The Championship season is well underway at this point. This means form, key players, and likely outcomes are increasingly apparent. It also means we’ve got more predictions coming your way – as done for the upcoming game between Plymouth and Luton here.
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Plymouth vs Luton prediction: Luton to make it three from three
Key stats
- Plymouth have won 1 of their last 6 Championship matches
- Luton has lost just once on the road this season
- The Pilgrims are averaging 1.38 goals per game at home this season
- Luton have beaten Plymouth in 3 of their last 5 meetings
Correct score prediction: Plymouth 1-2 Luton
Plymouth's home advantage could make this a competitive fixture. However, Luton's recent wins over Sheffield Wednesday and Millwall suggest they will come out on top. Additionally, Plymouth has scored 4 goals in just three home fixtures this season, so both teams could score here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hatters heavy favourites
- HOME: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.80%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.00%
- AWAY: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.30%
As you’d expect, given their positions in the table, Luton is favoured by the bookies here, with a win probability of 51.30%. More importantly, Luton comes into this one off the back of two impressive wins, so these odds make perfect sense.
Don’t forget to take a quick look at our football betting tips page for more exciting predictions this week.
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Luton looking strong
Although these teams haven’t met since 2019, the rivalry heavily favours Luton. In the last five, Luton has beaten Plymouth three times, while the other two games have finished in a draw. This shows Plymouth has struggled against Luton in the past, and we expect them to struggle again here.
England League 1 09/03/19
Plymouth
Luton
England League 1 17/11/18
Luton
Plymouth
England League 2 25/02/17
Luton
Plymouth
England League 2 06/08/16
Plymouth
Luton
England League 2 19/03/16
Plymouth
Luton
Plymouth preview: Pilgrims seeking change of fortunes on home soil
Plymouth has struggled so far in the 24/25 season. With just 5 points from 6 games, they find themselves sitting in 20th in the Championship. Furthermore, from the top 20 teams, they’ve conceded the second most goals.
Predicted Lineup: Grimshaw (GK), Gilchrist, Phillips, Gibson, Mumba, Randell, Houghton, Edwards, Whittaker, Hardie, Bundu
England Championship 01/10/24
L
Burnley
1
Plymouth
0
England Championship 27/09/24
W
Luton
1
Plymouth
3
England Championship 21/09/24
L
West Brom
1
Plymouth
0
England Championship 14/09/24
W
Sunderland
2
Plymouth
3
England Championship 31/08/24
L
Stoke
1
Plymouth
0
Luton preview: Hatters finding form in recent games
Luton started slowly this season, failing to win any of their opening four games. However, they’ve since picked things up, earning back-to-back wins and scoring three goals in two games. For that reason, they won’t be afraid to come and take it to the Pilgrims in this away fixture.
Predicted Lineup: Kaminski (GK), Osho, Lockyer, Bell, Doughty, Nakamba, Mpanzu, Ogbene, Chong, Morris, Adebayo
England Championship 01/10/24
D
Oxford Utd
2
Luton
2
England Championship 27/09/24
L
Plymouth
3
Luton
1
England Championship 21/09/24
W
Sheff Wed
1
Luton
2
England Championship 14/09/24
W
Millwall
0
Luton
1
England Championship 30/08/24
L
QPR
2
Luton
1
Player to watch – Carlton Morris (Luton)
Luton doesn’t exactly have a star scorer in their ranks this season – at least not yet. But Carlton Morris is still their leading scorer, finding the back of the net twice in six games.
This is a positive factor for Luton’s chances here. Yet, it’s even more promising that both of these goals came in Luton’s most recent win over Sheffield Wednesday!
