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Stoke - Birmingham
England Championship - bet365 Stadium
Prediction 1
BTTS
41/50 (1.82)
Bet here >
Odds from
Prediction 2
1-1 Draw
5/1 (6.00)
Bet here >
Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change
It's time for our Championship predictions ahead of Stoke vs Birmingham on Saturday. Just three points and three league places separate these two clubs and we're expecting the pair to play out a tight and tense ninety minutes at the bet365 Stadium.
Contents
Stoke vs Birmingham prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Both Teams to Score
- Four of the last seven league meetings between Stoke and Birmingham have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in four of Birmingham's last six outings in all competitions.
Another reason that we have backed BTTS as our main prediction for this game is that three of Stoke's last five fixtures have produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
Latest odds
Head to Head
26/12/23
England Championship CHA
Birmingham
Stoke
1
3
10/04/23
England Championship CHA
Birmingham
Stoke
0
0
05/11/22
England Championship CHA
Stoke
Birmingham
1
2
19/02/22
England Championship CHA
Stoke
Birmingham
2
2
14/08/21
England Championship CHA
Birmingham
Stoke
0
0
Last Five - Stoke
03/05/25
England Championship CHA
Derby
Stoke
0
0
D
25/04/25
England Championship CHA
Sheff Utd
Stoke
2
0
L
21/04/25
England Championship CHA
Leeds
Stoke
6
0
L
18/04/25
England Championship CHA
Sheff Wed
Stoke
0
2
W
12/04/25
England Championship CHA
Cardiff
Stoke
0
1
W
Last Five - Birmingham
03/05/25
England League 1 League 1
Cambridge Utd
Birmingham
1
2
W
30/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Blackpool
Birmingham
0
2
W
27/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Mansfield
Birmingham
0
4
W
24/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Stevenage
Birmingham
0
1
W
21/04/25
England League 1 League 1
Burton Albion
Birmingham
1
2
W
Win probability
- HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
Stoke are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 51.3%, but we are expecting a close and competitive ninety minutes between the pair. For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Dwight Gayle is priced at 2/1 (3.00) to score in this game which has a probability of 33.3%, while Ryan Mmaee, Wesley and Tyrese Campbell are all at 11/5 (3.20) to score with a probability of 31.3%.
Stoke vs Birmingham prediction – Other tips
Correct Score: 1-1
- Birmingham have only lost one of their last seven games against Stoke, four of which have ended in draws.
- Birmingham are unbeaten in their last three matches, two of which have ended in stalemates.
Under 2.5 Goals
- Four of Stoke's last six outings have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Four of the last seven head-to-heads between Stoke and Birmingham have witnessed fewer than three goals.
Stoke vs Birmingham team news
Stoke
Stoke made the trip to Rotherham United last weekend where a solid if not spectacular display from the visitors earned them all three points. The first half looked to be ending goalless until Lewis Baker struck home deep into stoppage time to hand Stoke the lead. Steven Schumacher's side kept things tight in the second half to see their way to victory.
Junior Tchamadeu is at the Africa Cup of Nations, while Frank Fielding, Enda Stevens and Emre Tezgel could miss the game against Birmingham due to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Iversen (GK), Rose, Hoever, McNally, Baker, Thompson, Vidigal, Cundle, Burger, Hakšabanović & Mmaee
Birmingham
Birmingham played host to Swansea last time out and had to come from behind twice to rescue a point. Swansea took the lead in the thirty-sixth minute but Birmingham responded moments later with a equaliser from Siriki Dembele and the teams went in level at the break. The visitors got back in front just before the hour mark and this time the home fans had to wait until stoppage time for a response as Jordan James equalised for Tony Mowbray's side.
Marc Roberts, Ethan Laird, Alfie Chang and George Hall could all miss the trip to Stoke this weekend through injury.
Predicted Lineup: Ruddy (GK), Long, Sanderson, Buchanan, Drameh, Šunjić, Miyoshi, Bielik, Dembélé, Hogan & Stansfield
Stoke
Birmingham
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Jay Stansfield
Jay Stansfield has been in good form for Birmingham this season despite the club's struggles.
The 21-year-old has scored seven times in the Championship this season and is really making a name for himself at this level. The on-loan Fulham forward impressed in League One with Exeter but is showing this season that he can perform at a higher level and heads into Saturday's match on the back of three goals in his last seven appearances in all competitions.
