Wales vs Poland prediction, odds & betting tips – 26/03/2024

26/03/24 - 19:45

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Wales - Poland

Euro 2024 Qualifying - Cardiff City Stadium

1st Round

Wales and Poland meet at the Cardiff City Stadium in Euro 2024 playoff final action on Tuesday. Our Wales vs Poland prediction and Euro 2024 playoff finals betting picks look at which team will make it to Germany.

Wales vs Poland prediction: Hosts to strike first in even game

Key Stats

• Our Wales vs Poland betting tips take into account the tendency of Rob Page’s side to start fast at home with third and seventh minute goals in their last two home internationals.
• Wales have taken the lead in all of their last four home games.
• Two of Poland’s last three competitive internationals have ended in 1-1 draws.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Dragons slight favourites to reach the Euros

• HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
• DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
• AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Wales vs Poland odds with an implied probability of 41.7% that they win in regulation time, although Extra time and penalties will be played if required.

Both sides reached the final with dominant wins on Thursday night. Wales eased past Finland 4-1 with the result rarely in doubt after David Brooks struck in just the third minute. Poland went one better, beating Estonia 5-1 with Piotr Zielinski among their goalscorers.

For more picks from this and other internationals taking place, today’s football betting tips guide you through the best bets from a range of markets. 

Last two H2Hs: Poland dominant in 21st Century

UEFA Nations League A 25/09/22

Wales

0

Poland

1

UEFA Nations League 01/06/22

Poland

2

Wales

1

Our Wales vs Poland prediction suggests the Dragons can at least end a six game losing streak against this opposition. All of those matches were close though with Poland winning by one on every occasion, the most recent of which was a 1-0 win in 2022 in the UEFA Nations League.

Wales Preview: Same again for Page?

Wales have no fresh concerns after dispatching Finland and Rob Page could go with the same eleven. Daniel James is pushing for a start though after coming off the bench to score on Thursday.

Predicted Lineup: Ward (GK), Davies, Mepham, Rodon, Roberts, Ampadu, Jordan James, Williams, Wilson, Brooks, Johnson

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

D

North Macedonia

1

Wales

1

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25

W

Kazakhstan

1

Wales

3

UEFA Nations League B 19/11/24

W

Iceland

1

Wales

4

UEFA Nations League B 16/11/24

D

Tu00fcrkiye

0

Wales

0

UEFA Nations League B 14/10/24

W

Montenegro

0

Wales

1

Poland Preview: Problems on the right flank

Poland’s Przemysław Frankowski was forced off with an injury after scoring against Estonia, only for his replacement, Aston Villa’s Matty Cash, to also need to go off with a hamstring issue. That leaves Poland light in terms of options at right wing back here.

Predicted Lineup: Szczesny (GK), Kiwior, Bednarek, Dawidowicz, Bereszynski, Slisz, Zielinski, Piotrowski, Zalewski, Swiderski, Lewandowski

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25

W

Malta

0

Poland

2

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Lithuania

0

Poland

1

UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24

L

Scotland

2

Poland

1

UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24

L

Portugal

5

Poland

1

UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24

D

Croatia

3

Poland

3

Player to watch – Robert Lewandowski

While Lewandowski was surprisingly not one of Poland’s scorers in the 5-1 semi-final win over Estonia, there can be little doubt that he remains the biggest obstacle to Wales making it to the Euros. The 35 year old has scored 82 goals in 147 internationals across a glittering career.

Lewandowski striking late

This season, Robert Lewandowski has tended to score most of his goals in the latter stages of games. In La Liga, 69% of his goals have come in the Second Half with 38% coming after the 75th minute.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Wales

CYMRU XI ?????????

Read for our final Elite Round match ?#U17EURO | #TogetherStronger pic.twitter.com/dZKtZsmkTU

— Wales ??????? (@Cymru) March 26, 2024

Poland

Tak było ostatnim razem w Cardiff. ?????????

Dziś liczymy na równie pozytywne emocje! ✊

— Łączy nas piłka (@LaczyNasPilka) March 26, 2024