Azerbaijan welcome Sweden to the Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu in Nations League on Thursday, 5 September. Read our Nations League predictions for the clash below.
Contents
- 1 Azerbaijan vs Sweden prediction: Can hosts upset the odds in Baku?
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Azerbaijan priced as underdogs
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Recent encounters have been exciting
- 4 Azerbaijan preview: Hosts at close to full strength
- 5 Sweden preview: Visitors missing key defenders
- 6 Player to watch – Alexander Isak
Azerbaijan vs Sweden prediction: Can hosts upset the odds in Baku?
Key Stats
- Azerbaijan beat Sweden 3-0 when the teams last met in a Euros qualification clash last November.
- Azerbaijan have lost only two of their last ten matches on home soil.
- Five of Sweden’s last seven fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Emin Mahmudov scored twice when Azerbaijan beat Sweden 3-0 last year.
Correct score prediction: Azerbaijan 3-2 Sweden
Azerbaijan shocked Sweden when the teams met in Baku last year and the host’s 3-0 triumph over the Swedes was nestled inside an excellent run at home for the Milli komanda. Sweden have been conceding far too many goals this year and their defensive issues could hamper them again here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Azerbaijan priced as underdogs
- HOME: 5/1 (1.20) – 83.3%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Portuguese manager Fernando Santos takes charge of Azerbaijan for the first time this week and he will be keen to emulate his predecessor’s triumph over Sweden last year. The hosts are tough to beat at home and they are generously priced a 5/1 to win on Thursday.
Sweden meanwhile, have lost three of their last four matches, conceding plenty of goals along the way. However, despite their poor form, they are still 11/20 favourites to win in Baku. You can read more of our international predictions on our football tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Recent encounters have been exciting
Azerbaijan and Sweden contested the same Euros qualification group last year and the team’s recorded one victory each in their two encounters.
Stats to follow…
Azerbaijan preview: Hosts at close to full strength
Azerbaijan have most of their best players in tow for the current international break with Emin Mahmudov, Coşqun Diniyev, Ramil Sheydayev and Badavi Guseynov all expected to be involved. Mahmudov is the leading scorer in the squad with 14 goals.
Predicted lineup: Məhəmmədəliyev (GK), Huseynov, Seydiyev, Krivotsyuk, Bayramov, Cəfərquliyev, Mahmudov, Camalov, Isaev, Seydayev, Emreli
UEFA Nations League C 08/09/24
L
Slovakia
2
Azerbaijan
0
UEFA Nations League C 05/09/24
L
Sweden
3
Azerbaijan
1
International Match 11/06/24
W
Kazakhstan
2
Azerbaijan
3
International Match 07/06/24
L
Albania
3
Azerbaijan
1
International Match 25/03/24
D
Bulgaria
1
Azerbaijan
1
Sweden preview: Visitors missing key defenders
Emil Krafth, Victor Lindelof, Robbie Olsen, Emil Forsberg and Victor Claesson are all missing from the Sweden squad. Alex Douglas is the only uncapped player on the roster. Tottenham's Lucas Bergvall will hope to win his second cap.
Predicted lineup: Nordfeldt (GK), Augustinsson, Hien, Sema, Kulusevski, Saletros, Causte, Svanberg, ISak, Elanga, Gyokeres
UEFA Nations League C 08/09/24
W
Estonia
0
Sweden
3
UEFA Nations League C 05/09/24
W
Azerbaijan
1
Sweden
3
International Match 08/06/24
L
Serbia
3
Sweden
0
International Match 05/06/24
L
Denmark
2
Sweden
1
International Match 25/03/24
W
Albania
0
Sweden
1
Player to watch – Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak is the leading scorer in Sweden’s squad with 11 goals in 46 appearances and the fleet-footed forward will enter the international break on a high after a match-winning impact for Newcastle at the weekend.
Isak should be brimming with confidence
Isak galvanised his cult hero stats at Newcastle at the weekend when he buried the winning goal in the Magpies’ triumph over Tottenham. Isak’s blend of speed and skill should trouble the Azerbaijani defence on Thursday.
