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Swansea - Stoke
England Championship - Liberty Stadium
Prediction 1
Draw
7/3 (3.33)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
BTTS
17/20 (1.85)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Here we bring you Championship predictions for Swansea vs Stoke with the game due to take place on 21st February.
Swansea vs Stoke prediction and top betting tips
Swansea and Stoke both suffered defeats at the weekend but this Tuesday night clash gives both a quick opportunity to bounce back. Who will come out on top as they face off? Find out with our Swansea vs Stoke match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
Contents
Swansea vs Stoke Prediction 1: Draw
We kick off our predictions for this game in the match result market and we see this game ending level. Neither side have been in particularly great form of late with Swansea winning one, drawing one and losing three of their last five games. Stoke meanwhile have bagged two wins in their last five games alongside a draw meaning they've lost two. Notably though, one of those victories was against lower league opposition in the cup. The head to head record doesn't do much to separate these sides either. Across the last five meetings between them, Stoke have won two, Swansea have won two and one game – the most recent clash – ended with a share of the spoils.
Swansea vs Stoke Prediction 2: Over 2.5 goals
Just because these two sides have been out of form, that does not mean the game has to be a boring one. We are making the prediction that this game sees at least three goals as we bet on over 2.5 goals. Swansea have gone over that threshold in four of their last five home matches with a total of 19 goals seen across that period; that gives them a game average of 3.8 goals per game. Stoke meanwhile have broken the 2.5 mark in three of their last five away games. They've seen notably fewer goals in those matches with a total of 13 but, even so, that still leaves their game average north of 2.5 at 2.6 goals per game. Three of the last four head to head games have gone over 2.5 goals.
Here are the key stats & form guide for Swansea vs Stoke
Head to Head
28/01/23
England Championship CHA
Swansea
Stoke
0
0
31/08/22
England Championship CHA
Stoke
Swansea
1
1
08/02/22
England Championship CHA
Stoke
Swansea
3
0
17/08/21
England Championship CHA
Swansea
Stoke
1
3
03/03/21
England Championship CHA
Stoke
Swansea
1
2
Last Five - Swansea
19/03/23
England Championship CHA
Bristol City
Swansea
0
2
W
14/03/23
England Championship CHA
Millwall
Swansea
2
1
L
11/03/23
England Championship CHA
Middlesbrough
Swansea
3
1
L
04/03/23
England Championship CHA
Luton
Swansea
1
0
L
27/02/23
England Championship CHA
Rotherham
Swansea
1
1
D
Last Five - Stoke
18/03/23
England Championship CHA
Norwich
Stoke
0
0
D
14/03/23
England Championship CHA
Middlesbrough
Stoke
1
1
D
10/03/23
England Championship CHA
Blackburn
Stoke
2
3
W
04/03/23
England Championship CHA
Sunderland
Stoke
1
5
W
28/02/23
England FA Cup FA Cup
Brighton
Stoke
1
0
L
So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Swansea vs Stoke odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game? Let's find out.
Swansea odds: 9/7 (2.29) – 44%
Draw odds: 7/3 (3.33) – 30%
Stoke odds: 15/7 (3.14) – 32%
Swansea come into this match as favourites in the eyes of the bookmakers but with both sides priced north of the evens (2.00) mark, there is no doubt that this game could go either way.
Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Swansea vs Stoke
Swansea
Swansea might have lost their last game but they performed well enough with the game finely balanced. We don't foresee massive changes to the XI for this fixture, however, with the quick turnaround of games it would be a surprise to see an unchanged lineup. Joe Allen is perhaps the most likely to be rotated out whilst Morgan Whittaker could come in for a start. Any changes though will be like for like with a 3-4-2-1 formation anticipated.
Predicted lineup – Fisher, Darling, Wood, Cabango, Manning, Latibeaudiere, Grimes, Ntcham, Cundle, Whittaker, Piroe
Stoke
Stoke suffered a big blow at the weekend as they lost away at relegation threatened Blackpool to ensure the Potters need to keep looking over their shoulders. They did, however, dominate that game with 70% of the ball and 25 shots – albeit only six were on target – which will give them some confidence as to their competitiveness in games. Like for Swansea, three days between games doesn't give much recovery time and a couple of changes could be seen. Lewis Baker is the most likely beneficiary of those changes.
Predicted lineup – Sarkic, Fox, Wilmot, Jagielka, Sterling, Laurent, Baker, Campbell, Smallbone, Brown, Gayle
Swansea vs Stoke Line ups
Swansea
Stoke
*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.
Player to watch
This game is likely to be a hard fought match with little between the sides. As such, the ability to take the chances that are created will prove even more critical than normal. With that in mind, we see Swansea's Joel Piroe as the key player to keep an eye on.
Take a look at the latest standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Burnley | 37 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 83 |
| 2 |  Sheff Utd | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 70 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 67 |
| 4 |  Luton | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 64 |
| 5 |  Blackburn | 37 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 61 |
| 6 |  Millwall | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 60 |
| 7 |  Norwich | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57 |
| 8 |  Coventry | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 57 |
| 9 |  West Brom | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Watford | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 55 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 53 |
| 12 |  Preston | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 53 |
| 13 | Stoke | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 48 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 |  Hull | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | -10 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 46 |
| 17 |  Birmingham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 45 |
| 18 |  Reading | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -18 | 45 |
| 19 |  QPR | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -21 | 42 |
| 20 |  Rotherham | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | -10 | 40 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | -13 | 39 |
| 22 |  Huddersfield | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | -21 | 36 |
| 23 |  Blackpool | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -18 | 35 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -26 | 31 |
A quickfire FAQ on Swansea – Stoke
- Where is the match being played? – Swansea.com Stadium
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Swansea
- What time does the match kick off? 19:45 GMT
