Porto vs AVS prediction, odds & betting tips – 29/12/2025

Primeira Liga leaders Porto will close out matchday 16 with a home game against bottom-placed AVS on Monday in what is also the last fixture of the Portuguese top flight in

2025.

Francesco Farioli’s side are five points clear at the summit heading into this round, while the visitors sit nine points adrift of safety.

Our Porto vs AVS prediction provides a clear outlook on this contest, with further Primeira Liga betting tips also available.

Porto vs AVS prediction: One-way traffic on the cards

Key stats:

• Porto have led at both half-time and full-time in six of their seven home league matches this season.
• The Dragons have kept 11 clean sheets in 15 Primeira Liga fixtures so far.
• AVS have conceded a pre-round league-high 39 goals, while their 11 strikes at the other end rank as the joint second fewest.

Correct score prediction: Porto 3–0 AVS

AVS have gone two matches without defeat, winning in the Taca de Portugal against Vitoria Guimaraes before sharing the spoils in a 2–2 draw with Nacional, though facing a formidable Porto side is unlikely to boost that momentum.

The Dragons have otherwise enjoyed a flawless league campaign, winning 14 of their opening 15 games, including a 3–0 success over Alverca in their last outing.

Securing another victory on Monday appears almost certain for Porto, who have also claimed wins in both previous encounters with AVS, with each triumph coming by multiple goals.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Almost no chance for the visitors

• HOME: 2/15 (1.13) – 88.2%
• DRAW: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
• AWAY: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%

*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes and are subject to change.

The vast gap between the two sides in terms of pedigree, squad depth and recent form is reflected in the odds, making Porto’s 88.2% probability unsurprising, while AVS’ 5.9% chance of success emphasises the difficulty of an upset, with a draw priced at 11.1%.

Most recent H2H: The Dragons have been dominant

The clubs have met twice previously, both in the 2024–25 Primeira Liga campaign, which marked AVS’ debut season in the top flight. Porto won 5–0 at Vila das Aves before securing a 2–0 victory at Estadio do Dragao.

Porto preview: Attacker suspended despite recent heroics

Borja Sainz scored twice against Alverca but will miss Monday’s game due to suspension after collecting his fifth booking of the campaign.

On the injury front, veteran striker Luuk de Jong remains sidelined with a knee issue, centre-back Nehuen Perez continues recovery from an Achilles problem and Tomas Perez is also unavailable. Meanwhile, Zaidu Sanusi is away on international duty with Nigeria at the ongoing Africa Cup of Nations.

Predicted XI: D Costa (GK), A Costa, Bednarek, Kiwior, Moura, Froholdt, Varela, Mora, Pepe, Samu, Gomes

Porto’s last five results:

• 22/12/25: Alverca 0–3 Porto (W)
• 18/12/25: Porto 4–1 Famalicao (W)
• 15/12/25: Porto 3–1 Estrela (W)
• 11/12/25: Porto 2–1 Malmo FF (W)
• 07/12/25: Tondela 0–2 Porto (W)

AVS preview: Key defender suspended

Centre-back Ruben Semedo picked up a red card in the draw against Nacional and will miss this fixture. AVS are also likely to remain without Guillem Molina due to injury, while Tiago Hernandez may miss a second consecutive match and Ponck is doubtful after being absent last time out.

Tunde Akinsola is one to watch, having scored in consecutive games, while Tomane is expected to continue leading the attack after also finding the net in the last match.

Predicted XI: Goncalves (GK), Spencer, Devenish, Santos, Vitor, Kiki, Perea, P Lima, Grau, Akinsola & Tomane

AVS’ last five results:

• 21/12/25: AVS 2–2 Nacional (D)
• 17/12/25: Vitoria Guimaraes 0–1 AVS (W)
• 13/12/25: Sporting CP 6–0 AVS (L)
• 06/12/25: AVS 1–2 Rio Ave (L)
• 28/11/25: Vitoria Guimaraes 4–0 AVS (L)

Player to watch: Samu Omorodion

Samu Omorodion has scored in each of his last three home games, totalling five goals during that stretch, and is likely to continue his impressive run against the league’s weakest defence.