Azerbaijan vs Sweden prediction, odds & betting tips 16/11/2023

Azerbaijan
16/11/23 - 17:00

Finished

3

-

0

Sweden

Azerbaijan - Sweden

Euro 2024 Qualifying - Albert le Coq Arena

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Everything you need to know ahead of Azerbaijan vs Sweden

We're bringing you our Euro 2024 predictions for Thursday's Group F qualifier which sees Azerbaijan play host to Sweden. Sweden ran out 5-0 winners back in March when these two nations locked horns at the Friends Arena but we are predicting a much closer game in Baku this week.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 goals were scored when Azerbaijan last played host to Sweden back in 2000.
  • Four of Azerbaijan's last five matches have ended with under 2.5 goals being scored.
  • Two of Sweden's last three away games have witnessed fewer than three goals.

Both Teams to Score – No

  • Azerbaijan have never scored against Sweden before.
  • Azerbaijan have failed to score in three of their last six international matches.
  • Azerbaijan only lost 1-0 at home to Belgium and Austria in qualifying.

Azerbaijan vs Sweden Odds & Bookmakers

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Azerbaijan vs Sweden.

Head to Head

27/03/23

Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro

Sweden

Sweden

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

5

0

Last Five - Azerbaijan

11/06/24

International Match International

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

2

3

W

07/06/24

International Match International

Albania

Albania

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

3

1

L

25/03/24

International Match International

Bulgaria

Bulgaria

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

1

1

D

22/03/24

International Match International

Mongolia

Mongolia

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

0

1

W

19/11/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

Belgium

Belgium

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

5

0

L

Last Five - Sweden

08/06/24

International Match International

Serbia

Serbia

Sweden

Sweden

3

0

L

05/06/24

International Match International

Denmark

Denmark

Sweden

Sweden

2

1

L

25/03/24

International Match International

Albania

Albania

Sweden

Sweden

0

1

W

21/03/24

International Match International

Portugal

Portugal

Sweden

Sweden

5

2

L

12/01/24

International Match International

Estonia

Estonia

Sweden

Sweden

1

2

W

Azerbaijan odds: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

Draw odds: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%

Sweden odds: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

Sweden are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 69.2%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this pick. If you want more of our football betting tips for this Euro 2024 qualifier, check out the Correct Score market. You can back Azerbaijan to win 1-0 at 16/1 (17.00) with a probability of 5.9%, a 0-0 draw at 12/1 (13.00) which has a probability of 7.7%, or a 1-0 Sweden victory at 11/2 (6.50) where the probability is highest at 15.4%.

Azerbaijan vs Sweden Lineups and Last Match

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan put in a brave performance at home to Austria last time out but still ended up with nothing to show for their efforts. The hosts held Austria to a goalless draw heading into the halftime interval but the visitors were awarded a penalty early in the second forty-five which Sabitzer converted. That goal proved enough to defeat an Azerbaijan side that have struggled to convert chances in this qualification process. Ramil Sheydayev, who plays his club football in Thailand, provides the main goal threat in the Azerbaijan squad but the hosts also carry a threat from midfield in the form of their captain Emin Mahmudov who has eleven goals in forty-one caps.

Predicted Lineup – Məhəmmədəliyev (GK), Haqqverdi, Məmmədov, Krivotsyuk, Bayramov, Cəfərquliyev, Mahmudov, Diniyev, Isaev, Şeydayev & Dadashov 

Sweden

Sweden have disappointed somewhat in qualifying so far, picking up just seven points from their opening six matches. The Scandinavians made the trip to group leaders Belgium last month and took the lead through Sporting Lisbon striker Gyokeres. However, a thirty-first-minute penalty from the top scorer in qualifying, Romelu Lukaku, levelled the scoreline just after the half-hour mark and the second forty-five failed to produce any more goals so the game ended in a stalemate. A decent point for Sweden who need to build on that result with a win in Azerbaijan but will have to do that without their main striker Alexander Isak who is injured.

Predicted Lineup – Olsen (GK), Lindelöf, Augustinsson, Helander, Wahlqvist, Ekdal, Forsberg, Svanberg, Kulusevski, Cajuste & Gyökeres

Starting Lineups

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan
4-4-1-1
1
Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
az
2
Rahil Mammadov
az
4
Bahlul Mustafazada
az
5
Anton Krivotsyuk
az
3
Elvin Cafarquliyev
az
11
Ramil Sheydaev
az
20
Aleksey Aleksandrovich Isayev
az
7
Joshgun Diniev
az
17
Toral Bayramov
az
8
Emin Makhmudov
az
9
Renat Dadashov
az
Substitutes
16
Elvin Jamalov
az
12
Yusif Imanov
az
15
Amin Seydiyev
az
21
Qismet Aliyev Qardasxan
az
6
Hojjat Haghverdi
az
19
Nariman Akhundzade
az
18
Ozan Can Kokcu
az
13
Turan Manafov
az
14
Eddy Silvestre Pascual Israfilov
az
23
Rashad Azizov
az
10
Mahir Emreli
az
22
Musa Qurbanli
az

Sweden

Sweden
4-4-2
1
Robin Olsen
se
14
Linus Wahlqvist
se
3
Victor Lindelof
se
4
Filip Helander
se
13
Ken Sema
se
19
Mattias Svanberg
se
9
Jens-Lys Cajuste
se
18
Samuel Gustafson
se
10
Emil Forsberg
se
17
Viktor Gyokeres
se
21
Dejan Kulusevski
se
Substitutes
16
Hugo Larsson
se
23
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
se
15
Carl Starfelt
se
6
Niklas Hult
se
8
Albin Ekdal
se
11
Marcus Rohden
se
5
Isak Hien
se
12
Viktor Johansson
se
7
Viktor Claesson
se
20
Kristoffer Olsson
se
22
Robin Quaison
se
2
Emil Krafth
se

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Viktor Gyökeres

The former Coventry City striker, Viktor Gyökeres top scores for Sweden in the Euro 2024 qualifiers with three goals and is the only player in the squad who has managed to score more than once so far.

Gyökeres earned a big money more to the Portuguese side Sporting Lisbon in the summer where he has continued to impress with seen goals in ten matches.

Although Sweden dominated Azerbaijan in March, we are expecting a much closer game this time around as the hosts only lost 1-0 at home to both Belgium and Austria in this qualification process. With that in mind, Gyökeres could well be the key behind a narrow Sweden victory on Thursday and we will certainly have our eyes on the seventeen-times capped forward who has five international goals to his name.

azerbaijan vs sweden


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things