Lorient vs Toulouse prediction, odds and betting tips 28/04/2024

28/04/24 - 14:00

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Lorient - Toulouse

France Ligue 1 - Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir

With Lorient scrapping at the bottom of the Ligue 1 table, the teams they want to face are ones in mid-table with very little to play for, so step forward Toulouse. If the hosts can pick up a huge win this weekend they would increase their chance of survival by a considerable amount.

Lorient vs Toulouse prediction: A must-win clash for the hosts

Key stats

• Lorient have only scored four goals in their last eight Ligue 1 matches
• Toulouse are unbeaten in four games
• Les Merlus have won half of their Ligue 1 matches at home

Pre-game odds and win probability: Relegation candidates slight favourites

Home: 8/5 (2.6) – 38.5%

Draw: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%

Away: 17/10 (2,7) – 37%

This is certainly one of the highest games to call in Ligue 1 all weekend with the bookmakers only just able to pick out a favourite in Lorient. But with just one win in their last eight matches, the home side are not in great form so backing them to win would be a major risk for any punters.

So, we would suggest perhaps opting for a double chance bet this weekend which would allow you to cover both the game ending in a draw or Lorient victory, especially when they have more to play for. However, this won't appeal to everyone so we have a bunch of free betting tips for you to check out ahead of the weekend.

Last five H2Hs: Goals are hard to come by

The only time that either of these teams have managed to score more than one goal in a single game came back in August 2022 when the match finished 2-2. Therefore, don't expect a goal-fest on Sunday and instead, be ready to have faith in whoever scores first.

France Ligue 1 03/12/23

Toulouse

1

Lorient

1

France Ligue 1 23/04/23

Lorient

0

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 1 21/08/22

Toulouse

2

Lorient

2

France League Cup 31/10/18

Toulouse

0

Lorient

1

France Ligue 1 08/02/17

Lorient

1

Toulouse

1

Lorient preview: It's now win or bust

This game against Toulouse – on paper – is the easiest one for Lorient until they welcome Clermont on the final day of the season, but by then it could be all over. So, if they can't pick up three points this weekend at home, it could be curtains for Les Merlus.

Predicted lineup: Mvogo (GK) – Toure, Laporte, Adjei – Mendy, Bakayoko, Louza, Kalulu – Ponceau, Kari – Kroupi

France Ligue 2 31/08/24

L

Amiens

1

Lorient

0

France Ligue 2 24/08/24

W

Grenoble

0

Lorient

2

France Ligue 2 19/08/24

W

Martigues

0

Lorient

1

Europe Friendlies 10/08/24

D

Guingamp

1

Lorient

1

Europe Friendlies 07/08/24

D

Nantes

1

Lorient

1

Toulouse preview: Ending the season in good form

Despite having little left to play for having secured their spot in Ligue 1 for next season, Toulouse are playing with freedom and tearing teams apart in the process. Les Violets have won five of their last nine league games and only lost two, so they are causing teams a lot of problems.

Predicted lineup: Restes (GK) – Diarra, Costa, Nicolaisen – Suazo, Spierings, Sierro, Kamanzi – Babicka, Dallinga, Aboukhlal

France Ligue 1 31/08/24

L

Marseille

3

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 1 25/08/24

D

Nice

1

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 1 18/08/24

D

Nantes

0

Toulouse

0

Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24

L

Valladolid

2

Toulouse

0

Elite Club Friendlies 04/08/24

D

Espanyol

0

Toulouse

0

Player to watch: Thijs Dallinga

If you are not confident in backing Lorient to turn around their shocking run of form, then going for someone such as Thijs Dallina to outscore Les Merlus could be something to get you excited.

The most likely source of goals

Dallinga's goals in key moments are largely the reason why Toulouse are safe in mid-table and not worried about who's below them in Ligue 1. The Dutchman has scored 11 times in the league and has 21 goal involvements in 40 appearances across all competitions.