Cologne vs Union Berlin prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/05/2024

Cologne
11/05/24 - 14:30

Finished

3

-

2

Union Berlin

Cologne - Union Berlin

Germany Bundesliga I - RheinEnergieStadion

Cologne vs Union Berlin prediction
Cologne will be relegated if they don't win on Saturday – Photo by Icon Sport

Cologne welcome fellow relegation candidates Union Berlin to the RheinEnergieSTADION to contest a vital German Bundesliga fixture on Saturday, 11 May. Check out our Bundesliga betting tips for the fixture below.

Cologne vs Union Berlin prediction: Can hosts secure a vital win?

Cologne vs Union Berlin predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Cologne to Win

⚽ Correct score prediction

Cologne 1-0 Union Berlin

⬆️ Over 2.5 goals

No

Key Stats

  • Cologne avoided defeat in four of their last six Bundesliga fixtures.
  • Union Berlin lost four and drew one of their last five Bundesliga matches.
  • Union Berlin failed to score in each of their last four away games in the division.
  • Cologne will be relegated to the second tier if they don’t win on Saturday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Cologne priced as underdogs

  • HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Cologne are on the cusp of relegation and only a victory over fellow relegation rivals Union Berlin will prolong their top-flight stay. The bookmakers have given the hosts a 37% chance of securing the win they need and our top football predictions think they are worth backing to avoid defeat.

Union have gone four games on the road without winning or even scoring and their 4-3 loss at home to relegation rivals Bochum last weekend felt like a significant moment. Union are 13/10 favourites to win at Cologne, though it’s difficult to see how they’ve earned the favourites tag.

Last five H2Hs: History favours Union

Germany Bundesliga I 20/12/23

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2
Cologne

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga I 04/03/23

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0
Cologne

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga I 11/09/22

Cologne

Cologne

0
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

Germany Bundesliga I 01/04/22

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1
Cologne

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga I 07/11/21

Cologne

Cologne

2
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

Union Berlin have won only eight times in the Bundesliga this season, though they secured one of those victories at Cologne’s expense when the teams last met in December. The Iron Ones are unbeaten in six previous meetings with Cologne overall.

Cologne preview: Hosts hoping to have quartet back

Davie Selke, Luca Kilian and Florian Dietz are all out of action for Cologne though Julian Chabot, Mark Uth, Leart Paqarada and Dejan Ljubicic will hope to return from illness and injury in time to feature.

Predicted lineup: Schwabe – Schmitz, Hubers, Chabot, Finkgrafe – Huseinbasic, Martel, Thielmann, Waldschmidt, Kainz – Alidou

Europe Friendlies 20/07/24

D

FC Viktoria Ku00f6ln

FC Viktoria Ku00f6ln

3

Cologne

Cologne

3

Europe Friendlies 19/07/24

W

Sint-Truidense

Sint-Truidense

0

Cologne

Cologne

3

Europe Friendlies 13/07/24

W

Kickers Offenbach

Kickers Offenbach

1

Cologne

Cologne

3

Europe Friendlies 05/07/24

W

Sportfreunde Siegen

Sportfreunde Siegen

0

Cologne

Cologne

6

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

L

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

4

Cologne

Cologne

1

Union Berlin preview: Visitors at close to full strength

Union Berlin have few injury issued to contend with though back-up keeper Jakob Busk is nursing a calf problem and won't be involved. The Iron Ones were beaten 4-3 at home by Bochum in their last assignment.

Predicted lineup: Ronnow – Vogt, Doekhi, Leite – Juranovic, Schafer, Khedira, Tousart, Gosens – Volland, Hollerbach

Europe Friendlies 18/07/24

W

Dynamo Kiev

Dynamo Kiev

2

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

3

Europe Friendlies 06/07/24

W

BSG Chemie Leipzig

BSG Chemie Leipzig

0

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

4

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

W

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/24

L

Cologne

Cologne

3

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

Germany Bundesliga I 05/05/24

L

Bochum

Bochum

4

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

3

Player to watch: Florian Kainz

With four goals and four assists in Bundesliga this season, the experienced winger has been one of the key contributors on the offensive end for Cologne and he's our player to watch in this match.

Florian Kainz
Kainz looking for his fifth goal of the season in the Bundesliga – Photo by Icon Sport

Another goal from the penalty for Kainz?

All four goals that Kainz has scored in the Bundesliga this season have come from penalties, so there's a good chance that he'll score from the penalty spot in this game too, if he gets the opportunity.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.