San Marino and Gibraltar will meet in the upcoming round of the UEFA Nations League D on Friday, 15 November.
Can San Marino record their second win ever shortly after their first or will Gibraltar prevent that from happening? Find out from our San Marino vs Gibraltar prediction and preview below.
Contents
San Marino vs Gibraltar prediction: A low-scoring win for the guests
Key Stats
- Gibraltar have gone under 2.5 total goals in seven of their last eight games.
- San Marino have gone under 2.5 total goals in their last four matches.
- Gibraltar are undefeated in their last five games.
- San Marino are the lowest-ranked team in the world (FIFA rankings).
Correct score prediction: San Marino 0-1 Gibraltar
While San Marino have notched their first-ever win in official matches against Liechtenstein in September, they are still the worst team in the world according to FIFA rankings. Gibraltar are hardly much better, but they are just about better to notch a win in this game.
Pre-game odds and win probability: No clear favourites here
- HOME: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.30%
- DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.50%
- AWAY: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.70%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can see from these San Marino vs Gibraltar odds that the bookies see the guests as the expected winners, but only by a small margin.
This is understandable since these two teams are very similar in quality, but Gibraltar have done better recently and in their previous H2H meetings. On the other hand, San Marino are hosting the game, so it should be a close contest.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, check our other football betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Not many goals and no wins for San Marino
These two teams have met three times before and twice we saw Gibraltar win 1-0, including their last duel in October, while their third game has ended in a scoreless draw.
UEFA Nations League D 13/10/24
San Marino
Gibraltar
UEFA Nations League D 10/10/24
Gibraltar
San Marino
UEFA Nations League 14/11/20
San Marino
Gibraltar
UEFA Nations League 05/09/20
Gibraltar
San Marino
San Marino preview: Hoping for another historic win
Having beaten Liechtenstein to enter history books with their first-ever win in official matches, San Marino will be hoping to repeat this against Gibraltar and take over the top spot in the group from them since Gibraltar are two points ahead at the moment. Even a draw keeps San Marino in the chase and if that happens, a win over Liechtenstein in the last round would mean a move to League C.
Predicted lineup: Colombo (GK), Benvenuti, Cevoli, Valentini, Tosi, Golinucci, Capicchioni, Casadei, Contadini, Nanni & Sensoli
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25
L
Romania
5
San Marino
1
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
L
Cyprus
2
San Marino
0
UEFA Nations League D 18/11/24
W
Liechtenstein
1
San Marino
3
UEFA Nations League D 15/11/24
D
Gibraltar
1
San Marino
1
International Match 13/10/24
L
Andorra
2
San Marino
0
Gibraltar preview: Hoping to secure promotion with a win
With five points from three games in League D of the UEFA Nations League, Gibraltar are close to securing promotion to League C. All they need to do is beat San Marino once again and they'll be going to the higher rank.
A draw could end up being enough as well, depending on the outcome of the game between San Marino and Liechtenstein in the next round, but at the very least, that would secure Gibraltar a spot in the promotion playoffs.
Predicted lineup: Banda (GK), Jolley, Lopes, Annesley, Mascarenhas-Olivero, Scanlon, Torrilla, Pozo, Britto, Walker & De Barr
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25
L
Czechia
4
Gibraltar
0
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25
L
Montenegro
3
Gibraltar
1
International Match 19/11/24
D
Moldova
1
Gibraltar
1
UEFA Nations League D 15/11/24
D
San Marino
1
Gibraltar
1
UEFA Nations League D 13/10/24
D
Liechtenstein
0
Gibraltar
0
Player to watch: Liam Walker
The 36-year-old is Gibraltar's captain and the team's top scorer, although with just six goals in 83 appearances. Still, Walker is clearly a threat and he's usually on penalty duty too, so San Marino will have to keep a close eye on the midfielder.
