Luton and Middlesbrough are bound to meet in the next round of the Championship on Saturday, 15 March.
With both teams in desperate needs of points as they chase their goals this season, who will emerge victorious from this duel? Read our Luton vs Middlesbrough preview and prediction to find out.
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Luton vs Middlesbrough prediction: Goals on both ends in a win for the guests
Key stats
- Middlesbrough have won three of their last four games in the league and they're 19 points ahead of Luton in the standings.
- We saw both teams score in the last six H2H duels between these two teams.
- Both teams have scored in 56% of Luton's home games in the league this season, while the same is true for 67% of Middlesbrough's away games.
Correct score prediction: Luton 1-2 Middlesbrough
While Luton have done well to win twice in their last three games as they make a late push for survival, Middlesbrough have been the better team this season and we expect them to show it on Saturday as they try to keep up the pace in the race for the playoffs.
Pre-game odds and win probability: No clear favourites in this match
- HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.50%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.40%
- AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.00%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can see from the Luton vs Middlesbrough odds that the bookies expect a close game and while the guests are the expected winners, it's by a very slim margin.
If you enjoyed our predictions for this game, make sure to also take a look at our best betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Small advantage for Middlesbrough
In the last five duels between these two teams, we saw Middlesbrough win three times, but Luton also have a couple of wins, so it's been pretty close lately.
In fact, it's also very close if we look at the overall H2H record between these two teams: 15-8-12 in favour of Middlesbrough.
England Championship 09/11/24
Middlesbrough
Luton
England Championship 24/04/23
Luton
Middlesbrough
England Championship 10/12/22
Middlesbrough
Luton
England Championship 05/03/22
Middlesbrough
Luton
England Championship 02/11/21
Luton
Middlesbrough
Luton preview: Catching the last train for survival
While it seemed that Luton are on their way to League One a few weeks ago, two wins in their last three games in the Championship have raised hope at the club. Luton still remain in the relegation zone, but now they're only two points behind Cardiff City, the first team outside of it, so if Luton can string together a few more good results, we might see them in the Championship next season as well.
Meanwhile, Tahith Chong, Tom Lockyer, Teden Mengi, and Shandon Baptiste remain on the sidelines with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Kaminski (GK), Makosso, McGuiness, Bell, Jones, Walsh, Clark, Aasgaard, Doughty, Morris & Adebayo
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Blackburn
1
Luton
0
England Championship 08/04/25
D
Stoke
1
Luton
1
England Championship 05/04/25
D
Leeds
1
Luton
1
England Championship 29/03/25
W
Hull
0
Luton
1
England Championship 15/03/25
D
Middlesbrough
0
Luton
0
Middlesbrough preview: Still in the chase for the playoffs
After winning three of their last four games in the league, Middlesbrough are now eighth in the standings and just three points behind the first team in the playoff zone. With nine games left in the season, the Boro will try to make a push for a spot in the playoffs and eventual promotion, but they will need to be at their best in the remaining matches.
When it comes to team news, Middlesbrough have an extensive list of injuries, including Alex Bangura, Rav van den Berg, Darragh Lenihan, George Edmundson, and Luke Ayling.
Predicted lineup: Travers (GK), Dijksteel, Howson, Borges, Junior, Morris, Hackney, Burgzorg, Conway, Azaz & Iheanacho
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Millwall
1
Middlesbrough
0
England Championship 08/04/25
L
Leeds
1
Middlesbrough
0
England Championship 04/04/25
W
Blackburn
0
Middlesbrough
2
England Championship 29/03/25
W
Oxford Utd
1
Middlesbrough
2
England Championship 15/03/25
D
Luton
0
Middlesbrough
0
Player to watch: Finn Azaz
The 24-year-old winger has been one of Middlesbrough's key offensive weapons this season since he's one of the team's top scorers with 10 goals, in addition to which he also has 11 assists, more than any of his teammates.
