Stoke vs Birmingham prediction, odds & betting tips 20/01/2024

Stoke
20/01/24 - 15:00

Finished

1

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2

Birmingham

Stoke - Birmingham

England Championship - bet365 Stadium

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

It's time for our Championship predictions ahead of Stoke vs Birmingham on Saturday. Just three points and three league places separate these two clubs and we're expecting the pair to play out a tight and tense ninety minutes at the bet365 Stadium.

Stoke vs Birmingham prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Both Teams to Score

  • Four of the last seven league meetings between Stoke and Birmingham have ended with both teams scoring.
  • Both teams have scored in four of Birmingham's last six outings in all competitions.

Another reason that we have backed BTTS as our main prediction for this game is that three of Stoke's last five fixtures have produced goals at both ends of the pitch.

Latest odds

Head to Head

26/12/23

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Birmingham

Stoke

Stoke

1

3

10/04/23

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Birmingham

Stoke

Stoke

0

0

05/11/22

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Birmingham

Birmingham

1

2

19/02/22

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Birmingham

Birmingham

2

2

14/08/21

England Championship CHA

Birmingham

Birmingham

Stoke

Stoke

0

0

Last Five - Stoke

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Coventry

Coventry

Stoke

Stoke

1

0

L

14/02/24

England Championship CHA

QPR

QPR

Stoke

Stoke

0

1

W

10/02/24

England Championship CHA

Blackburn

Blackburn

Stoke

Stoke

3

1

L

03/02/24

England Championship CHA

Leicester

Leicester

Stoke

Stoke

5

0

L

27/01/24

England Championship CHA

Sunderland

Sunderland

Stoke

Stoke

3

1

L

Last Five - Birmingham

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Sunderland

Sunderland

Birmingham

Birmingham

1

2

W

13/02/24

England Championship CHA

Blackburn

Blackburn

Birmingham

Birmingham

0

1

W

09/02/24

England Championship CHA

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

Birmingham

Birmingham

2

0

L

03/02/24

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Birmingham

Birmingham

1

0

L

27/01/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Leicester

Leicester

Birmingham

Birmingham

3

0

L

Win probability

  • HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%

Stoke are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 51.3%, but we are expecting a close and competitive ninety minutes between the pair. For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Dwight Gayle is priced at 2/1 (3.00) to score in this game which has a probability of 33.3%, while Ryan Mmaee, Wesley and Tyrese Campbell are all at 11/5 (3.20) to score with a probability of 31.3%.

Stoke vs Birmingham prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 1-1

  • Birmingham have only lost one of their last seven games against Stoke, four of which have ended in draws.
  • Birmingham are unbeaten in their last three matches, two of which have ended in stalemates.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Four of Stoke's last six outings have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Four of the last seven head-to-heads between Stoke and Birmingham have witnessed fewer than three goals.

stoke vs birmingham

Stoke vs Birmingham team news

Stoke

Stoke made the trip to Rotherham United last weekend where a solid if not spectacular display from the visitors earned them all three points. The first half looked to be ending goalless until Lewis Baker struck home deep into stoppage time to hand Stoke the lead. Steven Schumacher's side kept things tight in the second half to see their way to victory.

Junior Tchamadeu is at the Africa Cup of Nations, while Frank Fielding, Enda Stevens and Emre Tezgel could miss the game against Birmingham due to injury.

Predicted Lineup: Iversen (GK), Rose, Hoever, McNally, Baker, Thompson, Vidigal, Cundle, Burger, Hakšabanović & Mmaee

Birmingham

Birmingham played host to Swansea last time out and had to come from behind twice to rescue a point. Swansea took the lead in the thirty-sixth minute but Birmingham responded moments later with a equaliser from Siriki Dembele and the teams went in level at the break. The visitors got back in front just before the hour mark and this time the home fans had to wait until stoppage time for a response as Jordan James equalised for Tony Mowbray's side.

Marc Roberts, Ethan Laird, Alfie Chang and George Hall could all miss the trip to Stoke this weekend through injury.

Predicted Lineup: Ruddy (GK), Long, Sanderson, Buchanan, Drameh, Šunjić, Miyoshi, Bielik, Dembélé, Hogan & Stansfield

Stoke

Stoke
4-3-3
15
Jordan Thompson
gb
17
Ki-Jana Hoever
nl
1
Daniel Iversen
dk
5
Michael Rose
gb
25
Luke Cundle
gb
8
Lewis Baker
gb
23
Luke McNally
ie
6
Wouter Burger
nl
19
Ryan Mmaee
ma
22
Bae Joon-ho
kr
7
Andre Vidigal
pt
Substitutes
16
Ben Wilmot
gb
10
Tyrese Campbell
gb
20
Sead Haksabanovic
me
2
Lynden Gooch
us
27
Mehdi Leris
dz
35
Nathan Lowe
gb
13
Jack Bonham
ie
4
Ben Pearson
gb
12
Daniel Johnson
jm

Birmingham

Birmingham
4-3-3
19
Jordan James
gb
12
Cody Drameh
gb
17
Siriki Dembele
gb
28
Jay Stansfield
gb
5
Dion Sanderson
gb
3
Lee Buchanan
gb
11
Koji Miyoshi
jp
21
John Ruddy
gb
7
Juninho Bacuna
cw
6
Krystian Bielik
pl
34
Ivan Sunjic
hr
Substitutes
26
Kevin Long
ie
9
Scott Hogan
ie
1
Neil Etheridge
ph
20
Gary Gardner
gb
16
Andre Dozzell
gb
45
Oliver Burke
gb
8
Tyler Roberts
gb
44
Emanuel Aiwu
at
14
Keshi Anderson
gb

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Jay Stansfield

Jay Stansfield has been in good form for Birmingham this season despite the club's struggles.

The 21-year-old has scored seven times in the Championship this season and is really making a name for himself at this level. The on-loan Fulham forward impressed in League One with Exeter but is showing this season that he can perform at a higher level and heads into Saturday's match on the back of three goals in his last seven appearances in all competitions.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.