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Sevilla will host Atletico Madrid in Round 31 of La Liga, hoping to secure an important win over the preoccupied rival.
The hosts are in the middle of a nerve-racking battle for survival, while Atletico Madrid come into this game without the imperative to win, considering they've pretty much secured a Top 4 finish in the league, i.e. a spot in the Champions League for next season.
In fact, Atletico's thoughts will likely be on the second leg of the UCL quarter-final tie against Barcelona, which will be played just a few days after this match.
All in all, this game has potential to be very exciting and unpredictable, so check our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction and preview right here, along with our other La Liga predictions and our favourite betting tips for today.
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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid key stats
- Both teams have scored in seven of the last 10 games played by Sevilla.
- We saw both teams score in two of the last three H2H meetings between these teams.
- Sevilla have averaged 2.90 total goals per game in the league this season, while Atletico are averaging 2.67 total goals per game.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid preview: Hosts in desperate need of points
| Sevilla | vs | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Position | 4th |
| 31 | Points | 57 |
| 37 | Goals For | 50 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 19th | Home Rank | 2nd |
| 10th | Away Rank | 7th |
It seems that season after season Sevilla fall further down the pecking order in Spanish football and this season could easily end up being the worst one yet, with relegation looming over the club that once stood neck and neck with Barcelona and Real Madrid.
With eight games to go in the 2025-26 La Liga season, Sevilla are 17th in the standings, just a couple of points ahead of Elche, the first team in the relegation zone. More importantly, they have lost three games in a row and are winless in their last five league matches, putting serious doubt in the hearts of their fans when it comes to their ability to avoid relegation.
Sevilla's hopes ahead of their upcoming game with Atletico Madrid lie more in the fact that Los Colchoneros are likely to field a reserve team, with the focus on the Champions League, than in their own form.
Sevilla have the second-worst record at home in La Liga with just 16 points from 15 games this season.
Tanguy Nianzou and Jose Angel Carmona will miss this match to serve their respective bans, while Marcao and Cesar Azpilicueta are on Sevilla's injury list.
On the other hand, Atletico Madrid come into this match in a great mood after securing a 2-0 win in Barcelona in the first leg of their Champions League tie and with the rematch scheduled for next week, it's hard to see Atletico playing their best team in this match.
After all, Atletico are currently fourth in La Liga and while they are in the race for third place with Villarreal, they can't catch up with Barcelona at the top. They are also 12 points ahead of the next team in the table, Real Betis, so they can feel confident about their chances of playing in the Champions League next season as well.
Sevilla have the worst defensive record in the league with 50 goals conceded, or 1.67 goals conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid have lost three games in a row before beating Barcelona, one of which was an inconsequential loss against Tottenham in the last round of the Champions League knockouts, while the other two came in the league at the hands of Real Madrid and Barcelona.
The guests travel to Seville without suspended Koke and Nico Gonzalez, while Jose Gimenez, Pablo Barrios, Johnny Cardoso, and David Hancko are all doubtful with injuries.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid form guide & betting tips
| Sevilla | vs | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| D-D-L-L-L | League Form | W-W-W-L-L |
| 2 | Points | 9 |
| 20th | Form Table | 6th |
| 5 | Goals For | 8 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 7 |
| L-L-L | Form (all comps) | L-L-W |
Whispers predicts: Sevilla 2-2 Atletico Madrid
Despite the fact that we expect Atletico to rest some of their first-team regulars for the upcoming Barcelona game in the Champions League, Sevilla have been so poor this season that we wouldn't be surprised if they fail to take advantage of that. With that in mind, backing a draw at 19/10 sounds like a smart move.
While we might be used to a low-scoring Atletico Madrid under Diego Simeone's reign, this season things have been much different and that's why we expect to see goals in this match. Over 2.5 total goals comes at 23/20 odds, while both teams to score is priced at 20/23. We would even suggest being brave and combining the two at 6/4 odds.
Also, if Simeone decides to rest the regular starters, this could open up an opportunity for experienced Antoine Griezmann to start, so you might want to think about backing Griezmann to score at 18/5 odds.
> Draw at 19/10 | Likelihood: Possible
> Over 2.5 total goals at 23/20 | Likelihood: Probable
> Both teams to score at 20/23 | Likelihood: Probable
> Over 2.5 total goals & BTTS - Yes at 6/4 | Likelihood: Possible
> Antoine Griezmann to score anytime at 18/5 | Likelihood: Outsider
> Correct score 2-2 at 14/1 | Likelihood: Outsider