Swansea vs Stoke prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 21/02/2023

Swansea
21/02/23 - 19:45

Finished

1

-

3

Stoke

Swansea - Stoke

England Championship - Liberty Stadium

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Championship predictions for Swansea vs Stoke with the game due to take place on 21st February.

Swansea vs Stoke prediction and top betting tips

Swansea and Stoke both suffered defeats at the weekend but this Tuesday night clash gives both a quick opportunity to bounce back. Who will come out on top as they face off? Find out with our Swansea vs Stoke match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Swansea vs Stoke Prediction 1: Draw

We kick off our predictions for this game in the match result market and we see this game ending level. Neither side have been in particularly great form of late with Swansea winning one, drawing one and losing three of their last five games. Stoke meanwhile have bagged two wins in their last five games alongside a draw meaning they've lost two. Notably though, one of those victories was against lower league opposition in the cup. The head to head record doesn't do much to separate these sides either. Across the last five meetings between them, Stoke have won two, Swansea have won two and one game – the most recent clash – ended with a share of the spoils.

Place the bet >>

Swansea vs Stoke Prediction 2: Over 2.5 goals

Just because these two sides have been out of form, that does not mean the game has to be a boring one. We are making the prediction that this game sees at least three goals as we bet on over 2.5 goals. Swansea have gone over that threshold in four of their last five home matches with a total of 19 goals seen across that period; that gives them a game average of 3.8 goals per game. Stoke meanwhile have broken the 2.5 mark in three of their last five away games. They've seen notably fewer goals in those matches with a total of 13 but, even so, that still leaves their game average north of 2.5 at 2.6 goals per game. Three of the last four head to head games have gone over 2.5 goals.

Place the bet >>

Here are the key stats & form guide for Swansea vs Stoke

Head to Head

28/01/23

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Swansea

Stoke

Stoke

0

0

31/08/22

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Swansea

Swansea

1

1

08/02/22

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Swansea

Swansea

3

0

17/08/21

England Championship CHA

Swansea

Swansea

Stoke

Stoke

1

3

03/03/21

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Swansea

Swansea

1

2

Last Five - Swansea

24/02/24

England Championship CHA

Sunderland

Sunderland

Swansea

Swansea

1

2

W

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Ipswich

Ipswich

Swansea

Swansea

2

1

L

13/02/24

England Championship CHA

Leeds

Leeds

Swansea

Swansea

4

0

L

10/02/24

England Championship CHA

Hull

Hull

Swansea

Swansea

0

1

W

03/02/24

England Championship CHA

gb

Plymouth

Swansea

Swansea

1

0

L

Last Five - Stoke

24/02/24

England Championship CHA

Cardiff

Cardiff

Stoke

Stoke

2

1

L

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Coventry

Coventry

Stoke

Stoke

1

0

L

14/02/24

England Championship CHA

QPR

QPR

Stoke

Stoke

0

1

W

10/02/24

England Championship CHA

Blackburn

Blackburn

Stoke

Stoke

3

1

L

03/02/24

England Championship CHA

Leicester

Leicester

Stoke

Stoke

5

0

L

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Swansea vs Stoke odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game? Let's find out.

Swansea odds: 9/7 (2.29) – 44%

Draw odds: 7/3 (3.33) – 30%

Stoke odds: 15/7 (3.14) – 32%

Swansea come into this match as favourites in the eyes of the bookmakers but with both sides priced north of the evens (2.00) mark, there is no doubt that this game could go either way.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea

Swansea might have lost their last game but they performed well enough with the game finely balanced. We don't foresee massive changes to the XI for this fixture, however, with the quick turnaround of games it would be a surprise to see an unchanged lineup. Joe Allen is perhaps the most likely to be rotated out whilst Morgan Whittaker could come in for a start. Any changes though will be like for like with a 3-4-2-1 formation anticipated.

