Stoke vs Luton prediction
Stoke and Luton in direct battle for survival - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw

Luton are undefeated in their last four games in the league, while Stoke have only lost once in that span.

Stoke will take on Luton on Tuesday, 8 April, in a match between two struggling teams in the Championship.

Both sides are currently in the fight against relegation, so who will get the important points from this match? Read our Stoke vs Luton prediction and preview to find out.

Stoke vs Luton prediction: A low-scoring and close affair

Key stats

  • Stoke drew in eight of their 20 home games in the league this season.
  • Five of the last eight duels between Stoke and Luton have gone under 2.5 total goals.
  • Both teams have averaged fewer than 2.50 total goals per game in the Championship so far.

Correct score prediction: Stoke 1-1 Luton

With both teams doing well in the most recent games and looking for points that might turn out to be crucial for their survival in the Championship, we expect to see a cautious approach and a close game.

While we didn't see these two teams draw in a while, this game seems like it could go that way, especially since a draw would probably please both sides at this point in the season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Luton start as favourites

  • HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.10%
  • DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.80%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

We can see from these Stoke vs Luton odds that the bookies expect a close contest, although the hosts are the expected winners by a thin margin.

This makes sense considering how close Stoke and Luton are in the standings and that they enter this game in similar forms.

Check out our betting tips today page for more reliable predictions this week.

Most recent H2Hs: Neck and neck

Neither side has dominated this fixture in recent years since both teams have won three times in their last six meetings. Meanwhile, Stoke have the advantage over Luton when it comes to their overall H2H record: 19-16-13.

England Championship 10/12/24

Luton

Luton

2
Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 04/02/23

Luton

Luton

1
Stoke

Stoke

0

England Championship 08/11/22

Stoke

Stoke

2
Luton

Luton

0

England Championship 10/09/22

Stoke

Stoke

0
Luton

Luton

0

England Championship 23/02/22

Stoke

Stoke

1
Luton

Luton

2

Stoke preview: In solid form lately

In the last six games in the league, Stoke have won twice, lost twice, and drew in two of the games, so they have been inconsistent lately. That being said, eight points from six games is a solid haul for a team in the relegation battle, but it hasn't been enough to keep Stoke out of the danger since they're currently 20th in the standings and just two points ahead of the first team in the relegation zone.

Sol Sidibe, Enda Stevens, and Josh Wilson-Esbrand are questionable for this match with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Tchamadeu, Phillips, Wilmot, Bocat, Thompson, Burger, Manhoef, Baker, Jun-Ho & Gallagher

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 08/04/25

D

Luton

Luton

1

Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 05/04/25

D

Preston

Preston

1

Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 29/03/25

W

QPR

QPR

1

Stoke

Stoke

3

England Championship 15/03/25

L

Millwall

Millwall

1

Stoke

Stoke

0

Luton preview: Hoping to keep the momentum going

After they've gone 12 games in a row without a win, it seemed that Luton are doomed and that they should be packing their backs for League One, but with three wins in their last six games, the Hatters still have a chance to stay up. They are currently in the relegation zone, but they're also only two points behind the first team outside of it, with six games left to play.

When it comes to team news, Marvelous Nakamba, Elijah Adebayo, Teden Mengi, Jacob Brown, Shandon Baptiste, and Tom Lockyer are all out with injuries at the moment.

Predicted lineup: Kaminski (GK), Makosso, McGuinness, Bell, Jones, Walsh, Aasgaard, Clark, Doughty, Morris & Alli

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Blackburn

Blackburn

1

Luton

Luton

0

England Championship 08/04/25

D

Stoke

Stoke

1

Luton

Luton

1

England Championship 05/04/25

D

Leeds

Leeds

1

Luton

Luton

1

England Championship 29/03/25

W

Hull

Hull

0

Luton

Luton

1

England Championship 15/03/25

D

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

Luton

Luton

0

Player to watch: Million Manhoef

The U21 Dutch international has been in good form this season for Stoke with nine goal contributions, including four goals and five assists. Manhoef is certainly the crucial piece of Stoke's offence, which is why the versatile winger is our player to watch against Luton.

Million Manhoef
Manhoef looking for his fifth goal of the season – Photo by Imago

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.