Chelsea vs Middlesbrough prediction, odds & betting tips 23/01/2024

Chelsea
23/01/24 - 20:00

Finished

6

-

1

Middlesbrough

Chelsea - Middlesbrough

England EFL Cup - Stamford Bridge

2nd Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Middlesbrough head to Stamford Bridge with a narrow 1-0 lead and will fancy their chances of progressing through to the League Cup final. Chelsea have proven to be hit-and-miss so far this season but surely their Premier League quality will shine through at home and hand Mauricio Pochettino the opportunity to earn his first silverware in England.

Chelsea vs Middlesbrough prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in five of the last six head-to-heads between Chelsea and Middlesbrough.
  • Three of Boro's last four fixtures have ended with fewer than three goals scored.

Another reason why we're backing this bet over any other Chelsea vs Middlesbrough betting tip is that Chelsea's last two matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.

Latest odds

Head to Head

09/01/24

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

0

19/03/22

England FA Cup FA Cup

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

2

08/05/17

England Premier League EPL

Chelsea

Chelsea

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

3

0

08/05/17

England Premier League EPL

Chelsea

Chelsea

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

3

0

20/11/16

England Premier League EPL

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

1

Last Five - Chelsea

20/02/24

Others Others

Liverpool

Liverpool

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

0

D

19/02/24

Others Others

Man City

Man City

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

0

L

17/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Man City

Man City

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

1

D

12/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

3

W

08/02/24

Others Others

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

2

W

Last Five - Middlesbrough

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Leicester

Leicester

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

1

2

W

14/02/24

England Championship CHA

Preston

Preston

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2

1

L

10/02/24

England Championship CHA

Bristol City

Bristol City

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2

1

L

04/02/24

England Championship CHA

Sunderland

Sunderland

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

1

1

D

23/01/24

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Chelsea

Chelsea

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

6

1

L

Win probability

  • HOME: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.8%
  • DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%

Chelsea are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 77.8%, and it's hard to argue against the bookmakers on this one, even though Middlesbrough have a 1-0 aggregate lead. For more football betting tips on this League Cup tie, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Armando Broja is the favourite to score in this game at 5/4 (2.25) which has a probability of 44.4%, while teammate Raheem Sterling is priced at 7/5 (2.40) with a probability of 41.7% and Cole Palmer has odds of 6/4 (2.50) and a probability of 40%.

Chelsea vs Middlesbrough prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 2-0

  • Chelsea have won six of their last seven matches against Middlesbrough, each being accompanied by a clean sheet.
  • Chelse have kept clean sheets in each of their last two home games.

Chelsea to Win

  • Chelsea have won four of their last five matches in all competitions.
  • Six of the last seven meetings between these two clubs have gone the way of the Londoners.

chelsea vs middlesbrough

Chelsea vs Middlesbrough team news

Chelsea

Despite playing a strong side in the first leg at the Riverside Stadium, Chelsea lost against Middlesbrough 1-0, against the odds. However, just being a goal down having into the second leg at Stamford Bridge means that Chelsea are still the favourites to book a place in the League Cup final against Liverpool or Fulham.

Nicolas Jackson is away at the Africa Cup of Nations, while Wesley Fofana, Reece James, Marc Cucurella, Romeo Lavia, Christopher Nkunku, Robert Sanchez, Trevoh Chalobah and Lesley Ugochukwu are all doubts for the Middlesbrough game due to injury.

Predicted Lineup: Petrović (GK), Silva, Disasi, Gusto, Colwill, Gallagher, Palmer, Fernández, Caicedo, Sterling & Madueke

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough youngster Hayden Hackney was the hero of the first leg against Premier League side Chelsea, scoring the game's only goal in the thirty-seventh minute after good work from Isaiah Jones. Boro played five at the back against Chelsea and if the Championship side can keep things solid once again on Tuesday night, a place in the League Cup final awaits.

Sam Silvera, Riley McGree and Seny Dieng are away on international duty, Alex Bangura, Emmanuel Latte Lath, Tom Smith and Darragh Lenihan could miss the second leg through injury.

Predicted Lineup: Glover (GK), Fry, Engel, Clarke, van den Berg, Howson, Crooks, Barlaser, Hackney, Jones & Rogers

Chelsea

Chelsea
4-2-3-1
19
Armando Broja
al
10
Mykhailo Mudryk
ua
28
Djordje Petrovic
rs
2
Axel Disasi
fr
8
Enzo Fernandez
ar
21
Ben Chilwell
gb
20
Cole Palmer
gb
25
Moises Caicedo
ec
26
Levi Colwill
gb
6
Thiago Silva
br
7
Raheem Sterling
gb
Substitutes
11
Noni Madueke
gb
40
Ted Curd
gb
17
Carney Chukwuemeka
gb
47
Lucas Bergstrom
fi
42
Alfie Gilchrist
gb
5
Benoit Badiashile
fr
36
Deivid Washington De Souza Eugenio
br
23
Conor Gallagher
gb
54
Leo Castledine
gb

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough
4-4-2
3
Rav Van den Berg
nl
25
Matt Crooks
gb
7
Hayden Hackney
gb
5
Matt Clarke
gb
6
Dael Fry
gb
23
Tom Glover
au
4
Daniel Barlaser
gb
10
Morgan Rogers
gb
21
Marcus Forss
fi
27
Lukas Engel
dk
16
Jonny Howson
gb
Substitutes
57
Bryant Akono Bilongo
gb
49
Law McCabe
gb
19
Josh Coburn
gb
14
Alexander Gilbert
ie
28
Lewis O'Brien
gb
15
Anfernee Dijksteel
sr
17
Paddy McNair
gb
32
Jamie Jones
gb
52
AJ Bridge
gb

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Cole Palmer

Palmer has been at the heart of most of the positive things Chelsea have achieved so far this season and is looking like a fantastic summer signing.

Palmer has two assists in the League Cup this season and we're backing the England man to unlock Middlesbrough's strong defence on Tuesday night. The former Man City man top scores for Chelsea in the Premier League this season with nine goals, five of which have come from the penalty spot so if Chelsea do get the chance to score from a spot kick, you know just who is going to take it.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.