Nice and Toulouse kick off their 2025-26 Ligue 1 campaigns at the Allianz Riviera this Saturday, with the hosts desperate for an immediate response following their exit from the Champions League qualifiers.
Check out our Nice vs Toulouse predictions below.
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Nice vs Toulouse predictions: Balanced battle expected
Key stats:
- Nice are winless in their last four Ligue 1 opening fixtures (D3, L1).
- Toulouse are unbeaten in their previous four matchday one matches.
- Les Violets ended last season with a four-match unbeaten run in Ligue 1 (W2, D2).
- Nice avoided defeat in each of their last three home league matches in 2024–25.
Correct score prediction: Nice 1-1 Toulouse
The scoreline reflects how recent meetings between the two sides have played out, with both league encounters last season ending in 1-1 draws. A similar outcome looks likely here, especially given Nice’s winless run in their last four Ligue 1 openers, while Toulouse have avoided defeat in each of their last four.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Knife-edge contest
- HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes; subject to change.
Bookmakers give Nice the slightest of edges thanks to home advantage and last season’s higher finish. Their 46.5% implied chance reflects some confidence in Les Aiglons bouncing back from European disappointment, but Toulouse’s 30.3% probability shows the visitors are no pushovers.
The draw at 29.4% looks a real runner given the recent head-to-head pattern. This makes our both-teams-to-score pick at 4/5 (1.80) particularly appealing, with its 55.6% probability matching the trend from the last three meetings.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page after viewing our Nice vs Toulouse predictions.
Head-to-head history: Scorelines stuck on repeat
The most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 draw at Stadium de Toulouse in February, mirroring the result from the reverse fixture and ensuring both league clashes in 2024-25 finished level, and this reflects how evenly matched these two sides have been.
France Ligue 1 02/02/25
Toulouse
Nice
France Ligue 1 25/08/24
Nice
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 03/03/24
Toulouse
Nice
France Ligue 1 26/11/23
Nice
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 21/05/23
Nice
Toulouse
Nice preview: Plagued by injuries
The Cote d’Azur outfit are aiming to build on last year’s fourth-place finish — their best in eight seasons — despite summer departures of key men Jean-Clair Todibo, Evann Guessan, and Marcin Bulka.
New arrivals Yehvann Diouf and Isak Jansson were handed tough starts in the double 2-0 Champions League qualifying defeats to Benfica, and Franck Haise will want his side to snap their habit of sluggish Ligue 1 beginnings.
However, Nice head into this opener wrestling with a lengthy injury list, with several key names sidelined, including Morgan Sanson, while veterans like Dante remain doubtful.
Predicted lineup: Diouf (GK), Mendy, Bah, Oppong, Bard, Boudaoui, Louchet, Clauss, Jansson, Moffi & Bouanani
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
L
Rennes
2
Nice
0
France Ligue 1 02/05/25
W
Reims
0
Nice
1
France Ligue 1 25/04/25
W
PSG
1
Nice
3
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
W
Angers
1
Nice
2
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
D
Strasbourg
2
Nice
2
Toulouse preview: Caseres banned amid selection gaps
Les Violets claimed 10th spot last term — their best return since rejoining Ligue 1 in 2022-23 — and will now look to edge into the European conversation.
Pre-season results raised eyebrows, with heavy setbacks to Stuttgart (6-0) and Leipzig (7-0), and their squad is not at full strength. Cristian Cásseres serves a suspension, while Rasmus Nicolaisen is a doubt, and several others are recovering from knocks.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), Cresswell, McKenzie, Methalie, Donnum, Canvot, Sauer, Sidibe, Gboho, Edjouma & Magri
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
D
Lens
1
Toulouse
1
France Ligue 1 03/05/25
W
Rennes
1
Toulouse
2
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
D
Nantes
0
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
L
Reims
1
Toulouse
0
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
L
Lille
2
Toulouse
1
Player to watch – Terem Moffi
The Super Eagles striker endured an injury-hit 2024-25 campaign but is now fully fit, leading the line in both Benfica qualifiers. With his pace and movement, Moffi will be central to Nice’s hopes of starting strong.