Sevilla vs Granada prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/05/2024

Sevilla
05/05/24 - 20:00

Finished

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Granada

Sevilla - Granada

Spain Primera Liga - Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

sevilla vs granada prediction
Granada celebrate their goal in Bilbao last month – Photo by Icon Sport

Sevilla and Granada meet in an Andalusian derby in La Liga this Sunday. Our Sevilla vs Granada prediction looks at whether the improving visitors can spring a surprise.

Sevilla vs Granada prediction: Hosts to win by one with En-Nesyri on target again

Sevilla vs Granada predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Sevilla to win

⚽ Correct score prediction

Sevilla 2-1 Granada

⚽ Anytime goalscorer prediction

Youssef En-Nesyri

Key Stats

  • Our Sevilla vs Granada betting tips take into account the home team’s impressive form with 10 points from their last four league games.
  • It’s just one defeat in seven for Sevilla overall in La Liga with their improvement under Quique Sanchez Flores continuing.
  • Granada have the worst away record in the division, averaging just 0.19 points per road game while they’ve let in 2.19 goals per game on their travels.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla the clear favourites

  • HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
  • AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Sevilla vs Granada odds with an implied probability of 61.9% that they win this derby clash in Andalusia.

Sevilla were involved in an even bigger derby last time out, drawing 1-1 away to bitter rivals Real Betis with Kike Salas cancelling out Isco’s penalty.

Granada meanwhile put in perhaps their best performance of the season on the last matchday, beating Osasuna 3-0 with Lucas Boye rounding things off late on after goals from Facundo Pellistri and Myrto Uzuni.

For more analysis and the latest football picks, today’s free betting tips will guide you around the best bets from this weekend’s action.

Last five H2Hs: A fixture that produces a winner

Spain Primera Liga 19/12/23

Granada

Granada

0
Sevilla

Sevilla

3

Spain Primera Liga 08/04/22

Sevilla

Sevilla

4
Granada

Granada

2

Spain Primera Liga 03/10/21

Granada

Granada

1
Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Spain Primera Liga 25/04/21

Sevilla

Sevilla

2
Granada

Granada

1

Spain Primera Liga 17/10/20

Granada

Granada

1
Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Our Sevilla vs Granada prediction is backed up by recent history with all of the last four meetings at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan going the way of the home team. None of the last 10 league clashes have been drawn.

Sevilla Preview: Romero blow for Sanchez Flores

Young forward Isaac Romero has been ruled out for the remainder of the season in a blow for Sevilla. Suso is also suspended so there’ll be at least two changes from the Betis game.

Predicted Lineup: Nyland (GK), Salas, Ramos, Bade, Ocampos, Soumare, Agoume, Navas, Lamela, Lukebakio, En-Nesyri

World Club Friendlies 15/07/24

L

Orlando Pirates

Orlando Pirates

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

L

Cadiz

Cadiz

1

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

L

Villarreal

Villarreal

3

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Granada Preview: Relegation still the likely outcome

After a brilliant win over Osasuna and some much improved performances under Jose Ramon Sandoval, Granada are likely to stick with the same team this weekend, but they remain very much on course for relegation.

Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Neva, Miquel, Rubio, Mendez, Jozwiak, Sergio Ruiz, Gumbau, Pellistri, Uzuni, Boye

Europe Friendlies 20/07/24

L

Almeria

Almeria

2

Granada

Granada

1

World Club Friendlies 17/07/24

D

Orlando Pirates

Orlando Pirates

1

Granada

Granada

1

Spain Primera Liga 24/05/24

L

Girona

Girona

7

Granada

Granada

0

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Granada

Granada

1

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

L

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

2

Granada

Granada

1

Player to watch – Youssef En-Nesyri

Moroccan international Youssef En-Nesyri is likely to be a summer transfer target for a number of Premier League clubs. Sevilla aren’t in a great financial position and may look to cash in on the forward who has netted 12 goals in 28 appearances in La Liga 2023/24.

sevilla vs granada predictions
Youssef En-Nesyri is Sevilla's top scorer – Photo by Icon Sport

En-Nesyri firing in the First Half

The majority of Youssef En-Nesyri’s league goals have come before the break and that was also the case last season. 25% of his strikes have been in the first 15 minutes with the 26 year old firing early against Almeria and twice against Real Sociedad.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.