Premier League Xg Power Rankings: A matter of time for Hojlund?

As we enter the busy Christmas schedule, we have taken a look at the Premier League Xg Power Rankings for the season so far, and analysed who is over and underperforming their expected goals (Xg) numbers.

Haaland leads the way in terms of Xg – Photo by Icon sport

Premier League Xg Power Rankings – Top 10 performers

Among the top 10 Xg performers is Manchester City's Erling Haaland, who has the highest Xg number of anyone in the league, but is interestingly underperforming it by two goals. Chelsea's Nicolas Jackson and Liverpool's Darwin Nunez are two other players on the list that are significantly underperforming their Xg, while West Ham's Jarrod Bowen is the most impressive on the list as he is overperforming his Xg by three goals.

Here is the full top 10:

1. Erling Haaland – 16.73 Xg (14 goals)

2. Mohamed Salah – 10.77 Xg (11 goals)

3. Nicolas Jackson – 10.60 Xg (7 goals)

4. Ollie Watkins – 10.05 Xg (9 goals)

5. Dominic Solanke – 9.72 Xg (8 goals)

6. Darwin Nunez – 9.10 Xg (4 goals)

7. Callum Wilson – 7.89 Xg (7 goals)

8. Alexander Isak – 7.86 Xg (7 goals)

9. Bryan Mbeumo – 7.57 Xg (7 goals)

10. Jarrod Bowen – 7.22 Xg (10 goals)

Will Newcastle sign Jarrod Bowen?
Bowen is significantly overperforming his Xg – Photo by Icon sport

Premier League Xg Power Rankings – Selected underperformers

Jackson has not been clinical enough – Photo by Icon sport

Nicolas Jackson – 10.60 Xg (7 goals)

Jackson is underperforming his Xg by three goals, and so really needs to improve his finishing in order to help Chelsea climb higher up the table. The Blues have Wolves (A), Crystal Palace (H) and Luton (A) as their next three league fixtures coming up, all in the bottom half of the table, so Jackson should expect plenty of chances that he can tuck away.

Nunez is underperforming his Xg the most – Photo by Icon sport

Darwin Nunez – 9.10 Xg (4 goals)

Nunez is the main culprit when it comes down to underperforming his Xg, as he has been expected to score five more goals in the league than he has. Liverpool's next three fixtures are Arsenal (H), Burnley (A) and Newcastle (H) on New Year's Day, so Nunez will do well to get his numbers up.

Rashford is not showing the form of last season – Photo by Icon sport

Marcus Rashford – 5.07 Xg (2 goals)

Rashford is underperforming his Xg by three goals, suggesting that he can do a lot better in front of goal. It is a sheer contrast to the goalscoring form he showed last season, and with Manchester United facing West Ham (A), Aston Villa (H) and Nottingham Forest (A) next, he may not get many chances to boost his numbers.

Maupay is underperforming his Xg by nearly three goals. Mark D Fuller/Focus Images/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon sport

Neal Maupay – 4.96 Xg (2 goals)

Maupay is underperforming his Xg by nearly three goals, suggesting that he needs to be more clinical in front of goal. When Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa go to the Africa Cup of Nations in January, the onus will be on him to score with Toney only just coming back from a long ban. Brentford have (H) and Crystal Palace (A) coming up in the Christmas period, two games which Maupay should be targeting to score and get his numbers up.

Hojlund is still yet to score in the Premier League – Photo by Icon sport

Rasmus Hojlund – 3.59 Xg (0 goals)

Hojlund is yet to get off the mark in the Premier League, but his Xg numbers suggest he should have at least three goals by now. The Dane scored plenty of goals in the UEFA Champions League group stage, but seems to be struggling in England's top flight. Nonetheless, those numbers can only improve, and he will be determined to get off the mark before the New Year.


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Adam Clancy

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, of whom he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.