Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction, preview & betting tips – 21/04/2026
Can Alaves upset Real Madrid as they look for important points? - Photo by IMAGO / Marca
🔥 Our Hot tip

Alaves over 0.5 total goals

Alaves have scored at least once in seven of their last nine matches in La Liga.

La Liga's mid-week programme will see Real Madrid host Alaves on Tuesday, 21 April.

The hosts still have a theoretical chance of winning the title, while the guests are fighting for survival and will be hoping to cause a huge upset.

Read our Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction and preview to learn more about this game, but remember to also take a look at our other La Liga predictions and our favourite betting tips for today.

Real Madrid vs Alaves key stats

  • Real Madrid have failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last nine games across the board.
  • Four of the last eight meetings between these teams have gone over 3.5 total goals.
  • Kylian Mbappe has 23 goals in 26 games in La Liga this season, including a goal against Alaves in their reverse fixture.

Real Madrid vs Alaves preview: Easy job for the hosts?

Real Madrid vs Alaves Tale of the Tape
Real Madrid vs Alaves
2ndPosition17th
70Points33
65Goals For35
29Goals Against46
11Clean Sheets3
2ndHome Rank15th
2ndAway Rank13th

After being eliminated from the Champions League by Bayern Munich, a wound that is still fresh and may impact how Real Madrid perform in this game too, the most decorated Spanish team might just end this season without any trophies.

Their last chance to lift a trophy is La Liga, where they are nine points behind their biggest rivals, Barcelona, with seven games left until the end of the season. So, Real Madrid pretty much have to be perfect in the remaining games and hope for a huge meltdown by Barcelona at the same time.

With their involvement in the Champions League, Real Madrid's La Liga form suffered and they enter this match after winning just one point in their last two games against Girona and Mallorca, two mediocre teams this season.

Real Madrid will miss Raul Asencio due to an illness, along with previously injured Rodrygo and Thibaut Courtois.

On the other side, Deportivo Alaves are fighting against relegation as they are currently just one point above the relegation zone. They are also just two points behind Rayo Vallecano in 13th place in the standings, so we are in for an exciting relegation battle, with many teams still in danger of going down.

Alaves have played some exciting football of late, ever since Quique Sanchez Flores took over the managerial job at the club. His first game in charge was a loss to Valencia away after his team conceded twice in the stoppage time, including a very late penalty.

However, Alaves are undefeated since then, four games in a row, although they have only managed to win once in a spectacular turnaround victory against Celta in Vigo. Still, it's clear that Sanchez Flores has Alaves buzzing and they have every right to hope for a positive outcome against Real Madrid, no matter how unlikely it seems on the surface.

Abde Rebbach and Facundo Cerces will miss this match to serve their respective bans, while Carlos Protesoni is injured.

Real Madrid vs Alaves form guide & betting tips

Last 5 Form Guide - La Liga
Real Madrid vs Alaves
W-W-W-L-D League Form L-D-W-D-D
10Points6
3rdForm Table11th
11Goals For12
7Goals Against12
L-D-LForm (all comps)W-D-D

Whispers predicts: Real Madrid 2-2 Alaves

Given Real Madrid's recent form and elimination from the Champions League, we can see them dropping points against the resurging Alaves. Of course, that would be a huge surprise, but backing Alaves on a double chance at 49/20 odds seems tempting.

The safer bet is certainly to back plenty of goals in this game. After all, these two teams have combined for 23 goals between them in their last five games in the league. Over 3.5 total goals is priced at 5/4, which are solid odds.

Furthermore, even if you can't see Alaves avoiding a loss, betting on them to score at least once at 3/4 odds sounds reasonable. On the other hand, Alaves also concede a lot of goals and that's why backing Kylian Mbappe to score at any time at 13/20 odds seems like a smart bet.

📈 Whispers' Tips

> Alaves over 0.5 total goals at 3/4 | Likelihood: Probable

> Kylan Mbappe to score at any time at 13/20 | Likelihood: Probable

> Over 3.5 total goals at 5/4 | Likelihood: Possible

> Double chance: Alaves or draw at 49/20 | Likelihood: Outsider

> Correct score 2-2 at 6/1 | Likelihood: Outsider

la liga prediction

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.