Spain vs Argentina: Mikel Oyarzabal odds offer immense value for World Cup final

Spain have grown in strength since their opening goalless draw against minnows Cape Verde at the 2026 World Cup. La Roja asserted their authority by steamrolling France in the semi-final, cementing their status as favourites for a second star.

Luis de la Fuente’s side have conceded just once all tournament – a 1-1 draw with Uruguay in the group stages – becoming the first team ever to keep six clean sheets in a single edition.

On the other hand, Argentina have mastered the art of late comebacks. La Albiceleste needed another to beat England, coming from a goal down to win 2-1. They have now scored 12 of their 19 goals after the 75th minute (including extra-time).

Argentina will appear in their seventh World Cup final, overtaking the likes of record five-time winners Brazil and four-time champions Italy in appearances.

Spain are priced at 6/5 (2.20) with Betway, making them favourites. Meanwhile, Lionel Messi’s Argentina are underdogs at 5/2 (3.50), but a draw in normal time at 2/1 (3.00) carries value as well.

The two sides have met 14 times, with six wins apiece. Argentina won their only previous World Cup meeting, a 2-1 win in 1966. Spain had the most recent laugh, thumping the South Americans 6-1 in 2018, before a 1-1 draw at the Tokyo Olympics three years later.

Spain vs Argentina: Oyarzabal’s record makes him impossible to ignore

While Lamine Yamal grabbed pre-tournament headlines, Mikel Oyarzabal has been Spain’s standout performer with his clinical finishing and impressive work rate.

The Real Sociedad icon opened the scoring against France with a composed penalty in the 2-0 semi-final victory. In doing so, he broke the single-season national record for Spain, scoring 14 goals in 15 games and surpassing David Villa’s longstanding mark set in 2008/09.

To put Oyarzabal’s numbers into perspective: Kylian Mbappe has also scored 14 goals in 15 matches over the same period. However, at the 2026 World Cup, Oyarzabal sits three behind Mbappe and Lionel Messi, who lead the tournament with eight apiece.

Four of Oyarzabal’s five goals have arrived late in the first period, underlining his importance to Spain’s possession-based game. He is also known for his clutch strikes, like the one that won Spain Euro 2024.

Despite having only one assist at the tournament, backing Oyarzabal to score or assist anytime at 1/1 (2.00) carries immense value. Even better, a deal stands at 7/5 (2.40) for him to score anytime. The standout bet, however, is first goalscorer at 9/2 (4.50).

The 29‑year‑old is the first ever Real Sociedad player to feature in a World Cup final. His five goals at this edition match the tallies of Emilio Butragueno in 1986 and David Villa in 2010.

Spain vs Argentina: Historic matchup in New Jersey

Spain and Argentina are set for a thrilling finale, meeting for the first time in nearly a decade. It is the first World Cup final between a European champion and a South American champion.

The Finalissima, originally planned to take place earlier in the year in Qatar as the showdown between the respective continents’ best teams, was scrapped due to the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Now, it has become football’s greatest showdown.

According to stats, Spain are favourites to lift the trophy at 8/13 (1.61), over Argentina at 13/10 (2.30). Both teams have been unforgiving throughout the tournament – backing BTTS Yes at 10/11 (1.90) is worth a shot.

At the same time, Over 2.5 total goals in normal time at 23/20 (2.15) offers fantastic value as well.