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Valencia and Atletico Madrid are bound to meet in the next La Liga round on Saturday, 2 May.
The hosts still have a chance to rise up and claim a spot in Europe, though that remains unlikely, while Atletico Madrid are pretty much stuck in fourth place and focused on their Champions League tie with Arsenal.
Will that be enough for Valencia to claim all three points? Find that out from our Valencia vs Atletico Madrid prediction and preview, but don't forget our other La Liga predictions and our favourite betting tips for today.
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Valencia vs Atletico Madrid key stats
- Valencia have averaged 4.33 total goals per game in their last three home matches in the league.
- We saw three or more goals in eight of the last 10 Atletico's matches in all competitions.
- Atletico Madrid enter this game with seven losses in their last 10 games across the board.
- Valencia drew at half-time in nine of their 16 home games in the league, while the same is true for Atletico Madrid on the road in La Liga this season.
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid preview: Guests have their sight on the Champions League final
| Valencia | vs | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Position | 4th |
| 39 | Points | 60 |
| 37 | Goals For | 56 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 12th | Home Rank | 3rd |
| 13th | Away Rank | 7th |
Valencia's entire season has been an up-and-down ride and that's why they enter this game in 12th place in the La Liga standings. They are just five points behind Getafe in sixth place, which leads to Europe next season, but with only five games left, Valencia would need to be nearly perfect to jump over all the teams ahead of them and reach sixth place.
That doesn't seem likely looking at their recent form, which, like their season overall, has been quite inconsistent - two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. So, Valencia will most likely finish mid-table this season, similarly to their last few La Liga seasons.
Valencia have failed to score in just two of the 16 home matches in the league this season.
Valencia also have injury problems heading into this game, with Mouctar Diakhaby, Jose Manuel Copete, Julen Agirrezabala, Dimitri Foulquier, Lucas Beltran, and Thierry Correia all on the team's injury list at the moment.
Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid enter this match after a home draw in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final tie against Arsenal, and with the second leg scheduled for next week, it's clear that Atletico's focus will be on that game rather than their upcoming meeting with Valencia.
After all, Atletico Madrid are currently fourth in the standings, 10 points ahead of Real Betis, so they can feel comfortable and confident about clinching a spot in the Champions League for next season.
Atletico Madrid have the longest active losing streak in the entire league, with four losses in a row.
Furthermore, they have clearly been focused on the Champions League lately, which is evident from their La Liga form and four consecutive losses in that competition.
Atletico's injury list is also extensive, with Pablo Barrios, Nico Gonzalez, Giuliano Simeone, Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth, and Jose Gimenez all ruled out of this game.
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid form guide & betting tips
| Valencia | vs | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| W-L-L-D-W | League Form | W-L-L-L-L |
| 7 | Points | 3 |
| 10th | Form Table | 17th |
| 7 | Goals For | 9 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 12 |
| L-D-W | Form (all comps) | L-W-D |
Whispers predicts: Valencia 3-1 Atletico Madrid
Based on their recent H2H history and their season stats in La Liga, backing over 2.5 total goals at 17/20 odds makes a lot of sense.
Also, while in the vacuum we would obviously back Atletico to win, given that they will certainly rest most of their starters so they can be ready for the second leg against Arsenal, Valencia should have a great chance to win at home. The bookies also feel this way since Valencia are the favourites to win this match at 5/6 odds.
> Over 2.5 total goals at 17/20 | Likelihood: Probable
> Half-time draw at 13/10 | Likelihood: Probable
> Valencia to win at 5/6 at 19/20 | Likelihood: Possible
> Correct score 13-1 at 14/1 | Likelihood: Outsider