Predicted lineup – Fisher, Darling, Wood, Cabango, Manning, Latibeaudiere, Grimes, Ntcham, Cundle, Whittaker, Piroe

Stoke

Stoke suffered a big blow at the weekend as they lost away at relegation threatened Blackpool to ensure the Potters need to keep looking over their shoulders. They did, however, dominate that game with 70% of the ball and 25 shots – albeit only six were on target – which will give them some confidence as to their competitiveness in games. Like for Swansea, three days between games doesn't give much recovery time and a couple of changes could be seen.  Lewis Baker is the most likely beneficiary of those changes.

Predicted lineup – Sarkic, Fox, Wilmot, Jagielka, Sterling, Laurent, Baker, Campbell, Smallbone, Brown, Gayle

Swansea vs Stoke Line ups

Swansea

Swansea
7
Joe Allen
gb
19
Morgan Whittaker
gb
29
Matthew Sorinola
gb
23
Nathan Wood
gb
31
Oliver Cooper
gb
1
Andy Fisher
gb
6
Harry Darling
gb
17
Joel Piroe
nl
5
Ben Cabango
gb
8
Matt Grimes
gb
3
Ryan Manning
ie
Substitutes
10
Olivier Ntcham
cm
45
Cameron Congreve
gb
26
Kyle Naughton
gb
20
Liam Cullen
gb
28
Liam Walsh
gb
27
Andreas Sondergaard
dk
22
Joel Latibeaudiere
jm

Stoke

Stoke
11
Dwight Gayle
gb
22
Ben Pearson
gb
17
Ki-Jana Hoever
nl
18
William Smallbone
ie
1
Matija Sarkic
me
16
Ben Wilmot
gb
9
Jacob Brown
gb
3
Morgan Fox
gb
10
Tyrese Campbell
gb
20
Dujon Sterling
gb
28
Josh Laurent
gb
Substitutes
48
Gabriel Adebambo
ie
47
Kahrel Azariah Reddin
gb
15
Jordan Thompson
gb
32
Connor Taylor
gb
13
Jack Bonham
ie
8
Lewis Baker
gb
45
Nathan Lowe
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

This game is likely to be a hard fought match with little between the sides. As such, the ability to take the chances that are created will prove even more critical than normal. With that in mind, we see Swansea's Joel Piroe as the key player to keep an eye on.

Take a look at the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Leicester

Leicester

34 25 3 6 41 78
2 Leeds

Leeds

34 22 6 6 37 72
3 Ipswich

Ipswich

34 21 9 4 23 72
4 Southampton

Southampton

34 20 7 7 23 67
5 West Brom

West Brom

34 16 8 10 17 56
6 Hull

Hull

34 16 7 11 7 55
7 Norwich

Norwich

34 15 7 12 8 52
8 Preston

Preston

34 15 7 12 -5 52
9 Coventry

Coventry

34 13 12 9 11 51
10 Sunderland

Sunderland

34 14 5 15 7 47
11 Watford

Watford

34 11 11 12 3 44
12 Bristol City

Bristol City

34 12 8 14 0 44
13 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

33 13 5 15 -2 44
14 Cardiff

Cardiff

34 13 5 16 -9 44
15

Plymouth

34 10 10 14 -4 40
16 Blackburn

Blackburn

34 11 6 17 -12 39
17 Swansea

Swansea

34 10 9 15 -12 39
18 Birmingham

Birmingham

33 10 8 15 -13 38
19 Huddersfield

Huddersfield

34 8 13 13 -15 37
20 Millwall

Millwall

34 9 9 16 -14 36
21 QPR

QPR

34 9 8 17 -13 35
22 Stoke

Stoke

34 9 8 17 -17 35
23 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

34 9 5 20 -25 32
24 Rotherham

Rotherham

34 3 10 21 -36 19

A quickfire FAQ on Swansea – Stoke

swansea vs stoke prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Swansea.com Stadium
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Swansea
  • What time does the match kick off?  19:45 GMT

Avatar of Simon Winter
Simon Winter

Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.