Wales vs Poland prediction, odds & betting tips – 26/03/2024

Wales
26/03/24 - 19:45

Finished

0 (4)

-

0 (5)

Poland

Wales - Poland

Euro 2024 Qualifying - Cardiff City Stadium

1st Round

wales vs poland prediction
David Brooks opened the scoring for Wales against Finland – Photo by Icon Sport

Wales and Poland meet at the Cardiff City Stadium in Euro 2024 playoff final action on Tuesday. Our Wales vs Poland prediction and Euro 2024 playoff finals betting picks look at which team will make it to Germany.

Wales vs Poland prediction: Hosts to strike first in even game

Wales vs Poland predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Wales to score first

⚽ Correct score prediction

Wales 1-1 Poland

⚽ Full time result prediction

Draw

Key Stats

  • Our Wales vs Poland betting tips take into account the tendency of Rob Page’s side to start fast at home with third and seventh minute goals in their last two home internationals.
  • Wales have taken the lead in all of their last four home games.
  • Two of Poland’s last three competitive internationals have ended in 1-1 draws.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Dragons slight favourites to reach the Euros

  • HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
  • DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Wales vs Poland odds with an implied probability of 41.7% that they win in regulation time, although Extra time and penalties will be played if required.

Both sides reached the final with dominant wins on Thursday night. Wales eased past Finland 4-1 with the result rarely in doubt after David Brooks struck in just the third minute. Poland went one better, beating Estonia 5-1 with Piotr Zielinski among their goalscorers.

For more picks from this and other internationals taking place, today’s football betting tips guide you through the best bets from a range of markets. 

Last two H2Hs: Poland dominant in 21st Century

UEFA Nations League 25/09/22

Wales

Wales

0
Poland

Poland

1

UEFA Nations League 01/06/22

Poland

Poland

2
Wales

Wales

1

Our Wales vs Poland prediction suggests the Dragons can at least end a six game losing streak against this opposition. All of those matches were close though with Poland winning by one on every occasion, the most recent of which was a 1-0 win in 2022 in the UEFA Nations League.

Wales Preview: Same again for Page?

Wales have no fresh concerns after dispatching Finland and Rob Page could go with the same eleven. Daniel James is pushing for a start though after coming off the bench to score on Thursday.

Predicted Lineup: Ward (GK), Davies, Mepham, Rodon, Roberts, Ampadu, Jordan James, Williams, Wilson, Brooks, Johnson

International Match 09/06/24

L

Slovakia

Slovakia

4

Wales

Wales

0

International Match 06/06/24

D

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

0

Wales

Wales

0

Others 30/04/24

D

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

0

Wales

Wales

0

Euro 2024 Qualifying 26/03/24

L

Poland

Poland

0 (5)

Wales

Wales

0 (4)

Euro 2024 Qualifying 21/03/24

W

Finland

Finland

1

Wales

Wales

4

Poland Preview: Problems on the right flank

Poland’s Przemysław Frankowski was forced off with an injury after scoring against Estonia, only for his replacement, Aston Villa’s Matty Cash, to also need to go off with a hamstring issue. That leaves Poland light in terms of options at right wing back here.

Predicted Lineup: Szczesny (GK), Kiwior, Bednarek, Dawidowicz, Bereszynski, Slisz, Zielinski, Piotrowski, Zalewski, Swiderski, Lewandowski

Euro 2024 25/06/24

D

France

France

1

Poland

Poland

1

Euro 2024 21/06/24

L

Austria

Austria

3

Poland

Poland

1

Euro 2024 16/06/24

L

Netherlands

Netherlands

2

Poland

Poland

1

International Match 10/06/24

W

Turkey

Turkey

1

Poland

Poland

2

International Match 07/06/24

W

Ukraine

Ukraine

1

Poland

Poland

3

Player to watch – Robert Lewandowski

While Lewandowski was surprisingly not one of Poland’s scorers in the 5-1 semi-final win over Estonia, there can be little doubt that he remains the biggest obstacle to Wales making it to the Euros. The 35 year old has scored 82 goals in 147 internationals across a glittering career.

wales vs poland predictions
Robert Lewandowski in action against Estonia on Thursday – Photo by Icon Sport

Lewandowski striking late

This season, Robert Lewandowski has tended to score most of his goals in the latter stages of games. In La Liga, 69% of his goals have come in the Second Half with 38% coming after the 75th minute.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Wales

Poland


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.