Cologne vs Union Berlin prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/05/2024

11/05/24 - 14:30

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Cologne - Union Berlin

Germany Bundesliga I - Cologne Stadium

Cologne welcome fellow relegation candidates Union Berlin to the RheinEnergieSTADION to contest a vital German Bundesliga fixture on Saturday, 11 May. Check out our Bundesliga betting tips for the fixture below.

Cologne vs Union Berlin prediction: Can hosts secure a vital win?

Key Stats

• Cologne avoided defeat in four of their last six Bundesliga fixtures.
• Union Berlin lost four and drew one of their last five Bundesliga matches.
• Union Berlin failed to score in each of their last four away games in the division.
• Cologne will be relegated to the second tier if they don’t win on Saturday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Cologne priced as underdogs

• HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%
• DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
• AWAY: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Cologne are on the cusp of relegation and only a victory over fellow relegation rivals Union Berlin will prolong their top-flight stay. The bookmakers have given the hosts a 37% chance of securing the win they need and our top football predictions think they are worth backing to avoid defeat.

Union have gone four games on the road without winning or even scoring and their 4-3 loss at home to relegation rivals Bochum last weekend felt like a significant moment. Union are 13/10 favourites to win at Cologne, though it’s difficult to see how they’ve earned the favourites tag.

Last five H2Hs: History favours Union

Germany Bundesliga I 20/12/23

Union Berlin

2

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga I 04/03/23

Union Berlin

0

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga I 11/09/22

Cologne

0

Union Berlin

1

Germany Bundesliga I 01/04/22

Union Berlin

1

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga I 07/11/21

Cologne

2

Union Berlin

2

Union Berlin have won only eight times in the Bundesliga this season, though they secured one of those victories at Cologne’s expense when the teams last met in December. The Iron Ones are unbeaten in six previous meetings with Cologne overall.

Cologne preview: Hosts hoping to have quartet back

Davie Selke, Luca Kilian and Florian Dietz are all out of action for Cologne though Julian Chabot, Mark Uth, Leart Paqarada and Dejan Ljubicic will hope to return from illness and injury in time to feature.

Predicted lineup: Schwabe – Schmitz, Hubers, Chabot, Finkgrafe – Huseinbasic, Martel, Thielmann, Waldschmidt, Kainz – Alidou

Germany Bundesliga II 09/05/25

W

Nurnberg

1

Cologne

2

Germany Bundesliga II 03/05/25

D

Jahn Regensburg

1

Cologne

1

Germany Bundesliga II 27/04/25

L

Hannover 96

1

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga II 20/04/25

W

SC Preussen Munster

1

Cologne

3

Germany Bundesliga II 11/04/25

D

Greuther Furth

1

Cologne

1

Union Berlin preview: Visitors at close to full strength

Union Berlin have few injury issued to contend with though back-up keeper Jakob Busk is nursing a calf problem and won't be involved. The Iron Ones were beaten 4-3 at home by Bochum in their last assignment.

Predicted lineup: Ronnow – Vogt, Doekhi, Leite – Juranovic, Schafer, Khedira, Tousart, Gosens – Volland, Hollerbach

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

L

Heidenheim

3

Union Berlin

0

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

Werder Bremen

2

Union Berlin

2

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25

D

Bochum

1

Union Berlin

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

VfB Stuttgart

4

Union Berlin

4

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

D

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Union Berlin

0

Player to watch: Florian Kainz

With four goals and four assists in Bundesliga this season, the experienced winger has been one of the key contributors on the offensive end for Cologne and he's our player to watch in this match.

Another goal from the penalty for Kainz?

All four goals that Kainz has scored in the Bundesliga this season have come from penalties, so there's a good chance that he'll score from the penalty spot in this game too, if he gets the opportunity.