Marseille vs Lorient prediction, odds & betting tips 12/05/2024

12/05/24 - 20:00

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Marseille - Lorient

France Ligue 1 - Orange Velodrome

Lorient find themselves six points from safety with only two games left to play and a much worse goal difference. So, Marseille could well be the side who relegate their opponents this weekend with a defeat.

Marseille vs Lorient prediction: Relegation is a possibility

Key stats

• Marseille have scored exactly two goals in three consecutive Ligue 1 games
• Lorient have won just one of their last 10 matches
• Les Phoceens have tasted defeat once at home in the league

Pre-game odds and win probability: Lorient expected to taste defeat once again

Home: 4/1 (5.0) – 20%

Draw: 7/2 (4.5) – 22.2%

Away: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%

It's getting to the business end of the season right now and that's why Lorient know they must win and do so handsomely, which looks unlikely, so Marseille are the safe bet in this fixture.

Les Phoceens are the obvious favourites according to the bookmakers, but after midweek heartbreak in Europe, they could well be distracted. So, we believe Lorient have more than a chance of causing an upset, which is why we are avoiding the outright winner market and instead, will look at the more enticing free betting tips on our website.

Last five H2Hs: Marseille have been utterly dominant

If Lorient were looking for a crumb of comfort or hope in this tough must-win clash, looking back in history won't be where they'll find it. Les Merlus are winless in their last five against Marseille having scored just four and shipped 14 in those fixtures.

France Ligue 1 10/12/23

Lorient

2

Marseille

4

France Ligue 1 09/04/23

Lorient

0

Marseille

0

France Ligue 1 14/01/23

Marseille

3

Lorient

1

France Ligue 1 08/05/22

Lorient

0

Marseille

3

France Ligue 1 17/10/21

Marseille

4

Lorient

1

Marseille preview: End the season on a high

Les Phoceens had put all of their eggs into the Europa League basket but were embarrassingly dumped out of the competition by Atalanta who won the game 4-1 on aggregate. Marseille are now seven points off Europe and have nothing to show for their efforts this term, apart from keeping her pride intact.

Predicted lineup: Lopez (GK) – Gigot, Balerdi, Mbemba – Henrique, Veretout, Kondogbia, Clauss – Sarr, Harit – Aubameyang

France Ligue 1 09/02/25

W

Angers

0

Marseille

2

France Ligue 1 02/02/25

W

Lyon

2

Marseille

3

France Ligue 1 26/01/25

L

Nice

2

Marseille

0

France Ligue 1 19/01/25

D

Strasbourg

1

Marseille

1

France Cup 14/01/25

L

Lille

1 (4)

Marseille

1 (3)

Lorient preview: It's all or nothing

Lorient must win their final two games and hope for a major swing in goal difference to have the slightest chance of safety, but when they are winless since March 3rd it does not look very likely to happen. They are just three points behind Mtez who occupy the relegation play-off spot so there is still hope for them.

Predicted lineup: Mvogo (GK) – Laporte, Adjei, Talbi – Mendy, Bakayoko, Abergel, Bouanani – Ponceau, Louza – Bamba

France Ligue 2 08/02/25

W

Amiens

1

Lorient

3

France Ligue 2 01/02/25

W

Red Star FC 93

1

Lorient

2

France Ligue 2 25/01/25

W

Clermont Foot

2

Lorient

3

France Ligue 2 18/01/25

W

Dunkerque

0

Lorient

1

France Cup 15/01/25

L

Cannes

2

Lorient

1

Player to watch: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was discarded and not wanted by a lot of Europe's top clubs having been let go by the likes of Chelsea and Barcelona in recent times, but he's thriving in Marseille. The Gabonese international is the fifth top scorer in Ligue 1 this term with 15 strikes to his name.

Good form to continue?

Aubameyang now has three goals and one assist in his last four Ligue 1 appearances, so he will be itching to get back out on the pitch after their crushing away defeat on Thursday.