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Chelsea - Middlesbrough
England EFL Cup - Stamford Bridge
2nd Round
Prediction 1
Under 2.5 Goals
39/20 (2.95)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
2-0 Chelsea
6/1 (7.00)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change
Middlesbrough head to Stamford Bridge with a narrow 1-0 lead and will fancy their chances of progressing through to the League Cup final. Chelsea have proven to be hit-and-miss so far this season but surely their Premier League quality will shine through at home and hand Mauricio Pochettino the opportunity to earn his first silverware in England.
Contents
Chelsea vs Middlesbrough prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Under 2.5 Goals
- Under 2.5 goals have been produced in five of the last six head-to-heads between Chelsea and Middlesbrough.
- Three of Boro's last four fixtures have ended with fewer than three goals scored.
Another reason why we're backing this bet over any other Chelsea vs Middlesbrough betting tip is that Chelsea's last two matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
Latest odds
Head to Head
09/01/24
England EFL Cup EFL Cup
Middlesbrough
Chelsea
1
0
19/03/22
England FA Cup FA Cup
Middlesbrough
Chelsea
0
2
08/05/17
England Premier League EPL
Chelsea
Middlesbrough
3
0
20/11/16
England Premier League EPL
Middlesbrough
Chelsea
0
1
Last Five - Chelsea
08/02/25
England FA Cup FA Cup
Brighton
Chelsea
2
1
L
03/02/25
England Premier League EPL
West Ham
Chelsea
1
2
W
25/01/25
England Premier League EPL
Man City
Chelsea
3
1
L
20/01/25
England Premier League EPL
Wolverhampton
Chelsea
1
3
W
14/01/25
England Premier League EPL
Bournemouth
Chelsea
2
2
D
Last Five - Middlesbrough
03/02/25
England Championship CHA
Sunderland
Middlesbrough
3
2
L
25/01/25
England Championship CHA
Preston
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
21/01/25
England Championship CHA
West Brom
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
18/01/25
England Championship CHA
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
11/01/25
England FA Cup FA Cup
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
Win probability
- HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
Chelsea are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 77.8%, and it's hard to argue against the bookmakers on this one, even though Middlesbrough have a 1-0 aggregate lead. For more football betting tips on this League Cup tie, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Armando Broja is the favourite to score in this game at 5/4 (2.25) which has a probability of 44.4%, while teammate Raheem Sterling is priced at 7/5 (2.40) with a probability of 41.7% and Cole Palmer has odds of 6/4 (2.50) and a probability of 40%.
Chelsea vs Middlesbrough prediction – Other tips
Correct Score: 2-0
- Chelsea have won six of their last seven matches against Middlesbrough, each being accompanied by a clean sheet.
- Chelse have kept clean sheets in each of their last two home games.
Chelsea to Win
- Chelsea have won four of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Six of the last seven meetings between these two clubs have gone the way of the Londoners.
Chelsea vs Middlesbrough team news
Chelsea
Despite playing a strong side in the first leg at the Riverside Stadium, Chelsea lost against Middlesbrough 1-0, against the odds. However, just being a goal down having into the second leg at Stamford Bridge means that Chelsea are still the favourites to book a place in the League Cup final against Liverpool or Fulham.
Nicolas Jackson is away at the Africa Cup of Nations, while Wesley Fofana, Reece James, Marc Cucurella, Romeo Lavia, Christopher Nkunku, Robert Sanchez, Trevoh Chalobah and Lesley Ugochukwu are all doubts for the Middlesbrough game due to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Petrović (GK), Silva, Disasi, Gusto, Colwill, Gallagher, Palmer, Fernández, Caicedo, Sterling & Madueke
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough youngster Hayden Hackney was the hero of the first leg against Premier League side Chelsea, scoring the game's only goal in the thirty-seventh minute after good work from Isaiah Jones. Boro played five at the back against Chelsea and if the Championship side can keep things solid once again on Tuesday night, a place in the League Cup final awaits.
Sam Silvera, Riley McGree and Seny Dieng are away on international duty, Alex Bangura, Emmanuel Latte Lath, Tom Smith and Darragh Lenihan could miss the second leg through injury.
Predicted Lineup: Glover (GK), Fry, Engel, Clarke, van den Berg, Howson, Crooks, Barlaser, Hackney, Jones & Rogers
Chelsea
Middlesbrough
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Cole Palmer
Palmer has been at the heart of most of the positive things Chelsea have achieved so far this season and is looking like a fantastic summer signing.
Palmer has two assists in the League Cup this season and we're backing the England man to unlock Middlesbrough's strong defence on Tuesday night. The former Man City man top scores for Chelsea in the Premier League this season with nine goals, five of which have come from the penalty spot so if Chelsea do get the chance to score from a spot kick, you know just who is going to take it.
