Southampton vs Stoke prediction, odds & betting tips 23/08/2025
Southampton are favourites to win with bookmakers - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

Last time these teams met, we saw five goals.

Southampton and Stoke are scheduled to meet in the next round of the Championship on Saturday, 23 August.

With both teams in great form at the start of the new season, who will get the victory in this game? Find that out from our Southampton vs Stoke prediction and preview, but don't forget to also check our other Championship predictions.

Southampton vs Stoke prediction: A close contest with plenty of goals

Key Stats

  • Southampton enter this game with two wins and one draw in the season so far.
  • The hosts have gone over 2.5 total goals in three of their last five games, including pre-season friendlies.
  • Stoke have gone over 2.5 total goals in two of their last three matches.

Correct score prediction: Southampton 2-1 Stoke

With both Southampton and Stoke undefeated in the three games they each played in the Championship and the EFL Cup, we expect to see an exciting duel on Saturday.

That being said, the Saints are arguably the better team and since they're also hosting the match, we can see them edging out Stoke in this game.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Southampton the more likely winners

  • HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.10%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.00%
  • AWAY: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.20%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Based on the Southampton vs Stoke odds, we can conclude that the hosts are the expected winners, even though both teams have started the season strongly.

In any case, if you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.

Most recent H2Hs: A tied matchup in recent years

We saw each team win twice in the last five meetings between Southampton and Stoke, along with one draw. Things are pretty similar when it comes to their overall H2H record, although Southampton do have a small advantage there:  32-15-30.

England EFL Cup 29/10/24

Southampton

Southampton

3
Stoke

Stoke

2

England Championship 27/04/24

Southampton

Southampton

0
Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 03/10/23

Stoke

Stoke

0
Southampton

Southampton

1

England Premier League 03/03/18

Southampton

Southampton

0
Stoke

Stoke

0

England Premier League 30/09/17

Stoke

Stoke

2
Southampton

Southampton

1

Southampton preview: Looking for important three points

While Southampton were the worst team in the Premier League last season, they were certainly among the main favourites to get right back into the top flight this season and to their credit, they've started the new Championship seaosn well, wiht a win and a draw. On top of that, they also notched a win over Northampton in the EFL Cup.

Meanwhile, William Smallbone and James Bree are currently out with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Bazunu (GK), Harwood-Bellis, Stephens, Quarshie, Fraser, Downes, Charles, Welington, Fernandes, Robinson & Armstrong

England Premier League 10/05/25

D

Man City

Man City

0

Southampton

Southampton

0

England Premier League 03/05/25

L

Leicester

Leicester

2

Southampton

Southampton

0

England Premier League 26/04/25

L

Fulham

Fulham

2

Southampton

Southampton

1

England Premier League 19/04/25

D

West Ham

West Ham

1

Southampton

Southampton

1

England Premier League 12/04/25

L

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

Southampton

Southampton

0

Stoke preview: Hoping to extend their winning streak

After the first two rounds of the new Championship season, Stoke sit at the very top of the table with a couple of wins over Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday and a +5 goal difference. On top of that, they also secured their spot in the next round of the EFL cup after eliminating Walsall, albeit only after penalties.

When it comes to team news, Lamine Cisse and Sam Gallagher will miss this match with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Tchamadeu, Lawal, Wilmot, Cresswell, Baker, Seko, Manhoef, Jun-ho, Thomas & Mubama

England Championship 03/05/25

D

Derby

Derby

0

Stoke

Stoke

0

England Championship 25/04/25

L

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

2

Stoke

Stoke

0

England Championship 21/04/25

L

Leeds

Leeds

6

Stoke

Stoke

0

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

0

Stoke

Stoke

2

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Stoke

Stoke

1

Player to watch: Jay Robinson

After just turning 18 this year, Robinson still has a way to go before he can become a reliable contributor, but he will get his share of opportunities this season with the Saints.

Jay Robinson
Can Robinson get his second goal of the season against Stoke? – Photo by Imago

To his credit, Robinson already scored one goal in the first two Championship appearances this season, so Southampton will hope he can keep that up.


Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.