Luton vs Stoke Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 04/02/2023

Luton
04/02/23 - 15:00

Finished

1

-

0

Stoke

Luton - Stoke

England Championship - Kenilworth Road

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Championship predictions for Luton vs Stoke with the game due to take place on 4th February.

Luton vs Stoke: Our top betting predictions

Luton's midweek win over Cardiff moves them up to fourth in the Championship table. Will they build on that again here as they host Stoke? Find out with our Luton vs Stoke match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Calling it even

We kick off our predictions for this game by backing the points to be shared. Luton come here in reasonable form having won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five games. Stoke though are in a good place too with three wins from their last five games. Luton's form and home advantage give them an edge but that's is cancelled out somewhat by the head to head record; Stoke have won four of the last five meetings between the sides. For those reasons, we are sitting firmly on the fence. Draw.

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Goals galore

Our next tip for this game comes from the total goals market and we fancy this game to be an entertaining affair hence we're predicting over 2.5 goals. We've already touched on both sides being in good form, which helps from a goalscoring perspective, but their games have been fairly high scoring of late too. Luton have seen three of their last five go over 2.5 goals with a combined goal haul of 15; that's an average of 3.0 goals per game. As for Stoke, each of their last four game have all gone over 2.5 goals but their game average is even stronger than that of their hosts at 3.8 goals per game.

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Luton vs Stoke

Head to Head

08/11/22

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Luton

Luton

2

0

10/09/22

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Luton

Luton

0

0

23/02/22

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Luton

Luton

1

2

06/11/21

England Championship CHA

Luton

Luton

Stoke

Stoke

0

1

20/02/21

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Luton

Luton

3

0

Last Five - Luton

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Fulham

Fulham

Luton

Luton

4

2

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

West Ham

West Ham

Luton

Luton

3

1

L

03/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Everton

Everton

Luton

Luton

1

1

D

27/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Luton

Luton

2

1

L

20/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Brentford

Brentford

Luton

Luton

5

1

L

Last Five - Stoke

04/05/24

England Championship CHA

Bristol City

Bristol City

Stoke

Stoke

0

4

W

27/04/24

England Championship CHA

Southampton

Southampton

Stoke

Stoke

0

1

W

20/04/24

England Championship CHA

Plymouth

Plymouth

Stoke

Stoke

0

3

W

19/04/24

England League 2 England

Port Vale

Port Vale

Stoke

Stoke

0

0

D

17/04/24

Italy Serie A Serie A

Port Vale

Port Vale

Stoke

Stoke

0

0

D

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.

Luton odds: 5/4 (2.25) – 44%

Draw odds: 9/4 (3.25) – 31%

Stoke odds: 9/4 (3.25) – 31%

The most interesting takeaway from the above match result odds is perhaps that the bookies have a draw and Stoke win valued at the same level. Luton meanwhile are favourites to win this game but not by a huge margin hence the odds coming in north of the evens (2.00) line. What really caught our eye though was the total goals odds, the bookies have this down as a low scoring affair with the under 2.5 betting option heavily odds on; we think that puts huge value on the over 2.5 option.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Luton vs Stoke

Luton

Luton are missing some really important players due to injury right now – namely Luke Freeman, Sonny Bradley and Henri Lansbury – but they show no signs of slowing down. After a solid win in the week against a Cardiff side buoyed by a managerial change, an unchanged lineup could be the order for this game.

Predicted lineup – Horvath, Burke, Lockyer, Bell, Drameh, Clark, Doughty, Woodrow, Mpanzu, Morris, Adebayo

Stoke

Stoke were a class act in their last league outing as they hit Reading for four. With such a performance in recent memory they won't be making any major adjustments to their XI and that likely means we can expect to see them set up in a 3-4-3 formation as they look to take the game to their hosts.

Predicted lineup – Bonham, Wilmot, Jagielka, Fox, Tymon, Smallbone, Laurent, Baker, Campbell, Gayle, Brown

Starting Lineups

Luton

Luton
16
Reece Burke
gb
29
Amari Bell
jm
34
Ethan Horvath
us
17
Ruddock Pelly
cd
4
Tom Lockyer
gb
22
Allan Campbell
gb
18
Jordan Clark
gb
11
Elijah Adebayo
gb
45
Alfie Doughty
gb
2
Cody Drameh
gb
9
Carlton Morris
gb
Substitutes
19
Marvelous Nakamba
zw
27
Joe Taylor
gb
23
Fred Onyedinma
gb
32
Gabriel Osho
gb
8
Luke Berry
gb
1
James Shea
gb
10
Cauley Woodrow
gb

Stoke

Stoke
6
Phil Jagielka
gb
16
Ben Wilmot
gb
9
Jacob Brown
gb
8
Lewis Baker
gb
14
Josh Tymon
gb
20
Dujon Sterling
gb
11
Dwight Gayle
gb
28
Josh Laurent
gb
23
Bersant Celina
xk
3
Morgan Fox
gb
1
Matija Sarkic
me
Substitutes
10
Tyrese Campbell
gb
37
Emre Tezgel
gb
33
Lewis Macari
gb
13
Jack Bonham
ie
18
William Smallbone
ie
17
Ki-Jana Hoever
nl
15
Jordan Thompson
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

We know 32-year-old Dwight Gayle is a capable goal scorer at this level of football after he hit 24 goals for West Brom a few years back. He's since been bench warming a division above and found himself low on confidence and in a serious dry patch. That ended last time out. If that's reinvigorated him the the Luton backline can expect a tough old 90 minutes!

Check out the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Leicester

Leicester

46 31 4 11 48 97
2 Ipswich

Ipswich

46 28 12 6 35 96
3 Leeds

Leeds

46 27 9 10 38 90
4 Southampton

Southampton

46 26 9 11 24 87
5 West Brom

West Brom

46 21 12 13 23 75
6 Norwich

Norwich

46 21 10 15 15 73
7 Hull

Hull

46 19 13 14 8 70
8 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

46 20 9 17 9 69
9 Coventry

Coventry

46 17 13 16 11 64
10 Preston

Preston

46 18 9 19 -11 63
11 Bristol City

Bristol City

46 17 11 18 2 62
12 Cardiff

Cardiff

46 19 5 22 -17 62
13 Millwall

Millwall

46 16 11 19 -10 59
14 Swansea

Swansea

46 15 12 19 -6 57
15 Watford

Watford

46 13 17 16 0 56
16 Sunderland

Sunderland

46 16 8 22 -2 56
17 Stoke

Stoke

46 15 11 20 -11 56
18 QPR

QPR

46 15 11 20 -11 56
19 Blackburn

Blackburn

46 14 11 21 -14 53
20 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

46 15 8 23 -24 53
21 Plymouth

Plymouth

46 13 12 21 -11 51
22 Birmingham

Birmingham

46 13 11 22 -15 50
23 Huddersfield

Huddersfield

46 9 18 19 -29 45
24 Rotherham

Rotherham

46 5 12 29 -52 27

A quickfire FAQ on Luton vs Stoke

Luton vs Stoke Prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Kenilworth Road
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Luton
  • What time does the match kick off?  15:00 GMT

Avatar of Ash Munson
Ash Munson

Ash an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!