each of Benfica’s last six matches across all competitions.
  • The Conquerors have lost 22 of the last 25 league encounters with the Reds.
  • Benfica claimed victories in both meetings last season, keeping clean sheets in the two fixtures.

Correct score prediction: Vitoria 0-2 Benfica

Benfica have shown inconsistency on home soil, though their performances on the road this season have been far more convincing. The Eagles have claimed three wins from their four league trips, the only exception being a goalless draw against league leaders Porto.

The Eagles also possess the division’s best defensive record among travelling sides, conceding just once in those matches. Coupled with their clean-sheet victories in both meetings with Vitoria last season, a straightforward win looks well within Benfica’s grasp.

Pre-match analysis: Visitors overwhelming favourites

  • HOME: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
  • AWAY: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.6%

*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes; subject to change*

The betting market suggests Benfica hold a clear advantage in this fixture, with their win probability over four times higher than the home side’s. A 67.6% likelihood indicates that the visitors are expected to take the spoils, while Vitoria’s 15.4% reflects their underdog status.

Our hot tip of an away win or draw combined with both teams not scoring offer value at odds of 2.05, especially given Benfica’s recent defensive solidity on the road.

Most recent H2H: Visitors to continue dominance?

The latest clash between the sides was in the Primeira Liga at D. Afonso Henriques, with the encounter ending in an emphatic 3-0 victory for Benfica, extending the Eagles’s longstanding dominance in this fixture.

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0
Benfica

Benfica

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 07/12/24

Benfica

Benfica

1
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/02/24

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

2
Benfica

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/09/23

Benfica

Benfica

4
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/03/23

Benfica

Benfica

5
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

1

Vitoria preview: Nelson Oliveira to lead charge against boyhood club?

Vitoria remain without winger Gustavo Silva and midfielder Goncalo Nogueira, as both continue their recovery from injuries, while Telmo Arcanjo and Matija Mitrovic may return to the starting lineup on the flanks and in midfield, respectively. Nelson Oliveira, who was used as a substitute last time, could lead the attack against his boyhood club, with Alioune Ndoye potentially dropping to the bench to accommodate the change.

Predicted XI: Castillo (GK), Lebedenko, Abascal, Rivas, Maga, Beni, Blanco, Samu, Mitrovic, Arcanjo & Oliveira

Vitoria’s last five results:

  • 26/10/25: Famalicao 2-0 Vitoria (L)
  • 19/10/25: Uniao Lamas 0-1 Vitoria (W)
  • 09/10/25: Vila Mea 1-4 Vitoria (W)
  • 04/10/25: Vitoria 2-1 Santa Clara (W)
  • 28/09/25: Alverca 2-0 Vitoria (L)

Benfica preview: Mourinho faces fitness concern

Benfica will continue without left winger Bruma and defensive midfielder Manu Silva, while Alexander Bah and Amar Dedic remain sidelined through injury. Mourinho may once again turn to Fredrik Ausnes to cover the right-back role, having entrusted him with the position during the previous outing.

Predicted XI: A Gomes (GK), Meupiyou, S Gomez, Naves, Chissumba, Abdulai, Amorim, Touaizi, Figueiredo, Marezi & Lincoln

Benfica’s last five results:

  • 29/10/25: Benfica 3-0 Tondela (W)
  • 25/10/25: Benfica 5-0 Arouca (W)
  • 21/10/25: Newcastle 3-0 Benfica (L)
  • 17/10/25: Chaves 0-2 Benfica (W)
  • 05/10/25: FC Porto 0-0 Benfica (D)

Player to watch: Vangelis Pavlidis

Benfica striker Vangelis Pavlidis – Photo by -Imago/Avants Sports

Vangelis Pavlidis has already netted 13 times in 18 appearances across all competitions this season, having scored after coming off the bench in his last outing. The Greek forward has struck eight goals in the top flight and will be looking to add to his tally with another commanding league performance following his hat-trick against Arouca.


Adeyeye Oluwapelumi is a writer with over four years of experience covering football and a range of global sports. A passionate Arsenal fan since 2004, he brings sharp insight and a genuine love for the game to every piece.