League leaders Porto look to open up a seven-point gap at the top of the Primeira Liga table as they travel to Nacional on Sunday for round 22 action.
The Dragons are currently four points clear of second-placed Sporting Lisbon, who play Famalicao later, while the White and Blacks sit 13th in the standings, four points above the relegation zone.
Our Nacional vs Porto prediction provides a clear outlook on the encounter, along with additional Primeira Liga betting tips.
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Key stats:
- Only one side has scored in each of the last four competitive meetings.
- Porto have kept 15 clean sheets in 21 Primeira Liga games this season.
- Nacional have lost three of their last six league matches (D2, L1).
- The White and Blacks have lost 11 of their last 13 league meetings with Porto (W1, D1).
Correct score prediction: Nacional 0–1 Porto
Porto enter this match looking to bounce back after failing to win in consecutive league games for the first time this season. The Dragons suffered their first league defeat at Casa Pia and drew 1–1 with Sporting last weekend.
Meanwhile, Nacional have won just two of their last 13 league matches (D5, L6), with their most recent outing ending in a goalless draw against Casa Pia.
A single goal could prove decisive here, as three of Porto’s last five away victories have finished 1–0.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Visitors heavy favourites
- HOME: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
- AWAY: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes and subject to change.
Porto are overwhelming favourites with a 73.3% implied win probability, while Nacional’s chance of taking full spoils is just 12.5%, and a draw is priced at 20.0%.
Our hot tip — Porto win & under 3.5 goals — offers value at 21/20 (2.05).
Most recent H2H: Porto look to avoid consecutive away losses
Porto have dominated this fixture historically, winning 11 of their last 13 league meetings, including a 1–0 victory in the reverse fixture. However, the Dragons’s most recent visit to Madeira ended in a 2–0 loss.
Portugal Primeira Liga 13/09/25
FC Porto
Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 17/05/25
FC Porto
Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 15/01/25
Nacional
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/01/25
Nacional
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/01/25
Nacional
FC Porto
Nacional preview: Key defender suspended
Nacional will be without centre-back Leo Santos due to suspension, while left-back Jose Gomes, who was forced off last time out, is doubtful.
Long-term absentees Ivanildo Fernandes and Ulisses, as well as Filipe Soares, remain sidelined. Lenny Vallier and Joao Aurélio are also uncertain after missing the last three games.
Predicted XI: Pereira (GK), Nunez, Goncalves, Ze Vitor, Gomes, Liziero, Dias, Baeza, Veron, Ramirez & Boia
Nacional’s last five results
- 08/02/26: Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia (Primeira Liga)
- 01/02/26: Sporting 2–1 Nacional (Primeira Liga)
- 25/01/26: Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave (Primeira Liga)
- 17/01/26: Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional (Primeira Liga)
- 11/01/26: Nacional 3–3 Santa Clara (Primeira Liga)
Porto preview: Fresh injury concerns
Samu Omorodion was forced off last time out and is now ruled out with a knee injury, while Jakub Kiwior and Martim Fernandes, who were also casualties in that encounter, remain doubts. Meanwhile, long-term absentee Nehuen Perez continues his recovery from an Achilles problem.
Predicted XI: D. Costa (GK), A. Costa, Silva, Bednarek, Fernandes, Froholdt, Varela, Fofana, Pepe, Gul & Sainz
Porto’s last five results
- 09/02/26: Porto 1–1 Sporting (Primeira Liga)
- 02/02/26: Casa Pia 2–1 Porto (Primeira Liga)
- 29/01/26: Porto 3–1 Rangers (Europa League)
- 26/01/26: Porto 3–0 Gil Vicente (Primeira Liga)
- 22/01/26: Plzen 1–1 Porto (Europa League)
Player to watch: Seko Fofana
Seko Fofana scored Porto’s equaliser against Sporting on the weekend after coming off the bench. The winter signing could make his first start on Sunday, and all eyes will be on him to see if he can provide the spark in midfield.