Sweden vs Azerbaijan prediction, odds & betting tips – 19/11/2024

Sweden will host Azerbaijan on Tuesday, 19 November, in the final round of the UEFA Nations League C.

Since Sweden have already secured first place and promotion, can Azerbaijan take advantage of this to cause an upset? Find that out and more from our Sweden vs Azerbaijan prediction and preview.

Sweden vs Azerbaijan prediction: A comfortable win for the hosts

Key Stats

• Sweden are unbeaten in five matches in the group, notching four wins and one draw.
• Azerbaijan have lost four of their five games in this edition of the Nations League.
• Nine of Sweden’s last 10 fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals.
• The last four meetings between these two teams have gone over 2.5 total goals

Correct score prediction: Sweden 3-0 Azerbaijan

While Sweden don't need to beat Azerbaijan, we don't doubt that they will. Sweden have been in great form recently, while Azerbaijan have struggled and since Sweden have scored at least three goals in three of the last four meetings with Azerbaijan, we can see that being the case on Tuesday as well.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Azerbaijan priced as underdogs

• HOME: 3/17– 85.00%
• DRAW: 6/1 – 14.30%
• AWAY: 13/1 – 7.10%

*Odds from 7Bet, subject to change

Looking at the Sweden vs Azerbaijan odds, we can see that the bookies consider the hosts to be the expected winners by a wide margin, which is understandable since Sweden are a much better team on paper.

On top of this, Sweden have been dominant in their Nations League group and have already secured promotion to League B, while Azerbaijan have just one point from five games and will have to keep fighting to stay in League C.

You can read more of our international predictions on our football tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Sweden dominating the matchup

These two teams have met five times before, with Sweden winning four of those games. The only win for Azerbaijan came last year in EURO qualifiers, when they surprised Swedes by beating them 3-0.

UEFA Nations League C 05/09/24

Azerbaijan

1

Sweden

3

Euro 2023 Qualifying 16/11/23

Azerbaijan

3

Sweden

0

Euro 2023 Qualifying 27/03/23

Sweden

5

Azerbaijan

0

Sweden preview: A relaxing test ahead

After beating Slovakia 2-1 a few days ago, Sweden have secured top spot in the group and direct promotion to League B of the UEFA Nations League. With four wins and one draw, Sweden have been quite convincing in winning the group and they'll be looking to end the competition with another triumph.

Sweden's manager Jon Dahl Tomasson will likely mix things up a bit when it comes to the starting lineup, given that the hosts have already secured promotion. One thing is sure though – Victor Lindelof will miss this game through injury he suffered against Slovakia.

Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Starfelt, Hien, Gudmundsson, Holm, Karlstrom, Bergvall, Sema, Forsberg, Isak & Lidberg

International Match 25/03/25

W

Northern Ireland

1

Sweden

5

International Match 22/03/25

L

Luxembourg

1

Sweden

0

UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24

W

Azerbaijan

0

Sweden

6

UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24

W

Slovakia

1

Sweden

2

UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24

W

Estonia

0

Sweden

3

Azerbaijan preview: Hoping to avoid another loss at the end

With four losses in five games in this edition of the Nations League, Azerbaijan are last in the group with one point and they will stay there regardless of the results in the last round. However, Azerbaijan need points from this game if they are to avoid direct relegation.

Currently, they are third in rankings of fourth-placed teams, so a loss would certainly send them to League D, while a draw or a win would give them a chance to fight for survival in relegation playoffs, if results in other groups end up going their way.

Predicted lineup: Jafarov (GK), Aliyev, Mustafazada, B. Huseynov, Mammadov, Cafarguliyev, Sheydayev, Nuriyev, Isayev, Bayramov & Emreli

International Match 25/03/25

L

Belarus

2

Azerbaijan

0

International Match 22/03/25

L

Haiti

3

Azerbaijan

0

UEFA Nations League C 19/11/24

L

Sweden

6

Azerbaijan

0

UEFA Nations League C 16/11/24

D

Estonia

0

Azerbaijan

0

UEFA Nations League C 14/10/24

L

Slovakia

3

Azerbaijan

1

Player to watch: Emil Forsberg

The 33-year-old is still the best scorer of all active players in this Swedish team, although Isak and Gyokeres are getting closer. However, with Sweden already secured promotion, the two attackers might get to rest this game, so Forsberg will likely get a chance to add to his international goalscoring tally.