Le Havre vs Metz prediction, odds & betting tips 21/04/2024

21/04/24 - 14:00

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Le Havre - Metz

France Ligue 1 - Stade Oceane

One of the most intriguing and important games of the Ligue 1 schedule this weekend involves two teams fighting to save their Ligue 1 status. A win for Metz last weekend saw them boost their chance of survival, but they are still two points behind Le Havre who occupy the spot just outside the bottom three.

Le Havre vs Metz prediction: A defining clash in the relegation battle

Key stats

• Le Havre have won just two league games in 2024
• Metz have managed to win half of their previous six matches
• Five of Le Club Doyen's six wins this season have come at home

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home advantage has Le Havre as favourites

Home: 6/5 (2.2) – 45.5%

Draw: 21/10 (3.1) – 32.3%

Away: 5/2 (3.5) – 28.6%

While the bookmakers are very much putting their faith in Le Havre to get the job done at home, we're far from convinced this will be the case and can see it being a cagey affair. So, we believe in staying clear of any sort of outright winner market and perhaps take a glance at our free betting tips if you wish to find something with more value.

However, if you are set on picking a winner in this bout then we would suggest adding a Both Teams to Score – No – option into your bet because we are not predicting many goals in this low-quality and tight clash.

Last five H2Hs: Another stalemate could be on the cards

Three of the past five meetings between these two have ended in a draw which does show just how evenly matches they have been over the years. Also, to back up our idea of little goals being scored, there have only been nine goals scored over the last five clashes.

France Ligue 1 29/10/23

Metz

0

Le Havre

0

France Ligue 2 13/03/23

Metz

1

Le Havre

1

France Ligue 2 24/10/22

Le Havre

2

Metz

0

France Ligue 2 04/03/19

Le Havre

2

Metz

2

France Ligue 2 29/09/18

Metz

0

Le Havre

1

Le Havre preview: A defeat would be disastrous

The luxury Le Havre have in this very important clash is that they're the side being chased so as long as they avoid defeat, then not much will change for them. A win, however, would certainly knock the stuffing out of the three teams sitting below them.

Predicted lineup: Desmas (GK) – Operi, Youte Kinkoue, Sangante, Salmier, Casimir – Toure, Kechta, Kuzyaev – Sabbi, Ayew

France Ligue 1 10/05/25

L

Marseille

3

Le Havre

1

France Ligue 1 04/05/25

W

Auxerre

1

Le Havre

2

France Ligue 1 26/04/25

D

Monaco

1

Le Havre

1

France Ligue 1 19/04/25

L

PSG

2

Le Havre

1

France Ligue 1 13/04/25

L

Rennes

5

Le Havre

1

Metz preview: Back-to-back wins are a possibility

Metz finally brought to a halt their worrying run of form which saw them lose four straight games by beating European hopefuls Lens last weekend. The result was certainly unexpected but now has them on the cusp of reaching safety if they can win this Sunday.

Predicted lineup: Oukidja (GK) – Udol, Sane, Traore, Colin – N'Doram – Diallo, Jean Jacques, Atta, Jallow – Mikautadze

France Ligue 2 10/05/25

W

Laval

2

Metz

3

France Ligue 2 02/05/25

D

Rodez Aveyron

3

Metz

3

France Ligue 2 26/04/25

L

Pau

2

Metz

1

France Ligue 2 19/04/25

D

Red Star FC 93

2

Metz

2

France Ligue 2 11/04/25

W

Martigues

1

Metz

4

Player to watch: Georges Mikautadze

Metz's Georgian international has been a huge hit after joining on loan in January registering 12 goal involvements in just 15 appearances. This is a stunning return for someone playing in a team fighting against relegation.

Georgian star is their only hope

After going 1-0 down at home to Lens last weekend, Georges Mikautadze stepped up to net a huge first-half brace and seal all three points. He's got seven in his last seven games including back-to-back barces so Le Havre will be keen to make sure they stop him in his tracks.