Southampton look to end a four-game winless run as they welcome Millwall to St Mary’s Stadium for the New Year’s Day round of Championship fixtures.
The Saints sit 13th in the table after collecting 32 points from their opening 24 matches, while the Lions occupy fifth place with 39 points.
Our Southampton vs Millwall prediction offers a clear outlook on the contest, with further Championship betting tips also available.
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Southampton vs Millwall prediction: Tight game on the cards
Key stats:
- Southampton are unbeaten in their last five home games (W4, D1), with four of those seeing under 4.5 goals.
- Millwall have won just two of their last 10 away matches (D4, L4).
- Southampton are winless in their last four games.
- The Saints drew 1-1 with Coventry in their most recent home outing.
Correct score prediction: Southampton 1–1 Millwall
Neither side carries strong momentum into this clash, with Southampton having struggled to convert performances into wins, while Millwall only just ended a four-game winless run with a 2-1 home victory over Bristol City.
Despite that result, the Lions’s away record suggests they may fall short of taking maximum points, and this looks like a contest where both sides could cancel each other out.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Hosts priced too short?
- Home: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- Draw: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- Away: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes and subject to change.
For a side on a four-game winless run, Southampton’s implied 57.1% chance of victory appears on the high side, especially when compared to Millwall’s 23.8%.
Our hot time – both teams to score – offers great value at 3/4 (1.75).
Most recent H2H: Lions have the edge
Millwall have enjoyed recent success in this fixture, with their 2-1 victory at St Mary’s last February completing back-to-back wins over Southampton.
Across the last eight meetings, however, it has been relatively even: Millwall have won three, Southampton two, with the remaining three ending level.
England Championship 29/11/25
Millwall
Southampton
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Millwall
Southampton
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Southampton
Millwall
England Championship 04/11/23
Millwall
Southampton
Southampton preview: Key figures remain sidelined
Southampton will again be without several key players, including Shea Charles, Ross Stewart and Samuel Edozie.
Head coach Tonda Eckert is expected to stick largely with the side from the weekend, with Finn Azaz operating behind Adam Armstrong, although the more experienced Leonardo Weschenfelder-Scienza could replace Jay Robinson.
Predicted XI: Bazunu (GK), Harwood-Bellis, Wood, Stephens, Fellows, Jander, Downes, Manning, Azaz, Scienza & Armstrong
Southampton’s last five results:
- Birmingham 1–1 Southampton (D)
- Oxford Utd 2–1 Southampton (L)
- Southampton 1–1 Coventry (D)
- Norwich 2–1 Southampton (L)
- Southampton 3–2 West Brom
Millwall preview: Injury list a concern
Millwall are dealing with a lengthy injury list, with Lukas Jensen, Luke Cundle, Casper De Norre, Derek Mazou-Sacko, William Smallbone and Josh Coburn all ruled out.
Predicted XI: Crocombe (GK), Crama, Taylor, Cooper, Doughty, Sturge, Mitchell, Emakhu, Bangura-Williams, Langstaff & Ivanovic
Millwall's last five results:
- Millwall 2–1 Bristol City (W)
- Millwall 0–0 Ipswich (D)
- Blackburn 2–0 Millwall (L)
- Millwall 1–3 Hull (L)
- Derby 1–1 Millwall (D)
Player to watch: Adam Armstrong
Adam Armstrong has been directly involved in six goals across his last five home appearances and will be looking to extend that return at St Mary’s on New Year’s Day.