Arouca vs Sporting prediction, odds & betting tips – 10/03/2024

Arouca
10/03/24 - 18:00

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Sporting

Arouca - Sporting

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca vs Sporting prediction
This evening the Sporting CP team hosted the FC Arouca team – Photo by Icon sport

It's time for our Portuguese league predictions ahead of Sporting's trip to Arouca on Sunday.

Sporting top the Primeira Liga table heading into the latest round of fixtures in Portugal's top-flight but face a tricky test away at European hopefuls Arouca who have been scoring plenty of goals at home this season.

Arouca vs Sporting predictions: Can Arouca cause an upset?

Arouca vs Sporting Predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot Tip

BTTS

⚽Correct Score prediction

Arouca 1-2 Sporting

⬆️Total Goals prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in five of the last seven meetings between these two clubs, while four of Arouca's and each of Sporting's last five outings have also ended with both teams scoring.
  • Sporting have won five of their last six encounters with Arouca and head into Sunday's game on the back of three wins from their last six matches in all competitions.
  • Five of Arouca's last six league games have featured at least three goals, while three of Sporting's last four games have produced over 2.5 goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sporting the clear favourite

  • HOME: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
  • DRAW:4/1 (5.00) – 20%
  • AWAY: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Sporting are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 71.4%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this one.

Arouca have been in good form of late, picking up five wins and one defeat from their last six matches, while Sporting have won three and drawn three of their last six in all competitions.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Viktor Gyokeres is the obvious choice to score in this game at 21/20 (2.05) which has a probability of 48.8%, but you could back Fernandes Paulinho to score at 6/5 (2.20) with a probability of 45.5%.

Last five H2Hs: Dominated by one team

Portugal Primeira Liga 08/10/23

Sporting

Sporting

2
Arouca

Arouca

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 16/04/23

Sporting

Sporting

1
Arouca

Arouca

1

Portugal League Cup 24/01/23

Arouca

Arouca

1
Sporting

Sporting

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/10/22

Arouca

Arouca

1
Sporting

Sporting

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/03/22

Sporting

Sporting

2
Arouca

Arouca

0

Sporting have secured 14 wins from their last 16 games against Arouca in all competitions, including a 2-1 win in the pair's reverse league fixture back in October.

Team news and form guide

Arouca: In fine form right now

Matias Rocha isn't available for selection this weekend due to a leg injury and isn't expected back ina action until later this month at the earliest.

Predicted lineup: de Arruabarrena (GK), Esgaio, Montero, Bambu, Weverson, Simão, Jason, Sylla, Santos, González & Mújica

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/05/24

L

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

3

Arouca

Arouca

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/05/24

L

Benfica

Benfica

5

Arouca

Arouca

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/24

D

Estrela

Estrela

0

Arouca

Arouca

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/24

D

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

2

Arouca

Arouca

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/24

D

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1

Arouca

Arouca

1

Sporting: Leading by example

Sporting are expected to be without defender Gonçalo Inácio and goalkeeper Antonio Adan for teh trip to Arouca as both have injuries.

Predicted lineup: Israel (GK), Ricardo, Reis, Juste, Diomande, Santos, Hjulmand, Bragança, Pote, Edwards & Gyökeres

Portugal Cup 26/05/24

L

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Sporting

Sporting

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/05/24

W

Chaves

Chaves

0

Sporting

Sporting

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/24

W

Estoril

Estoril

0

Sporting

Sporting

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/24

W

Portimonense

Portimonense

0

Sporting

Sporting

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 28/04/24

D

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Sporting

Sporting

2

Player to watch – Pote

Sporting's 25-year-old midfielder has impressed this season, playing a key role in their title challenge.

Pote player to watch
Sporting's Pote controlling the ball  – Photo by Icon Sport

Pote has netted nine league goals and ten assists so far this season and is on course to get close to his 15 goals of the last campaign. While his teammate Viktor Gyokeres gets most of the plaudits, Pote has been so consistent throughout the campaign.

Adding assists and goals from midfield

We're backing Pote to put in another impressive performance on Sunday against an Arouca side that are in very good form right now and have been scoring plenty of goals of late.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things