Prediction 1
Over 2.5 total goals
9/10
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Odds from
Prediction 2
3-1 to Sporting Lisbon
13/1
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Odds from
Prediction 3
Sporting Lisbon to win
4/5
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Odds from
Nacional will host Porto in the the first Primeira Liga round in 2025, on Friday, 3 January.
Will Nacional be able to put up a fight against the favoured opponent or will we see an easy win for the guests? Find that out and more from our Nacional vs Porto prediction below.
Contents
Nacional vs Porto prediction: A comfortable win for the guests
Key Stats
- Porto have beaten Nacional 10 times in a row and they've kept a clean sheet in six of those games.
- Nacional have failed to score in 50% of their games in Primeira Liga this season.
- Porto have kept a clean sheet in 11 of 16 matches they played in the league so far.
Correct score prediction: Nacional 0-3 Porto
With Porto in great form and Nacional struggling, it's hard to expect the hosts to do anything in this game. In fact, we don't doubt that Porto will win the match and we can see them keeping a clean sheet as well, like they've done in the last three games in the league.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Porto the clean favourites to win
- HOME: 8/1 – 11.10%
- DRAW: 4/1 – 20.00%
- AWAY: 3/10 – 76.90%
*Odds from 7Bet, subject to change
We can see from these Nacional vs Porto odds that the guests are the expected winners, which is hardly a surprise when we look at the Primeira Liga standings, where Porto are currently 27 points ahead of Nacional.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also take a peek at our favourite betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Porto dominating the matchup
With 10 wins in a row over Nacional, Porto have clearly done much better in recent years. Of course, things are pretty much the same when it comes to the overall H2H record between these two teams: 35-4-6 in favour of Porto.
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/21
Nacional
FC Porto
Portugal Cup 12/01/21
Nacional
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 20/12/20
FC Porto
Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/05/19
Nacional
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 07/01/19
FC Porto
Nacional
Nacional preview: Hoping for a huge upset against the favoured opponent
As a newly-promoted team, Nacional were expected to battle for survival this season and so far that's exactly the case. Ahead of their final game of the first half of the season, Nacional are 16th in the standings with 13 points, one point ahead of Boavista and Arouca in the relegation zone.
When it comes to team news, Lucas Franca is out with an injury, while Miguel Baeza and Nigel Thomas are questionable.
Predicted lineup: Encarnacao (GK), Garcia, Ulisses, Santos, Gomes, Soumare, Esteves, Aurelio, Costa, Dudu & Isaac
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
W
Boavista
0
Nacional
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 06/04/25
L
Estrela
1
Nacional
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 30/03/25
L
Santa Clara
1
Nacional
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 16/03/25
W
Casa Pia
1
Nacional
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 08/03/25
L
Benfica
3
Nacional
0
Porto preview: On a good run of form to keep pace in the title race
With three wins in a row in the league, Porto have been doing well lately. In fact, that's been the case this entire season since Porto are currently second in the standings, but they're tied in points with Sporting Lisbon, so they're only behind them due to slightly worse goal difference.
Meanwhile, Marko Grujic and Ivan Marcano are out with injuries, while Wendell is questionable. On top of that, Nico Gonzalez is suspended for this match.
Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Fernandes, Perez, Otavio, Galeno, Sousa, Eustaquio, Vieira, Mora, Pepe & Omorodion
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
W
Casa Pia
0
FC Porto
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 06/04/25
L
Benfica
4
FC Porto
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 30/03/25
W
Estoril
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 15/03/25
W
AVS
0
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 08/03/25
L
Braga
1
FC Porto
0
Player to watch: Samuel Omorodion Aghehowa
One of the most pleasant surprises of the season in Primeira Liga is Samu Omorodion, who is having a true breakthrough season at Porto. After all, he has contributed 13 goals and two assists just in the Portuguese league, so he's our player to watch in this game as well.