Rouen vs Valenciennes prediction, odds and betting tips 28/02/2024

Rouen
28/02/24 - 20:00

Finished

1 (2)

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1 (4)

Valenciennes

Rouen - Valenciennes

France Cup - Stade Robert Diochon

3rd Round

Rouen vs Valenciennes prediction
Will Valenciennes end Rouen's fairytale? – Photo by Herve Bellenger/Icon Sport

Two lower-league teams will fight for a place in Coupe de France semi-finals when Rouen and Valenciennes meet on Wednesday, 28 February.

Can Rouen provide another upset or will Valenciennes end their cup run? Find out from our Rouen vs Valenciennes prediction and preview right here.

Rouen vs Valenciennes prediction: Can Rouen surprise us again?

Rouen vs Valenciennes predictions
Our pick

⚽ BTTS prediction

Yes

⚽ Winner prediction

Draw

⚽ Correct score prediction

1-1

Given that Rouen eliminated Ligue 1 teams like Toulouse and Monaco previously, Valenciennes, who are last in Ligue 2 standings, won't present such a difficult task. Still, Rouen is a team from the third tier of French football and they have just one win in their last five games in the league.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies expect another thriller directed by Rouen

  • HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.00%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%
  • AWAY: 37/20 (2.85) – 35.10%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

We can see that the bookies expect a very close duel, with Rouen being a slight favourites due to the fact that they're hosting the game and that Valenciennes is having a rough season in Ligue 2.

Last five H2Hs: First meeting since 2005

These two teams haven't met each other since 2005 and three of their last five duels have ended without a winner. Furthermore, the overall H2H record is pretty much even, with Valenciennes winning nine games, Rouen eight, along with nine draws.

Team news and form guide

Rouen: Can Rouen keep the miracle run going?

In their entire history, Rouen have never won Coupe de France, though they did reach the final in 1925. It's not realistic to expect it this time either as a team from the third tier of French football, but they at least have a very good chance to reach the semi-finals, after getting to the quarter-finals the first time in 25 years.  Ruffice Amede Kabongo and Adon Gomis are on Rouen's injury list ahead of this match.

Predicted LineupAggoune – Bouzamoucha, Sanson, Bassin – Ouadah, A. Allee, Benzia, Mion – Loppy, Z. Allee, Benkaid

France National 12/04/24

D

Villefranche

Villefranche

1

Rouen

Rouen

1

France National 06/04/24

D

Chateauroux

Chateauroux

1

Rouen

Rouen

1

France National 30/03/24

W

Avranches

Avranches

1

Rouen

Rouen

2

France National 22/03/24

L

Le Mans

Le Mans

1

Rouen

Rouen

0

France National 17/03/24

W

Epinal

Epinal

0

Rouen

Rouen

1

Valenciennes: Another cup win in an otherwise dreadful season?

While Valenciennes enter their clash with Rouen as the team in higher league, the two teams will likely be meeting each other in Ligue National next season since Valenciennes are currently last in Ligue 1, 15 points behind the first team outside of the relegation zone. On the bright side, after failing to meet any Ligue 1 teams in their cup run, they have a good chance to reach the semi-finals.

Predicted LineupLouchet – Vialaneix, Moore, Cuffaut, Basse – Knockaert, Banse, Foe Ondoa, Hamache – Doucoure, Boutoutaou

France Ligue 1 13/04/24

W

Reims

Reims

1

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

3

France Ligue 1 07/04/24

D

Toulouse

Toulouse

0

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

0

France Ligue 1 31/03/24

W

Rennes

Rennes

0

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

2

France Ligue 1 16/03/24

W

Nantes

Nantes

1

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

3

France Ligue 1 10/03/24

L

Monaco

Monaco

1

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

0

Our free expert picks: Another exciting draw for Rouen in Coupe de France

On top of our favourite free betting tips for this game, there are more Rouen vs Valenciennes betting tips and markets to consider.

That includes under 2.5 total goals at 8/15 (1.53) odds, which is the same as a 65.20% probability. Another interesting market is a half time draw at 19/20 (1.95) odds and 51.30% probability.

Hot tip – Both teams to score – yes

  • Both teams have scored in six of the last eight Valenciennes' matches in all competitions.
  • We saw both teams score in three of the five games played by Rouen in Coupe de France this season.

Other tips

Draw

  • Three of the last five H2H meetings between these teams have ended without a winner.
  • Valenciennes have only won once in 13 away games in Ligue 2 this season.

Correct score: 1-1

  • The last time these two teams drew in a H2H duel, the final score was 1-1.
  • 1-1 was the final score in Rouen's duel with Monaco in the previous round of Coupe de France.

Player to watch: Aymen Boutoutaou

While Aymen Boutoutaou scored just four goals in Ligue 2 this season, that's enough to make him Valencienne's top scorer in the league. Also, the French forward is without a goal in the cup so far, so he'll be hoping to change that fact in this match.

Aymen Boutoutaou
Will Boutoutaou score his first goal in Coupe de France? – Photo by Dave Winter/FEP/Icon Sport

Boutoutaou to score in the second half?

Of the 15 goals he scored so far in his career, Boutoutaou has scored nine in the second halves of matches.


Avatar of Vladimir Kovacevic
Vladimir Kovacevic

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.