Man United vs Bournemouth: Remarkable Marcus Tavernier odds are too good to ignore

On Sunday afternoon, Manchester United will take on Bournemouth at Old Trafford in a match of huge importance for Michael Carrick as he looks to cling to his job as the Man Utd manager.

Both teams come into the match on the back of European assignments, with Bournemouth on a high after defeating AC Milan and Manchester United feeling sorry for themselves after losing 4-1 to Como.

There is plenty of betting value in this match, and below, we have picked out one stat, related to Bournemouth's Marcus Tavernier, that stands out as excellent value for money.

Marcus Tavernier 7/2 to have over 1.5 shots on target

Marcus Tavernier is priced at 7/2 to have over 1.5 shots against Manchester United on Sunday, an implied probability of 22.2%. This suggests that the winger records two or more shots on target every four games.

Recent data suggests that this prediction is way off. Across his seven Premier League appearances this season, Tavernier has had 10 shots on target and is averaging 1.56 shots on target per 90 minutes this season.

He has had two or more shots on target in four of the seven league matches he played, which equates to 57.1%, making his odds of 7/2 (22.2%) look extremely generous.

Tavernier has stepped up since Antoine Semenyo left for Manchester City last January and has scored five goals so far this season.

United's defence is vulnerable

Another reason why backing Tavernier to have over 1.5 shots on Sunday makes sense is Man Utd's defensive woes. The Red Devils are yet to keep a Premier League clean sheet this season and, on average, are conceding 11 shots per match, so Tavernier should find himself with plenty of opportunities to test Senne Lammens.

Lammens' difficulties from range also encourage wide men to take their chances from outside the box, something Tavernier is more than happy to do.

United have also allowed more than four shots on target per match in the Premier League season and have conceded an xGA of over nine.