Millwall vs Sunderland prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 04/02/2023

Millwall
04/02/23 - 15:00

Finished

1

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Sunderland

Millwall - Sunderland

England Championship - The Den

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Championship predictions for Millwall vs Sunderland with the game due to take place on Saturday 4th January.

Millwall vs Sunderland: Our top betting predictions

Right now both these teams are in the playoff hunt but Millwall sit one point above Sunderland with a game in hand. That combined with a win here would put real distance between the two sides. Will Millwall be able to get that win though? Find out with our Millwall vs Sunderland match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Points all round

We have already touched on the league positions these two sides find themselves in with just the one point between them and we're predicting that there is nothing between them on the day either. Millwall have been a tough but to crack at home with just one defeat in 10 at the Den. Notably though, four of their most recent six home games have ended in draws. As for Sunderland, they are in a great stretch of form themselves – particularly away from home where they are now nine unbeaten. Like Millwall though, a fair few of that unbeaten run have been draws with three coming inside their five most recent games on the road. Combine that with two of the last three head to head games ending level and you'll see why a draw bet is the one with the best value!

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Predicting 1-1

We're being seriously bold with our second prediction for this game as we delve into the correct score market. The logic of a draw hasn't changed by our minds are set on a 1-1 scoreline too. It is seriously simple to explain too. Millwall have recorded three draws in their last five home games; two of those have ended 1-1. Sunderland have drawn three of their last five away games with all of them ending 1-1. Finally, the last time Sunderland visited Millwall's stadium the game ended in a draw. The scoreline that day? 1-1, of course!

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Millwall vs Sunderland

Head to Head

03/12/22

England Championship CHA

Sunderland

Sunderland

Millwall

Millwall

3

0

10/09/22

England Championship CHA

Sunderland

Sunderland

Millwall

Millwall

0

0

03/03/18

England Championship CHA

Millwall

Millwall

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

1

18/11/17

England Championship CHA

Sunderland

Sunderland

Millwall

Millwall

2

2

Last Five - Millwall

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

Millwall

Millwall

2

0

L

14/02/24

England Championship CHA

Ipswich

Ipswich

Millwall

Millwall

4

0

L

11/02/24

England Championship CHA

Coventry

Coventry

Millwall

Millwall

2

1

L

03/02/24

England Championship CHA

Hull

Hull

Millwall

Millwall

1

0

L

27/01/24

England Championship CHA

Preston

Preston

Millwall

Millwall

1

1

D

Last Five - Sunderland

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Birmingham

Sunderland

Sunderland

2

1

L

14/02/24

England Championship CHA

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

0

L

10/02/24

England Championship CHA

gb

Plymouth

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

3

W

04/02/24

England Championship CHA

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

1

D

27/01/24

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

3

W

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.

Millwall odds: 6/5 (2.20) – 46%

Draw odds: 7/3 (3.33) – 30%

Sunderland odds: 7/3 (3.33) – 30%

There are a couple of really quick takeaways to touch on where the above match result odds are concerned. The first thing to note is that Millwall's tag as favourites is only very marginal with plenty of punters likely to opt for one of the other choices. On that subject, the draw and away win being priced up at the same odds is intriguing; the bookies have left some serious cash value on the table where betting is concerned.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall

Millwall haven't been losing games and that means huge changes to the XI are unlikely with minor tweaks possibly the difference between drawing and winning. We're expecting the same 4-3-2-1 that saw off Cardiff last time out.

Predicted lineup – Long, McNamara, Hutchinson, Cooper, Styles, Saville, Mitchell, Honeyman, Flemming, Bennett, Bradshaw

Sunderland

Like their hosts, Sunderland have been in a good place lately and will likely come into this game with a “if it's not broken” kind of approach. That's fair enough given how they've played of late. One player that won't be involved though is the suspended Luke O'Nien.

Predicted lineup – Patterson, Hume, Ballard, Batth, Alese, Evans, Neil, Roberts, Diallo, Clarke, Stewart

Starting Lineups

Millwall

Millwall
23
George Saville
gb
20
Mason Bennett
gb
39
George Honeyman
gb
3
Murray Wallace
gb
1
George Long
gb
10
Zian Flemming
nl
8
Billy Mitchell
gb
15
Charlie Cresswell
gb
9
Tom Bradshaw
gb
2
Danny McNamara
ie
5
Jake Cooper
gb
Substitutes
7
Oliver Burke
gb
33
Bartosz Bialkowski
pl
11
Scott Malone
gb
18
Ryan Leonard
gb
21
Andreas Voglsammer
de
19
Duncan Watmore
gb
16
Jamie Shackleton
gb

Sunderland

Sunderland
24
Dan Neill
gb
16
Amad Diallo
ci
25
Edouard Michut
fr
1
Anthony Patterson
gb
32
Trai Hume
gb
28
Joe Gelhardt
gb
42
Aji Alese
gb
20
Jack Clarke
gb
5
Daniel Ballard
gb
10
Patrick Roberts
gb
6
Danny Batth
gb
Substitutes
3
Dennis Cirkin
gb
19
Jewison Bennette
cr
39
Pierre Ekwah
fr
21
Alex Pritchard
gb
17
Abdoullah Ba
fr
12
Alex Bass
gb
45
Joseph Anderson
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

If we're picking out one person to watch for this game then it simply has to be Tom Bradshaw. The Millwall forward has been sensational of late and has weighed in with five goal contributions across his six league appearances. If that Bradshaw turns up in this game then he could be the difference maker in what is likely to a tight game.

A quickfire FAQ on Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall vs Sunderland prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – The Den
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Millwall
  • What time does the match kick off?  3 PM GMT

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Sasha

A dedicated journalist with over 20 years of experience following sports from football, basketball, and tennis. After graduating from Journalism College, Sasa started his career with a desire to travel the world doing what he loves the most, covering meaningful sporting events. Some of those wishes came true, and some are still in the mindset.